MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 24, 2026 04:30
J. Paintsil
(ast. M. Yamane)
28'
41'
(ast. J. McGlynn)
Guilherme
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 28%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
2.32
Actual xG
0.91
3
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
8
Corners
2
13
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
20'
M. Bogusz
⚽J. Paintsil
· ast. M. Yamane
28'
J. Paintsil
37'
38'
A. Resch
41'
ast. J. McGlynn ·
Guilherme⚽
E. Thommy
/ L. Sanabria
57'
E. Wynder
/ Matheus Nascimento
57'
57'
Felipe Andrade
66'
E. Ponce
/
O. Lingr
M. Yamane
/ M. Cuevas
67'
78'
A. Bouzat
/
H. Herrera
78'
D. Samassekou
/
Artur
J. Paintsil
/ H. Miller
79'
85'
I. Aliyu
/
Guilherme
Pre-match prediction
46.06%
Los
25.75%
X ←
28.19%
Houston
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.51
2.32
+0.81
1.09
0.91
-0.18
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (2.32 vs 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
JT Marcinkowski
G
JT Marcinkowski
G
2
Miki Yamane
1 👟
67'
D
Miki Yamane
1 👟
67'
D
5
Jakob Glesnes
D
Jakob Glesnes
D
15
Justin Haak
D
Justin Haak
D
14
John Nelson
D
John Nelson
D
22
Elijah Wynder
57'
M
Elijah Wynder
57'
M
6
Edwin Cerrillo
M
Edwin Cerrillo
M
11
Gabriel Pec
M
Gabriel Pec
M
27
Erik Thommy
57'
M
Erik Thommy
57'
M
28
Joseph Paintsil
1 ⚽
79'
M
Joseph Paintsil
1 ⚽
79'
M
18
M. Reus
F
M. Reus
F
Bench
26
Harbor Miller
14'
D
Harbor Miller
14'
D
3
Julián Aude
D
Julián Aude
D
8
Lucas Sanabria
36'
M
Lucas Sanabria
36'
M
9
Matheus Nascimento
36'
F
Matheus Nascimento
36'
F
19
Mauricio Cuevas
26'
D
Mauricio Cuevas
26'
D
4
Maya Yoshida
D
Maya Yoshida
D
1
Novak Mićović
G
Novak Mićović
G
24
Ruben Ramos
F
Ruben Ramos
F
31
Jonathan Bond
G
Jonathan Bond
G
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
34
Agustin Resch
D
Agustin Resch
D
11
Lawrence Ennali
D
Lawrence Ennali
D
6
Artur
78'
M
Artur
78'
M
19
Mateusz Bogusz
M
Mateusz Bogusz
M
8
Jack McGlynn
1 👟
M
Jack McGlynn
1 👟
M
16
Héctor Herrera
78'
M
Héctor Herrera
78'
M
20
Guilherme
1 ⚽
85'
M
Guilherme
1 ⚽
85'
M
9
Ondrej Lingr
66'
F
Ondrej Lingr
66'
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
15'
M
A. Bouzat
15'
M
26
Blake Gillingham
G
Blake Gillingham
G
18
Diadié Samassékou
15'
M
Diadié Samassékou
15'
M
14
Duane Holmes
M
Duane Holmes
M
28
Erik Sviatchenko
D
Erik Sviatchenko
D
10
Ezequiel Ponce
27'
F
Ezequiel Ponce
27'
F
21
Franco Negri
D
Franco Negri
D
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
8'
F
Ibrahim Aliyu
8'
F
17
Nick Markanich
F
Nick Markanich
F
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
M · Houston
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 59 pass
Edwin Cerrillo
M · Los
7.90
1 shots
· 88 pass
Miki Yamane
D · Los
7.70
1 👟
· 62 pass
Jakob Glesnes
D · Los
7.60
· 105 pass
Joseph Paintsil
M · Los
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Jack McGlynn
M · Houston
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 64 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Miki Yamane | D | 67 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| Jakob Glesnes | D | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 105 | 99% | — | — | — |
| Justin Haak | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 68% | — | — | — |
| John Nelson | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pec | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Erik Thommy | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Joseph Paintsil | M | 79 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Reus | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Nascimento | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jack McGlynn | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Ondrej Lingr | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Houston Dynamo win.