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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 17:15
Lorient
#9 · 45 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Paris FC
#11 · 41 pts
B. Dieng (ast. P. Pagis) 54'
74' M. Munetsi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Paris FC 23%). The final result was Lorient 1–1 Paris FC. In 2 previous meetings, Lorient have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris FC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
5
1.18
Actual xG
0.89
4
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
6
12
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
50'
Adama Camara
⚽B. Dieng · ast. P. Pagis
54'
↕ B. Dieng / S. Soumano
67'
70'
I. Kebbal / J. Ikone ↕
70'
A. Gory / A. Camara ↕
71'
H. Traore / M. Lopez ↕
71'
L. Koleosho / W. Geubbels ↕
↕ P. Pagis / D. Karim
72'
↕ J. Makengo / A. Tosin
72'
74'
M. Munetsi⚽
79'
Pierre Lees Melou
↕ T. Le Bris / P. Katseris
81'
Arsène Kouassi
85'
90'+3
S. Chergui / M. Simon ↕
Pre-match prediction
51.86%
Lorient
24.35%
X ←
23.79%
Paris
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lorient
1.67
1.18
-0.49
Paris
1.00
0.89
-0.11
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 0.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Lorient Lorient 3-4-2-1
38
G 6.90
25
D 7.30
3 Montassar Talbi Montassar Talbi D 7.00
5
Bamo Meïté D 6.70
43 Arsène Kouassi Arsène Kouassi M 6.60
62 Arthur Avom Ebong Arthur Avom Ebong M 7.00
8 Noah Cadiou Noah Cadiou M 7.20
11
T. Le Bris 81' M 6.90
10 P. Pagis P. Pagis 1 👟 72' F 7.20
17 Jean Victor Makengo Jean Victor Makengo 72' F 6.90
12 B. Dieng B. Dieng 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.50
Bench
15 Aiyegun Tosin Aiyegun Tosin 18' F 6.70
44
Darlin Yongwa D
29 Karim Dermane Karim Dermane 18' M 6.20
32 Nathaniel Adjei Nathaniel Adjei D
77 Panos Katseris Panos Katseris 9' D 6.90
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
35 Kevin Trapp Kevin Trapp G 6.90
19
D 6.70
5 Moustapha Mbow Moustapha Mbow D 6.30
42
D 7.50
17 A. Camara A. Camara 70' D 6.20
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 71' M 6.60
33 Pierre Lees Melou Pierre Lees Melou M 6.50
27 Moses Simon Moses Simon 89' M 6.70
18 Marshall Munetsi Marshall Munetsi 1 ⚽ M 7.30
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 70' M 6.50
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 71' F 6.30
Bench
7 Alimami Gory Alimami Gory 20' F 6.30
14 Hamari Traoré Hamari Traoré 19' D 6.30
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 20' M 6.90
24 Luca Koleosho Luca Koleosho 19' F 6.60
28
T. De Smet D
15
Timothée Kolodziejczak D
Best on the pitch
D · Paris
7.50
1 shots · 56 pass
B. Dieng
B. Dieng
F · Lorient
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
D · Lorient
7.30
1 shots · 54 pass
Marshall Munetsi
Marshall Munetsi
M · Paris
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Noah Cadiou
Noah Cadiou
M · Lorient
7.20
1 shots · 52 pass
P. Pagis
P. Pagis
F · Lorient
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 33 27% — — —
D 90 7.30 — — 1 54 50% 2 — —
Montassar Talbi D 90 7.00 — — — 60 55% — — —
Bamo Meïté D 90 6.70 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
Arsène Kouassi M 90 6.60 — — — 27 22% 2 1 —
Arthur Avom Ebong M 90 7.00 — — — 66 59% 2 — —
Noah Cadiou M 90 7.20 — — 1 52 46% 1 — —
T. Le Bris M 81 6.90 — — 1 30 28% 2 — —
P. Pagis F 72 7.20 — 1 1 30 23% 1 — —
Jean Victor Makengo F 72 6.90 — — 1 26 26% 1 — —
B. Dieng F 67 7.50 1 — 2 16 12% — — —
Aiyegun Tosin F 18 6.70 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Karim Dermane M 18 6.20 — — — 7 5% — — —
Panos Katseris D 9 6.90 — — — 5 2% — — —
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kevin Trapp G 90 6.90 — — — 25 17% — — —
D 90 6.70 — — 1 48 43% 1 — —
Moustapha Mbow D 90 6.30 — — — 56 53% 1 — —
D 90 7.50 — — 1 56 49% 4 — —
A. Camara D 70 6.20 — — — 39 38% 2 1 —
M. Lopez M 71 6.60 — — — 45 44% 1 — —
Pierre Lees Melou M 90 6.50 — — — 65 50% 2 1 —
Moses Simon M 89 6.70 — — — 24 23% — — —
Marshall Munetsi M 90 7.30 1 — 1 7 5% 1 — —
J. Ikoné M 70 6.50 — — 3 40 35% 1 — —
Willem Geubbels F 71 6.30 — — — 12 11% — — —
Alimami Gory F 20 6.30 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Hamari Traoré D 19 6.30 — — — 9 3% — — —
I. Kebbal M 20 6.90 — — — 10 10% 1 — —
Luca Koleosho F 19 6.60 — — — 4 1% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Paris FC?
The final score was Lorient 1–1 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Lorient win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Paris FC win.