Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 28
April 05, 2026 17:15
B. Dieng
(ast. P. Pagis)
54'
74'
M. Munetsi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Paris FC 23%). The final result was Lorient 1–1 Paris FC. In 2 previous meetings, Lorient have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris FC.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
5
1.18
Actual xG
0.89
4
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
6
12
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
50'
Adama Camara
⚽B. Dieng
· ast. P. Pagis
54'
B. Dieng
/ S. Soumano
67'
70'
I. Kebbal
/
J. Ikone
70'
A. Gory
/
A. Camara
71'
H. Traore
/
M. Lopez
71'
L. Koleosho
/
W. Geubbels
P. Pagis
/ D. Karim
72'
J. Makengo
/ A. Tosin
72'
74'
M. Munetsi⚽
79'
Pierre Lees Melou
T. Le Bris
/ P. Katseris
81'
Arsène Kouassi
85'
90'+3
S. Chergui
/
M. Simon
Pre-match prediction
51.86%
Lorient
24.35%
X ←
23.79%
Paris
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.67
1.18
-0.49
1.00
0.89
-0.11
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
38
G
25
D
3
M. Talbi
D
M. Talbi
D
5
Bamo Meïté
D
Bamo Meïté
D
43
K. Kouassi
M
K. Kouassi
M
62
Arthur Avom Ebong
M
Arthur Avom Ebong
M
8
Noah Cadiou
M
Noah Cadiou
M
11
T. Le Bris
81'
M
10
P. Pagis
1 👟
72'
F
P. Pagis
1 👟
72'
F
17
Jean Victor Makengo
72'
F
Jean Victor Makengo
72'
F
12
B. Dieng
1 ⚽
67'
F
B. Dieng
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
15
Aiyegun Tosin
18'
F
Aiyegun Tosin
18'
F
44
Darlin Yongwa
D
Darlin Yongwa
D
29
Karim Dermane
18'
M
Karim Dermane
18'
M
32
Nathaniel Adjei
D
Nathaniel Adjei
D
77
Panos Katseris
9'
D
Panos Katseris
9'
D
35
Kevin Trapp
G
Kevin Trapp
G
19
D
5
Moustapha Mbow
D
Moustapha Mbow
D
42
D
17
A. Camara
70'
D
A. Camara
70'
D
21
M. Lopez
71'
M
M. Lopez
71'
M
33
Pierre Lees Melou
M
Pierre Lees Melou
M
27
M. Simon
89'
M
M. Simon
89'
M
18
Marshall Munetsi
1 ⚽
M
93
J. Ikoné
70'
M
J. Ikoné
70'
M
9
Willem Geubbels
71'
F
Willem Geubbels
71'
F
Bench
7
Alimami Gory
20'
F
Alimami Gory
20'
F
14
Hamari Traoré
19'
D
Hamari Traoré
19'
D
10
I. Kebbal
20'
M
I. Kebbal
20'
M
24
Luca Koleosho
19'
F
Luca Koleosho
19'
F
28
Thibault De Smet
D
Thibault De Smet
D
15
Timothée Kolodziejczak
D
Best on the pitch
D · Paris
7.50
1 shots
· 56 pass
B. Dieng
F · Lorient
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
D · Lorient
7.30
1 shots
· 54 pass
Marshall Munetsi
M · Paris
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Noah Cadiou
M · Lorient
7.20
1 shots
· 52 pass
P. Pagis
F · Lorient
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
Lorient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Talbi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Bamo Meïté | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Kouassi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Noah Cadiou | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Le Bris | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Pagis | F | 72 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Victor Makengo | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Dieng | F | 67 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Aiyegun Tosin | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Karim Dermane | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Panos Katseris | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Paris FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Trapp | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| Moustapha Mbow | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 4 | — | — | |
| A. Camara | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Lopez | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Pierre Lees Melou | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Simon | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Marshall Munetsi | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ikoné | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Willem Geubbels | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alimami Gory | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Hamari Traoré | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Kebbal | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Koleosho | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Paris FC?
The final score was Lorient 1–1 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Lorient win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Paris FC win.