Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 31
April 26, 2026 15:00
N. Cadiou
(ast. P. Katseris)
26'
P. Pagis
54'
(pen.)
62'
(ast. R. Luis)
S. Nanasi
(og)
90'+2
N. Adjei
90'+9
A. Omobamidele
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 46% win probability (draw 23%, Strasbourg 29%). The final result was Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, Lorient have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Strasbourg.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
2.16
Actual xG
1.58
3
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
9
Corners
7
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
L. Hogsberg
⚽N. Cadiou
· ast. P. Katseris
26'
⚽P. Pagis
(pen.)
54'
62'
ast. R. Luis ·
S. Nanasi⚽
64'
G. O'Neil
65'
A. Omobamidele
/
I. Doukoure
67'
A. Ouattara
/
S. El Mourabet
67'
M. Godo
/
J. Enciso
B. Dieng
/ A. Tosin
69'
L. Abergel
/ A. Avom
70'
P. Katseris
71'
73'
M. Oyedele
76'
D. Moreira
/
J. Mwanga
J. Makengo
/ S. Soumano
82'
P. Pagis
/ D. Karim
82'
85'
E. Emegha
/
G. Yassine
P. Katseris
/ Igor Silva
85'
90'+2
(og)
N. Adjei⚽
90'+9
A. Omobamidele⚽
Pre-match prediction
46.75%
Lorient
23.84%
X
29.4%
Strasbourg ←
we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg)
29.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
2.16
+0.45
1.40
1.58
+0.18
Lorient dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
38
G
25
D
32
N. Adjei
1 ⚽
D
N. Adjei
1 ⚽
D
5
B. Meité
D
B. Meité
D
43
K. Kouassi
M
K. Kouassi
M
6
Laurent Abergel
70'
M
Laurent Abergel
70'
M
8
N. Cadiou
1 ⚽
M
N. Cadiou
1 ⚽
M
77
P. Katseris
1 👟
85'
M
P. Katseris
1 👟
85'
M
10
P. Pagis
1 ⚽
82'
F
P. Pagis
1 ⚽
82'
F
17
J. Makengo
82'
F
J. Makengo
82'
F
12
B. Dieng
69'
F
B. Dieng
69'
F
Bench
62
A. Avom
20'
M
A. Avom
20'
M
15
A. Tosin
21'
F
A. Tosin
21'
F
29
D. Karim
8'
M
D. Karim
8'
M
44
D. Yongwa
D
D. Yongwa
D
39
G
8
Maxi Oyedele
D
Maxi Oyedele
D
6
I. Doukouré
65'
D
I. Doukouré
65'
D
24
L. Høgsberg
D
L. Høgsberg
D
18
J. Mwanga
76'
D
J. Mwanga
76'
D
80
Gessime Yassine
85'
M
Gessime Yassine
85'
M
29
S. El Mourabet
67'
M
S. El Mourabet
67'
M
83
1 👟
M
27
S. Amo-Ameyaw
M
S. Amo-Ameyaw
M
11
S. Nanasi
1 ⚽
F
S. Nanasi
1 ⚽
F
19
J. Enciso
67'
F
J. Enciso
67'
F
Bench
2
A. Omobamidele
1 ⚽
25'
D
A. Omobamidele
1 ⚽
25'
D
42
A. Ouattara
23'
M
A. Ouattara
23'
M
3
B. Chilwell
D
B. Chilwell
D
15
D. Fofana
F
D. Fofana
F
7
Diego Moreira
14'
F
Diego Moreira
14'
F
10
Emmanuel Emegha
16'
F
Emmanuel Emegha
16'
F
20
M. Godo
23'
F
M. Godo
23'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Katseris
M · Lorient
8.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
N. Cadiou
M · Lorient
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 46 pass
P. Pagis
F · Lorient
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
A. Omobamidele
D · Strasbourg
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
L. Høgsberg
D · Strasbourg
7.50
· 79 pass
K. Kouassi
M · Lorient
7.20
· 25 pass
Lorient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Adjei | D | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Meité | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Kouassi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Laurent Abergel | M | 70 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Cadiou | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Katseris | M | 85 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Pagis | F | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Makengo | F | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Dieng | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Avom | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tosin | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Karim | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Strasbourg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Maxi Oyedele | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Doukouré | D | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Høgsberg | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 79 | 73% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Mwanga | D | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 56 | 44% | 4 | — | — | |
| S. Amo-Ameyaw | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nanasi | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Omobamidele | D | 25 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| A. Ouattara | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Emegha | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Godo | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Strasbourg?
The final score was Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Lorient win, 23% to a draw, and 29% to an Strasbourg win.