← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 15:00
Lorient
#9 · 45 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Strasbourg
#8 · 50 pts
N. Cadiou (ast. P. Katseris) 26'
P. Pagis 54' (pen.)
62' (ast. R. Luis) S. Nanasi
(og) 90'+2 N. Adjei
90'+9 A. Omobamidele

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 46% win probability (draw 23%, Strasbourg 29%). The final result was Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, Lorient have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Strasbourg.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
2.16
Actual xG
1.58
3
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
9
Corners
7
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
L. Hogsberg
⚽N. Cadiou · ast. P. Katseris
26'
⚽P. Pagis (pen.)
54'
62'
ast. R. Luis · S. Nanasi⚽
64'
G. O'Neil
65'
A. Omobamidele / I. Doukoure ↕
67'
A. Ouattara / S. El Mourabet ↕
67'
M. Godo / J. Enciso ↕
↕ B. Dieng / A. Tosin
69'
↕ L. Abergel / A. Avom
70'
P. Katseris
71'
73'
M. Oyedele
76'
D. Moreira / J. Mwanga ↕
↕ J. Makengo / S. Soumano
82'
↕ P. Pagis / D. Karim
82'
85'
E. Emegha / G. Yassine ↕
↕ P. Katseris / Igor Silva
85'
90'+2
(og) N. Adjei⚽
90'+9
A. Omobamidele⚽
Pre-match prediction
46.75%
Lorient
23.84%
X
29.4%
Strasbourg ←
we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg) 29.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lorient
1.71
2.16
+0.45
Strasbourg
1.40
1.58
+0.18
Lorient dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Lorient Lorient 3-4-2-1
38
G 6.30
25
D 6.30
32 Nathaniel Adjei Nathaniel Adjei 1 ⚽ D 5.90
5
Bamo Meïté D 6.70
43 Arsène Kouassi Arsène Kouassi M 7.20
6 Laurent Abergel Laurent Abergel 70' M 5.90
8 Noah Cadiou Noah Cadiou 1 ⚽ M 7.90
77 Panos Katseris Panos Katseris 1 👟 85' M 8.20
10 P. Pagis P. Pagis 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.90
17 Jean Victor Makengo Jean Victor Makengo 82' F 7.00
12 B. Dieng B. Dieng 69' F 6.20
Bench
15 Aiyegun Tosin Aiyegun Tosin 21' F 6.30
62 Arthur Avom Ebong Arthur Avom Ebong 20' M 6.90
44
Darlin Yongwa D
29 Karim Dermane Karim Dermane 8' M 6.50
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-4-1-1
39
G 6.90
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele D 6.00
6 Ismael Doukouré Ismael Doukouré 65' D 6.50
24 Lucas Høgsberg Lucas Høgsberg D 7.50
18 Junior Mwanga Junior Mwanga 76' D 5.90
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine 85' M 6.30
29 Samir El Mourabet Samir El Mourabet 67' M 6.70
83
1 👟 M 6.70
27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Samuel Amo-Ameyaw M 6.30
11 Sebastian Nanasi Sebastian Nanasi 1 ⚽ F 6.90
19 Julio Enciso Julio Enciso 67' F 6.50
Bench
42 Abdoul Ouattara Abdoul Ouattara 23' M 6.70
2 Andrew Omobamidele Andrew Omobamidele 1 ⚽ 25' D 7.60
3 Ben Chilwell Ben Chilwell D
15
D. D. Fofana F
7 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 14' F 6.30
10
E. Emegha 16' F 6.50
20 M. Godo M. Godo 23' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Panos Katseris
Panos Katseris
M · Lorient
8.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
Noah Cadiou
Noah Cadiou
M · Lorient
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
P. Pagis
P. Pagis
F · Lorient
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Andrew Omobamidele
Andrew Omobamidele
D · Strasbourg
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
Lucas Høgsberg
Lucas Høgsberg
D · Strasbourg
7.50
· 79 pass
Arsène Kouassi
Arsène Kouassi
M · Lorient
7.20
· 25 pass
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 38 29% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — 1 47 40% 1 — —
Nathaniel Adjei D 90 5.90 1 — 3 29 26% 1 — —
Bamo Meïté D 90 6.70 — — 1 23 19% 4 — —
Arsène Kouassi M 90 7.20 — — — 25 23% — — —
Laurent Abergel M 70 5.90 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
Noah Cadiou M 90 7.90 1 — 2 46 41% 2 — —
Panos Katseris M 85 8.20 — 1 — 15 12% — 1 —
P. Pagis F 82 7.90 1 — 3 22 17% 3 — —
Jean Victor Makengo F 82 7.00 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
B. Dieng F 69 6.20 — — 2 7 4% — — —
Aiyegun Tosin F 21 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Arthur Avom Ebong M 20 6.90 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Karim Dermane M 8 6.50 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 34 32% — — —
Maxi Oyedele D 90 6.00 — — 1 47 45% — 1 —
Ismael Doukouré D 65 6.50 — — 1 42 38% 1 — —
Lucas Høgsberg D 90 7.50 — — — 79 73% 1 1 —
Junior Mwanga D 76 5.90 — — — 34 33% 2 — —
Gessime Yassine M 85 6.30 — — — 31 29% 3 — —
Samir El Mourabet M 67 6.70 — — — 57 51% — — —
M 90 6.70 — 1 2 56 44% 4 — —
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw M 90 6.30 — — — 36 32% 1 — —
Sebastian Nanasi F 90 6.90 1 — 1 27 20% 1 — —
Julio Enciso F 67 6.50 — — — 15 12% — — —
Abdoul Ouattara M 23 6.70 — — 2 14 14% — — —
Andrew Omobamidele D 25 7.60 1 — 1 27 26% — — —
Diego Moreira F 14 6.30 — — — 23 19% — — —
E. Emegha F 16 6.50 — — 1 1 — — — —
M. Godo F 23 6.70 — — — 8 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Strasbourg?
The final score was Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Lorient win, 23% to a draw, and 29% to an Strasbourg win.