Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 31
April 26, 2026 15:00
N. Cadiou
(ast. P. Katseris)
26'
P. Pagis
54'
(pen.)
62'
(ast. R. Luis)
S. Nanasi
(og)
90'+2
N. Adjei
90'+9
A. Omobamidele
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 46% win probability (draw 23%, Strasbourg 29%). The final result was Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, Lorient have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Strasbourg.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
2.16
Actual xG
1.58
3
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
9
Corners
7
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
L. Hogsberg
⚽N. Cadiou
· ast. P. Katseris
26'
⚽P. Pagis
(pen.)
54'
62'
ast. R. Luis ·
S. Nanasi⚽
64'
G. O'Neil
65'
A. Omobamidele
/
I. Doukoure
67'
A. Ouattara
/
S. El Mourabet
67'
M. Godo
/
J. Enciso
B. Dieng
/ A. Tosin
69'
L. Abergel
/ A. Avom
70'
P. Katseris
71'
73'
M. Oyedele
76'
D. Moreira
/
J. Mwanga
J. Makengo
/ S. Soumano
82'
P. Pagis
/ D. Karim
82'
85'
E. Emegha
/
G. Yassine
P. Katseris
/ Igor Silva
85'
90'+2
(og)
N. Adjei⚽
90'+9
A. Omobamidele⚽
Pre-match prediction
46.75%
Lorient
23.84%
X
29.4%
Strasbourg ←
we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg)
29.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
2.16
+0.45
1.40
1.58
+0.18
Lorient dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
38
G
25
D
32
Nathaniel Adjei
1 ⚽
D
Nathaniel Adjei
1 ⚽
D
5
Bamo Meïté
D
Bamo Meïté
D
43
K. Kouassi
M
K. Kouassi
M
6
Laurent Abergel
70'
M
Laurent Abergel
70'
M
8
Noah Cadiou
1 ⚽
M
Noah Cadiou
1 ⚽
M
77
Panos Katseris
1 👟
85'
M
Panos Katseris
1 👟
85'
M
10
P. Pagis
1 ⚽
82'
F
P. Pagis
1 ⚽
82'
F
17
Jean Victor Makengo
82'
F
Jean Victor Makengo
82'
F
12
B. Dieng
69'
F
B. Dieng
69'
F
Bench
15
Aiyegun Tosin
21'
F
Aiyegun Tosin
21'
F
62
Arthur Avom Ebong
20'
M
Arthur Avom Ebong
20'
M
44
Darlin Yongwa
D
Darlin Yongwa
D
29
Karim Dermane
8'
M
Karim Dermane
8'
M
39
G
8
Maxi Oyedele
D
Maxi Oyedele
D
6
I. Doukouré
65'
D
I. Doukouré
65'
D
24
Lucas Høgsberg
D
Lucas Høgsberg
D
18
Junior Mwanga
76'
D
Junior Mwanga
76'
D
80
Gessime Yassine
85'
M
Gessime Yassine
85'
M
29
Samir El Mourabet
67'
M
Samir El Mourabet
67'
M
83
1 👟
M
27
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
M
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
M
11
S. Nanasi
1 ⚽
F
S. Nanasi
1 ⚽
F
19
J. Enciso
67'
F
J. Enciso
67'
F
Bench
42
Abdoul Ouattara
23'
M
Abdoul Ouattara
23'
M
2
Andrew Omobamidele
1 ⚽
25'
D
Andrew Omobamidele
1 ⚽
25'
D
3
Ben Chilwell
D
Ben Chilwell
D
15
D. Fofana
F
D. Fofana
F
7
Diego Moreira
14'
F
Diego Moreira
14'
F
10
E. Emegha
16'
F
20
M. Godo
23'
F
M. Godo
23'
F
Best on the pitch
Panos Katseris
M · Lorient
8.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
Noah Cadiou
M · Lorient
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 46 pass
P. Pagis
F · Lorient
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Andrew Omobamidele
D · Strasbourg
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Lucas Høgsberg
D · Strasbourg
7.50
· 79 pass
K. Kouassi
M · Lorient
7.20
· 25 pass
Lorient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nathaniel Adjei | D | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Bamo Meïté | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Kouassi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Laurent Abergel | M | 70 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Cadiou | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Panos Katseris | M | 85 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Pagis | F | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Jean Victor Makengo | F | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Dieng | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Aiyegun Tosin | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Karim Dermane | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Strasbourg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Maxi Oyedele | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Doukouré | D | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Høgsberg | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 79 | 73% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Junior Mwanga | D | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Samir El Mourabet | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 56 | 44% | 4 | — | — | |
| Samuel Amo-Ameyaw | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nanasi | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Abdoul Ouattara | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Andrew Omobamidele | D | 25 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Emegha | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Godo | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Strasbourg?
The final score was Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Lorient win, 23% to a draw, and 29% to an Strasbourg win.