MLS
· Regular Season - 12
May 11, 2026 03:00
N. Ordaz
45'
25'
(ast. L. Ennali)
J. McGlynn
34'
Guilherme
51'
M. Bogusz
55'
J. McGlynn
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Houston Dynamo 28%). The final result was Los Angeles FC 1–4 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
6
0.94
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
10
Corners
3
21
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
25'
ast. L. Ennali ·
J. McGlynn⚽
27'
Guilherme
34'
Guilherme⚽
S. Palencia
/ R. Raposo
43'
45'+4
J. McGlynn
⚽N. Ordaz
45'
51'
M. Bogusz⚽
55'
J. McGlynn⚽
S. Eustaquio
/ T. Tillman
59'
J. Shaffelburg
/ T. Boyd
59'
M. Delgado
/ M. Choiniere
59'
76'
A. Bouzat
/
J. McGlynn
N. Ordaz
/ J. Ebobisse
79'
D. Martinez
80'
83'
H. Herrera
/
D. Samassekou
T. Boyd
86'
88'
I. Aliyu
/
Guilherme
88'
O. Lingr
/
E. Ponce
88'
D. Holmes
/
M. Bogusz
90'+1
Felipe Andrade
R. Raposo
90'+3
Nkosi Tafari
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
40.01%
Los
31.64%
X
28.35%
Houston ←
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
28.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
0.94
-0.31
0.98
0.86
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
H. Lloris
G
H. Lloris
G
4
E. Segura
D
E. Segura
D
91
N. Tafari
D
N. Tafari
D
5
R. Porteous
D
R. Porteous
D
14
Sergi Palencia
43'
D
Sergi Palencia
43'
D
8
M. Delgado
59'
M
M. Delgado
59'
M
46
Stephen Eustaquio
59'
M
Stephen Eustaquio
59'
M
18
J. Shaffelburg
59'
M
J. Shaffelburg
59'
M
7
Son Heung-min
M
Son Heung-min
M
30
D. Martínez
M
D. Martínez
M
27
N. Ordaz
1 ⚽
79'
F
N. Ordaz
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
33
Aaron Long
D
Aaron Long
D
29
Artem Smoliakov
D
17
J. Ebobisse
16'
F
J. Ebobisse
16'
F
66
M. Choinière
36'
M
M. Choinière
36'
M
24
R. Hollingshead
D
R. Hollingshead
D
21
R. Raposo
52'
M
R. Raposo
52'
M
19
T. Boyd
36'
F
T. Boyd
36'
F
12
Thomas Hasal
G
Thomas Hasal
G
11
T. Tillman
36'
M
T. Tillman
36'
M
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
11
L. Ennali
1 👟
D
L. Ennali
1 👟
D
34
A. Resch
D
A. Resch
D
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
20
Guilherme
1 ⚽
87'
M
Guilherme
1 ⚽
87'
M
18
D. Samassékou
82'
M
D. Samassékou
82'
M
6
Artur
M
Artur
M
8
J. McGlynn
2 ⚽
76'
M
J. McGlynn
2 ⚽
76'
M
19
M. Bogusz
1 ⚽
87'
M
M. Bogusz
1 ⚽
87'
M
10
E. Ponce
87'
F
E. Ponce
87'
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
19'
M
A. Bouzat
19'
M
24
A. Ibrahim
8'
F
A. Ibrahim
8'
F
26
B. Gillingham
G
B. Gillingham
G
14
D. Holmes
8'
M
D. Holmes
8'
M
21
F. Negri
D
F. Negri
D
16
H. Herrera
13'
M
H. Herrera
13'
M
17
N. Markanich
F
N. Markanich
F
9
O. Lingr
8'
M
O. Lingr
8'
M
13
S. Vines
D
S. Vines
D
Best on the pitch
J. McGlynn
M · Houston
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 47 pass
Guilherme
M · Houston
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
L. Ennali
D · Houston
7.50
1 👟
· 29 pass
T. Tillman
M · Los
7.20
· 26 pass
M. Choinière
M · Los
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
N. Ordaz
F · Los
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Lloris | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Segura | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 88 | 83% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Tafari | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Porteous | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 90 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 43 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Shaffelburg | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Son Heung-min | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | — | — | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 37% | 4 | 1 | — |
| N. Ordaz | F | 79 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Ebobisse | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Choinière | M | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Raposo | M | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Boyd | F | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Tillman | M | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Ennali | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme | M | 87 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McGlynn | M | 76 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 47 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Bogusz | M | 87 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Holmes | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| O. Lingr | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Los Angeles FC 1–4 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Los Angeles FC win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an Houston Dynamo win.