Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 17:00
P. Katseris
28'
B. Dieng
(ast. P. Pagis)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Marseille 34%). The final result was Lorient 2–0 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Lorient have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Marseille.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
2
1.10
Actual xG
1.68
2
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
7
18
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽P. Katseris
28'
46'
T. Weah
/
I. Paixao
57'
B. Pavard
⚽B. Dieng
· ast. P. Pagis
58'
59'
B. Nadir
/
H. Abdelli
59'
E. Nwaneri
/
A. Gouiri
J. Makengo
/ L. Abergel
69'
74'
B. Nadir
B. Dieng
/ A. Tosin
75'
76'
A. Vermeeren
/
P. Hojbjerg
76'
U. Lamare El Kadmiri
/
P. Aubameyang
P. Katseris
/ Igor Silva
82'
P. Pagis
/ S. Soumano
82'
90'
T. Weah
Pre-match prediction
40.49%
Lorient ←
24.68%
X
34.83%
Marseille
we assigned to the actual result (Lorient)
40.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.10
-0.32
1.50
1.68
+0.18
Marseille dominated by xG (1.68 vs 1.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
38
G
25
D
32
N. Adjei
D
N. Adjei
D
5
B. Meité
D
B. Meité
D
44
D. Yongwa
M
D. Yongwa
M
8
N. Cadiou
M
N. Cadiou
M
62
A. Avom
M
A. Avom
M
77
P. Katseris
1 ⚽
82'
M
P. Katseris
1 ⚽
82'
M
10
P. Pagis
1 👟
82'
F
P. Pagis
1 👟
82'
F
12
B. Dieng
1 ⚽
75'
F
B. Dieng
1 ⚽
75'
F
17
J. Makengo
69'
F
J. Makengo
69'
F
Bench
15
A. Tosin
15'
F
A. Tosin
15'
F
29
D. Karim
M
D. Karim
M
6
Laurent Abergel
21'
M
Laurent Abergel
21'
M
1
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
33
Emerson
D
Emerson
D
5
L. Balerdi
D
L. Balerdi
D
28
B. Pavard
D
B. Pavard
D
14
Igor Paixão
45'
M
Igor Paixão
45'
M
8
H. Abdelli
59'
M
H. Abdelli
59'
M
23
P. Højbjerg
76'
M
P. Højbjerg
76'
M
20
H. Traorè
M
H. Traorè
M
9
A. Gouiri
59'
F
A. Gouiri
59'
F
10
M. Greenwood
F
M. Greenwood
F
17
P. Aubameyang
76'
F
P. Aubameyang
76'
F
Bench
78
Ange Lago
F
Ange Lago
F
18
A. Vermeeren
14'
M
A. Vermeeren
14'
M
26
B. Nadir
31'
M
B. Nadir
31'
M
11
E. Nwaneri
31'
M
E. Nwaneri
31'
M
22
T. Weah
45'
F
T. Weah
45'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Lorient
7.70
· 45 pass
B. Dieng
F · Lorient
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
P. Katseris
M · Lorient
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
L. Balerdi
D · Marseille
7.30
· 49 pass
D. Yongwa
M · Lorient
7.30
· 24 pass
A. Avom
M · Lorient
7.30
· 49 pass
Lorient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 3 | — | — | |
| N. Adjei | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | — | — |
| B. Meité | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yongwa | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Cadiou | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | — | — | — |
| A. Avom | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Katseris | M | 82 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Pagis | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 4 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Dieng | F | 75 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Makengo | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Tosin | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Laurent Abergel | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rulli | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Emerson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | — | — | — |
| L. Balerdi | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Pavard | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 57% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Igor Paixão | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Traorè | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Greenwood | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Aubameyang | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Vermeeren | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Nadir | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Nwaneri | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Weah | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Marseille?
The final score was Lorient 2–0 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Marseille?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Lorient win, 24% to a draw, and 34% to an Marseille win.