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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 17:15
Lorient
#8 · 4 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Paris FC
#3 · 7 pts
B. Dieng (ast. P. Pagis) 54'
74' M. Munetsi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Paris FC 23%). The final result was Lorient 1–1 Paris FC. In 2 previous meetings, Lorient have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris FC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
5
1.18
Actual xG
0.89
4
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
6
12
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
50'
Adama Camara
⚽B. Dieng · ast. P. Pagis
54'
↕ B. Dieng / S. Soumano
67'
70'
I. Kebbal / J. Ikone ↕
70'
A. Gory / A. Camara ↕
71'
H. Traore / M. Lopez ↕
71'
L. Koleosho / W. Geubbels ↕
↕ P. Pagis / D. Karim
72'
↕ J. Makengo / A. Tosin
72'
74'
M. Munetsi⚽
79'
Pierre Lees Melou
↕ T. Le Bris / P. Katseris
81'
Arsène Kouassi
85'
90'+3
S. Chergui / M. Simon ↕
Pre-match prediction
51.86%
Lorient
24.35%
X ←
23.79%
Paris
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lorient
1.67
1.18
-0.49
Paris
1.00
0.89
-0.11
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 0.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Lorient Lorient 3-4-2-1
38
G 6.90
25
D 7.30
3 M. Talbi M. Talbi D 7.00
5 B. Meité B. Meité D 6.70
43 K. Kouassi K. Kouassi M 6.60
62 A. Avom A. Avom M 7.00
8 N. Cadiou N. Cadiou M 7.20
11 T. Le Bris T. Le Bris 81' M 6.90
10 P. Pagis P. Pagis 1 👟 72' F 7.20
17 J. Makengo J. Makengo 72' F 6.90
12 B. Dieng B. Dieng 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.50
Bench
15 A. Tosin A. Tosin 18' F 6.70
29 D. Karim D. Karim 18' M 6.20
44 D. Yongwa D. Yongwa D
32 N. Adjei N. Adjei D
77 P. Katseris P. Katseris 9' D 6.90
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
35 K. Trapp K. Trapp G 6.90
19
D 6.70
5 M. Mbow M. Mbow D 6.30
42
D 7.50
17 A. Camara A. Camara 70' D 6.20
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 71' M 6.60
33 P. Lees-Melou P. Lees-Melou M 6.50
27 M. Simon M. Simon 89' M 6.70
18 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi 1 ⚽ M 7.30
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 70' M 6.50
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 71' F 6.30
Bench
7 A. Gory A. Gory 20' F 6.30
14 H. Traoré H. Traoré 19' D 6.30
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 20' M 6.90
24 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho 19' F 6.60
28 Thibault De Smet Thibault De Smet D
15
Timothée Kolodziejczak D
Best on the pitch
D · Paris
7.50
1 shots · 56 pass
B. Dieng
B. Dieng
F · Lorient
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
D · Lorient
7.30
1 shots · 54 pass
M. Munetsi
M. Munetsi
M · Paris
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
N. Cadiou
N. Cadiou
M · Lorient
7.20
1 shots · 52 pass
P. Pagis
P. Pagis
F · Lorient
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 33 27% — — —
D 90 7.30 — — 1 54 50% 2 — —
M. Talbi D 90 7.00 — — — 60 55% — — —
B. Meité D 90 6.70 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
K. Kouassi M 90 6.60 — — — 27 22% 2 1 —
A. Avom M 90 7.00 — — — 66 59% 2 — —
N. Cadiou M 90 7.20 — — 1 52 46% 1 — —
T. Le Bris M 81 6.90 — — 1 30 28% 2 — —
P. Pagis F 72 7.20 — 1 1 30 23% 1 — —
J. Makengo F 72 6.90 — — 1 26 26% 1 — —
B. Dieng F 67 7.50 1 — 2 16 12% — — —
A. Tosin F 18 6.70 — — 1 4 4% — — —
D. Karim M 18 6.20 — — — 7 5% — — —
P. Katseris D 9 6.90 — — — 5 2% — — —
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Trapp G 90 6.90 — — — 25 17% — — —
D 90 6.70 — — 1 48 43% 1 — —
M. Mbow D 90 6.30 — — — 56 53% 1 — —
D 90 7.50 — — 1 56 49% 4 — —
A. Camara D 70 6.20 — — — 39 38% 2 1 —
M. Lopez M 71 6.60 — — — 45 44% 1 — —
P. Lees-Melou M 90 6.50 — — — 65 50% 2 1 —
M. Simon M 89 6.70 — — — 24 23% — — —
M. Munetsi M 90 7.30 1 — 1 7 5% 1 — —
J. Ikoné M 70 6.50 — — 3 40 35% 1 — —
Willem Geubbels F 71 6.30 — — — 12 11% — — —
A. Gory F 20 6.30 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
H. Traoré D 19 6.30 — — — 9 3% — — —
I. Kebbal M 20 6.90 — — — 10 10% 1 — —
L. Koleosho F 19 6.60 — — — 4 1% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Paris FC?
The final score was Lorient 1–1 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Lorient win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Paris FC win.