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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4 September 12, 2026 20:45 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Lorient
#9 · 12 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Toulouse
#11 · 10 pts
Ibrahima Balde (ast. Panos Katseris) 37'
Noah Mbamba (ast. Panos Katseris) 39'
48' (ast. Cristian Casseres) Casper Tengstedt
68' (ast. Cristian Casseres) Thomas Jorgensen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Toulouse 32%). The final result was Lorient 2–2 Toulouse. In 2 previous meetings, Lorient have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
3
21
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Panos Katseris
17'
⚽Ibrahima Balde · ast. Panos Katseris
37'
⚽Noah Mbamba · ast. Panos Katseris
39'
45'
Niko Sigur / Rafik Messali ↕
45'
Casper Tengstedt / Santiago Hidalgo ↕
48'
ast. Cristian Casseres · Casper Tengstedt⚽
↕ Panos Katseris / Théo Le Bris
58'
↕ Gabin Bernardeau / Isak Jensen
58'
67'
Sion Oppong / Ilyas Azizi ↕
68'
ast. Cristian Casseres · Thomas Jorgensen⚽
↕ Ibrahima Balde / Mamadou Kone
69'
↕ Noah Mbamba / Arthur Avom
69'
84'
Alexis Vossah / Niklas Schmidt ↕
84'
Ismaïl Diallo / Christ Tape ↕
Pre-match prediction
35.12%
Lorient
32.62%
X ←
32.26%
Toulouse
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lorient
1.22
—
—
Toulouse
0.98
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Lorient Lorient 3-4-2-1
38 Y. Mvogo Y. Mvogo G 5.81
32 N. Adjei N. Adjei D 6.68
3 M. Talbi M. Talbi D 6.83
20 D. Sylla D. Sylla D 6.47
43 K. Kouassi K. Kouassi M 6.70
72 N. Mbamba N. Mbamba 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.89
8 N. Cadiou N. Cadiou M 6.46
77 P. Katseris P. Katseris 2 👟 58' M 7.11
17 J. Makengo J. Makengo M 6.26
33 G. Bernardeau G. Bernardeau 58' M 5.91
18 I. Baldé I. Baldé 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.77
Bench
62 A. Avom A. Avom 21' M 6.28
2 A. Georgen A. Georgen D 0.00
15 A. Tosin A. Tosin F 0.00
21 B. Kamara B. Kamara G 0.00
10 I. Jensen I. Jensen 32' F 6.57
42 M. Kone M. Kone 21' F 6.22
55 N. Obaretin N. Obaretin D 0.00
19 S. Faye S. Faye F 0.00
11 T. Le Bris T. Le Bris 32' M 6.39
Toulouse Toulouse 4-2-3-1
60 M. Niflore M. Niflore G 6.00
12 C. Tapé C. Tapé 84' D 6.49
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie D 6.53
5 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa D 6.31
22 R. Messali R. Messali 45' D 6.24
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 2 👟 M 8.60
31 N. Schmidt N. Schmidt 84' M 6.71
37 Y. Azizi Y. Azizi 67' M 6.42
8 T. Jørgensen T. Jørgensen 1 ⚽ M 7.42
9 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 45' M 5.91
13 J. Russell-Rowe J. Russell-Rowe F 6.76
Bench
6 A. Vossah A. Vossah 6' M 5.95
20 C. Tengstedt C. Tengstedt 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.46
19 D. Odogu D. Odogu D 0.00
94 I. Diallo I. Diallo 6' D 6.12
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo F 0.00
18 M. Amougou M. Amougou M 0.00
14 N. Sigur N. Sigur 45' M 6.62
11 S. Oppong S. Oppong 23' F 6.86
1 T. Collin T. Collin G 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Cásseres
C. Cásseres
M · Toulouse
8.60
2 👟
1 shots · 133 pass
N. Mbamba
N. Mbamba
M · Lorient
7.89
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
I. Baldé
I. Baldé
F · Lorient
7.77
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
C. Tengstedt
C. Tengstedt
F · Toulouse
7.46
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
T. Jørgensen
T. Jørgensen
M · Toulouse
7.42
1 ⚽
5 shots · 35 pass
P. Katseris
P. Katseris
M · Lorient
7.11
2 👟
· 18 pass
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Mvogo G 90 5.81 — — 0 49 32% 0 — —
N. Adjei D 90 6.68 — — 0 65 61% 1 — —
M. Talbi D 90 6.83 — — 2 40 38% 1 — —
D. Sylla D 90 6.47 — — 0 46 38% 4 — —
K. Kouassi M 90 6.70 — — 1 41 35% 1 — —
N. Mbamba M 69 7.89 1 — 1 27 27% 3 — —
N. Cadiou M 90 6.46 — — 1 57 44% 1 — —
P. Katseris M 58 7.11 — 2 0 18 14% 2 1 —
J. Makengo M 90 6.26 — — 2 36 31% 2 — —
G. Bernardeau M 58 5.91 — — 0 18 13% 0 — —
I. Baldé F 69 7.77 1 — 1 13 10% 0 — —
A. Avom M 21 6.28 — — 0 20 17% 3 — —
I. Jensen F 32 6.57 — — 1 7 6% 0 — —
M. Kone F 21 6.22 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
T. Le Bris M 32 6.39 — — 1 6 5% 3 — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Niflore G 90 6.00 — — 0 20 19% 0 — —
C. Tapé D 84 6.49 — — 0 48 42% 0 — —
M. McKenzie D 90 6.53 — — 0 83 79% 1 — —
S. Koumbassa D 90 6.31 — — 0 74 66% 1 — —
R. Messali D 45 6.24 — — 0 29 22% 1 — —
C. Cásseres M 90 8.60 — 2 1 133 121% 6 — —
N. Schmidt M 84 6.71 — — 0 107 98% 2 — —
Y. Azizi M 67 6.42 — — 2 37 32% 3 — —
T. Jørgensen M 90 7.42 1 — 5 35 25% 0 — —
S. Hidalgo M 45 5.91 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
J. Russell-Rowe F 90 6.76 — — 3 20 18% 0 — —
A. Vossah M 6 5.95 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
C. Tengstedt F 45 7.46 1 — 2 14 12% 0 — —
I. Diallo D 6 6.12 — — 0 8 7% 1 — —
N. Sigur M 45 6.62 — — 0 23 21% 0 — —
S. Oppong F 23 6.86 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Toulouse?
The final score was Lorient 2–2 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Lorient win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Toulouse win.