← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 17:00
Lorient
#9 · 45 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Marseille
#6 · 56 pts
P. Katseris 28'
B. Dieng (ast. P. Pagis) 58'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Marseille 34%). The final result was Lorient 2–0 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Lorient have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Marseille.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
2
1.10
Actual xG
1.68
2
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
7
18
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽P. Katseris
28'
46'
T. Weah / I. Paixao ↕
57'
B. Pavard
⚽B. Dieng · ast. P. Pagis
58'
59'
B. Nadir / H. Abdelli ↕
59'
E. Nwaneri / A. Gouiri ↕
↕ J. Makengo / L. Abergel
69'
74'
B. Nadir
↕ B. Dieng / A. Tosin
75'
76'
A. Vermeeren / P. Hojbjerg ↕
76'
U. Lamare El Kadmiri / P. Aubameyang ↕
↕ P. Katseris / Igor Silva
82'
↕ P. Pagis / S. Soumano
82'
90'
T. Weah
Pre-match prediction
40.49%
Lorient ←
24.68%
X
34.83%
Marseille
we assigned to the actual result (Lorient) 40.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lorient
1.42
1.10
-0.32
Marseille
1.50
1.68
+0.18
Marseille dominated by xG (1.68 vs 1.10). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Lorient Lorient 3-4-3
38
G 7.70
25
D 7.20
32 Nathaniel Adjei Nathaniel Adjei D 6.90
5
Bamo Meïté D 6.90
44
Darlin Yongwa M 7.30
8 Noah Cadiou Noah Cadiou M 7.20
62 Arthur Avom Ebong Arthur Avom Ebong M 7.30
77 Panos Katseris Panos Katseris 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.60
10 P. Pagis P. Pagis 1 👟 82' F 7.20
12 B. Dieng B. Dieng 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.70
17 Jean Victor Makengo Jean Victor Makengo 69' F 6.90
Bench
15 Aiyegun Tosin Aiyegun Tosin 15' F 6.30
29 Karim Dermane Karim Dermane M
6 Laurent Abergel Laurent Abergel 21' M 6.90
Marseille Marseille 3-4-2-1
1 Gerónimo Rulli Gerónimo Rulli G 6.30
33 Emerson Emerson D 7.20
5 Leonardo Balerdi Leonardo Balerdi D 7.30
28 Benjamin Pavard Benjamin Pavard D 6.50
14 Igor Paixão Igor Paixão 45' M 6.70
8
H. Abdelli 59' M 6.30
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 76' M 6.60
20
Hamed Junior Traorè M 6.70
9 A. Gouiri A. Gouiri 59' F 6.70
10 M. Greenwood M. Greenwood F 6.60
17 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang 76' F 6.20
Bench
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago F
18 Arthur Vermeeren Arthur Vermeeren 14' M 6.60
26
Bilal Nadir 31' M 6.70
11 Ethan Nwaneri Ethan Nwaneri 31' M 6.30
22
Timothy Weah 45' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
G · Lorient
7.70
· 45 pass
B. Dieng
B. Dieng
F · Lorient
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
Panos Katseris
Panos Katseris
M · Lorient
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Leonardo Balerdi
Leonardo Balerdi
D · Marseille
7.30
· 49 pass
Darlin Yongwa
M · Lorient
7.30
· 24 pass
Arthur Avom Ebong
Arthur Avom Ebong
M · Lorient
7.30
· 49 pass
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 45 33% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 40 31% 3 — —
Nathaniel Adjei D 90 6.90 — — — 29 28% — — —
Bamo Meïté D 90 6.90 — — — 34 31% 1 — —
Darlin Yongwa M 90 7.30 — — — 24 20% 3 — —
Noah Cadiou M 90 7.20 — — 1 64 56% — — —
Arthur Avom Ebong M 90 7.30 — — — 49 41% 4 — —
Panos Katseris M 82 7.60 1 — 1 17 14% 1 — —
P. Pagis F 82 7.20 — 1 4 23 19% 2 — —
B. Dieng F 75 7.70 1 — 2 13 10% 2 — —
Jean Victor Makengo F 69 6.90 — — — 17 10% 2 — —
Aiyegun Tosin F 15 6.30 — — 1 3 1% — — —
Laurent Abergel M 21 6.90 — — — 21 21% — — —
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gerónimo Rulli G 90 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
Emerson D 90 7.20 — — — 52 50% — — —
Leonardo Balerdi D 90 7.30 — — — 49 46% 2 — —
Benjamin Pavard D 90 6.50 — — 1 72 57% 1 1 —
Igor Paixão M 45 6.70 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
H. Abdelli M 59 6.30 — — 1 41 38% 2 — —
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 76 6.60 — — 2 50 42% 1 — —
Hamed Junior Traorè M 90 6.70 — — 3 35 30% 1 — —
A. Gouiri F 59 6.70 — — — 24 21% 2 — —
M. Greenwood F 90 6.60 — — 2 44 40% 1 — —
P. Aubameyang F 76 6.20 — — 3 14 10% — — —
Arthur Vermeeren M 14 6.60 — — — 12 10% — — —
Bilal Nadir M 31 6.70 — — — 22 20% — 1 —
Ethan Nwaneri M 31 6.30 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Timothy Weah F 45 6.50 — — 1 25 20% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Marseille?
The final score was Lorient 2–0 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Marseille?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Lorient win, 24% to a draw, and 34% to an Marseille win.