MLS
· Regular Season - 19
August 16, 2026 04:30
(pen.)
89'
A. Dreyer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 57% win probability (draw 22%, San Diego 20%). The final result was Los Angeles FC 0–1 San Diego. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Diego.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
2
0.94
Actual xG
1.14
40%
Possession
60%
9
Corners
7
Match Events
21'
29'
A. Alvarado Jr
53'
E. Achouri
/
L. Morgan
E. Segura
62'
T. Boyd
/ J. Shaffelburg
65'
T. Tillman
/ M. Choiniere
65'
73'
J. Tverskov
/
A. Alvarado Jr
73'
O. Valakari
/
Gabriel Pirani
75'
O. Valakari
M. Delgado
80'
M. Choiniere
84'
85'
C. McVey
/
I. Murphy
85'
A. Pellegrino
/
M. Ingvartsen
89'
(pen.)
A. Dreyer⚽
90'+6
A. Dreyer
90'+6
A. Dreyer
Son Heung-Min
90'+7
E. Segura
/ J. Ebobisse
90'
R. Hollingshead
/ R. Raposo
90'
90'
A. Dreyer
Pre-match prediction
57.23%
Los
22.41%
X
20.36%
San ←
we assigned to the actual result (San Diego)
20.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
0.94
-0.79
0.92
1.14
+0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs San Diego?
The final score was Los Angeles FC 0–1 San Diego.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles FC vs San Diego?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Los Angeles FC win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an San Diego win.