Skip to main content
← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7 October 18, 2026 17:15 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Lorient
#9 · 12 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Monaco
#4 · 15 pts
Noah Cadiou 61' (pen.)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Monaco 34%). The final result was Lorient 1–0 Monaco. In 2 previous meetings, Lorient have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Monaco.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
4
1.66
Actual xG
0.71
4
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
4
14
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
52'
Edan Diop / Takumi Minamino ↕
57'
Mohammed Salisu
60'
Denis Zakaria
60'
Flavio Nazinho
⚽Noah Cadiou (pen.)
61'
66'
Folarin Balogun / Ansu Fati ↕
66'
Mathys Detourbet / Denis Zakaria ↕
66'
Christian Mawissa / Mohammed Salisu ↕
Noah Cadiou
66'
↕ Ibrahima Balde / Mamadou Kone
71'
75'
Mika Biereth / Matthis Abline ↕
Arsène Kouassi
76'
↕ Gabin Bernardeau / Souleymane Faye
79'
80'
Christian Mawissa
Pre-match prediction
35.27%
Lorient ←
30.3%
X
34.43%
Monaco
we assigned to the actual result (Lorient) 35.27% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lorient
1.56
1.66
+0.1
Monaco
1.41
0.71
-0.7
Lorient dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Lorient Lorient 3-4-2-1
38 Y. Mvogo Y. Mvogo G 7.48
95 S. Touré S. Touré D 7.74
3 M. Talbi M. Talbi D 7.39
32 N. Adjei N. Adjei D 7.11
43 K. Kouassi K. Kouassi M 6.76
62 A. Avom A. Avom M 7.17
8 N. Cadiou N. Cadiou 1 ⚽ M 7.19
20 D. Sylla D. Sylla M 6.30
33 G. Bernardeau G. Bernardeau 79' M 6.26
17 J. Makengo J. Makengo M 6.85
18 I. Baldé I. Baldé 71' F 6.69
Bench
2 A. Georgen A. Georgen D 0.00
15 A. Tosin A. Tosin F 0.00
21 B. Kamara B. Kamara G 0.00
42 M. Kone M. Kone 19' F 6.62
55 N. Obaretin N. Obaretin D 0.00
77 P. Katseris P. Katseris D 0.00
19 S. Faye S. Faye 11' F 6.43
30 S. Kuzmić S. Kuzmić D 0.00
11 T. Le Bris T. Le Bris M 0.00
Monaco Monaco 4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký G 6.67
20 Flávio Nazinho Flávio Nazinho D 6.20
22 M. Salisu M. Salisu 66' D 6.89
72 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 6.89
2 Vanderson Vanderson D 7.51
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria 66' M 6.76
8 L. Camara L. Camara M 7.20
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin M 6.63
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 66' M 6.62
18 T. Minamino T. Minamino 52' M 6.09
11 M. Abline M. Abline 75' F 6.25
Bench
13 C. Mawissa Elebi C. Mawissa Elebi 24' D 6.41
37 E. Diop E. Diop 38' M 7.07
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 24' F 6.48
4 J. Teze J. Teze D 0.00
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly M 0.00
7 M. Detourbet M. Detourbet 24' F 6.46
14 Mika Biereth Mika Biereth 15' F 6.28
19 Pape Cabral Pape Cabral M 0.00
16 P. Köhn P. Köhn G 0.00
Best on the pitch
S. Touré
S. Touré
D · Lorient
7.74
· 66 pass
Vanderson
Vanderson
D · Monaco
7.51
· 78 pass
Y. Mvogo
Y. Mvogo
G · Lorient
7.48
· 46 pass
M. Talbi
M. Talbi
D · Lorient
7.39
· 52 pass
L. Camara
L. Camara
M · Monaco
7.20
2 shots · 96 pass
N. Cadiou
N. Cadiou
M · Lorient
7.19
1 ⚽
1 shots · 66 pass
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Mvogo G 90 7.48 — — 0 46 32% 0 — —
S. Touré D 90 7.74 — — 0 66 62% 0 — —
M. Talbi D 90 7.39 — — 0 52 48% 1 — —
N. Adjei D 90 7.11 — — 0 44 35% 2 — —
K. Kouassi M 90 6.76 — — 1 44 39% 1 1 —
A. Avom M 90 7.17 — — 0 66 60% 4 — —
N. Cadiou M 90 7.19 1 — 1 66 55% 3 1 —
D. Sylla M 90 6.30 — — 1 34 23% 0 — —
G. Bernardeau M 79 6.26 — — 3 22 15% 0 — —
J. Makengo M 90 6.85 — — 0 21 17% 2 — —
I. Baldé F 71 6.69 — — 1 3 1% 0 — —
M. Kone F 19 6.62 — — 2 4 4% 1 — —
S. Faye F 11 6.43 — — 0 10 8% 0 — —
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 90 6.67 — — 0 18 17% 0 — —
Flávio Nazinho D 90 6.20 — — 1 74 63% 3 1 —
M. Salisu D 66 6.89 — — 0 82 76% 1 1 —
Sadibou Sané D 90 6.89 — — 0 97 94% 1 — —
Vanderson D 90 7.51 — — 0 78 68% 5 — —
D. Zakaria M 66 6.76 — — 1 61 58% 1 1 —
L. Camara M 90 7.20 — — 2 96 90% 0 — —
A. Golovin M 90 6.63 — — 1 49 39% 1 — —
Ansu Fati M 66 6.62 — — 3 20 18% 2 — —
T. Minamino M 52 6.09 — — 0 14 14% 0 — —
M. Abline F 75 6.25 — — 3 4 2% 1 — —
C. Mawissa Elebi D 24 6.41 — — 0 26 24% 0 1 —
E. Diop M 38 7.07 — — 0 25 23% 1 — —
F. Balogun F 24 6.48 — — 3 4 2% 0 — —
M. Detourbet F 24 6.46 — — 1 10 8% 0 — —
Mika Biereth F 15 6.28 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Monaco?
The final score was Lorient 1–0 Monaco.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Monaco?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Lorient win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Monaco win.