MLS
· Regular Season - 21
August 23, 2026 04:30
D. Bouanga
(ast. J. Terry)
79'
4'
(ast. K. Velde)
D. Da Costa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Portland Timbers 28%). The final result was Los Angeles FC 1–1 Portland Timbers. In 2 previous meetings, Los Angeles FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Portland Timbers.
Match statistics
11
Shots on target
2
2.30
Actual xG
0.89
61%
Possession
39%
12
Corners
0
Match Events
4'
ast. K. Velde ·
D. Da Costa⚽
M. Choiniere
16'
T. Tillman
/ J. Shaffelburg
20'
31'
K. Kelsy
54'
Antony
/
A. Lassiter
54'
J. Ortiz
/
C. Bassett
56'
I. Smith
/
J. Fory
70'
V. Janssen
/
K. Kelsy
70'
O. Fernandez
/
K. Velde
M. Choiniere
/ J. Terry
76'
Y. Cheberko
/ R. Raposo
76'
⚽D. Bouanga
· ast. J. Terry
79'
D. Bouanga
86'
89'
V. Janssen
90'+3
V. Janssen
90'+3
V. Janssen
Pre-match prediction
46.41%
Los
24.63%
X ←
28.96%
Portland
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
2.30
+0.9
1.19
0.89
-0.3
Los Angeles FC dominated by xG (2.30 vs 0.89).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was Los Angeles FC 1–1 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Los Angeles FC win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an Portland Timbers win.