MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 06:30
M. Reus
57'
51'
(ast. J. Pereyra)
A. Markanich
67'
(ast. T. Chancalay)
K. Yeboah
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Minnesota United FC 26%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–2 Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
1.99
Actual xG
1.42
2
Saves
7
59%
Possession
41%
9
Corners
0
21
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
44'
A. Markanich
51'
ast. J. Pereyra ·
A. Markanich⚽
⚽M. Reus
57'
61'
D. Padelford
/
N. Romero
63'
M. Duggan
L. Sanabria
/ E. Thommy
64'
J. Aude
/ J. Nelson
64'
67'
ast. T. Chancalay ·
K. Yeboah⚽
E. Wynder
70'
M. Cuevas
/ M. Yamane
75'
E. Wynder
/ H. Miller
76'
81'
C. Harvey
/
O. Gene
81'
B. Hlongwane
/
T. Chancalay
82'
K. Chandler
/
A. Markanich
E. Cerrillo
/ M. Yoshida
90'+3
90'+6
M. Dieng
/
K. Yeboah
90'+8
K. Duncan
C. Garces
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
47.03%
Los
26.8%
X
26.17%
Minnesota ←
we assigned to the actual result (Minnesota United FC)
26.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.66
1.99
-0.67
0.70
1.42
+0.72
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
JT Marcinkowski
G
JT Marcinkowski
G
3
J. Aude
64'
D
25
Carlos Garcés
D
Carlos Garcés
D
15
Justin Haak
D
Justin Haak
D
19
Mauricio Cuevas
75'
D
Mauricio Cuevas
75'
D
22
Elijah Wynder
76'
M
Elijah Wynder
76'
M
6
Edwin Cerrillo
89'
M
Edwin Cerrillo
89'
M
8
Lucas Sanabria
64'
M
Lucas Sanabria
64'
M
18
Marco Reus
1 ⚽
M
Marco Reus
1 ⚽
M
11
Gabriel Pec
M
Gabriel Pec
M
99
Joao Klauss
F
Bench
27
Erik Thommy
26'
M
Erik Thommy
26'
M
26
Harbor Miller
14'
D
Harbor Miller
14'
D
4
Maya Yoshida
1'
D
Maya Yoshida
1'
D
2
Miki Yamane
15'
D
Miki Yamane
15'
D
24
Ruben Ramos
F
Ruben Ramos
F
12
G
5
Nicolás Romero
61'
D
Nicolás Romero
61'
D
23
Morris Duggan
D
Morris Duggan
D
28
Jefferson Díaz
D
Jefferson Díaz
D
13
Anthony Markanich
1 ⚽
82'
M
Anthony Markanich
1 ⚽
82'
M
30
Owen Gene
81'
M
Owen Gene
81'
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
M
Nectarios Triantis
M
3
Kyle Duncan
M
Kyle Duncan
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
1 👟
81'
F
Tomás Chancalay
1 👟
81'
F
9
Kelvin Yeboah
1 ⚽
89'
F
Kelvin Yeboah
1 ⚽
89'
F
26
Joaquín Pereyra
1 👟
F
Joaquín Pereyra
1 👟
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
Alec Smir
G
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
9'
F
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
9'
F
67
C. Harvey
9'
M
2
Devin Padelford
29'
D
Devin Padelford
29'
D
27
D.J. Taylor
D
D.J. Taylor
D
33
Kieran Chandler
8'
D
Kieran Chandler
8'
D
29
Mamadou Dieng
1'
F
Mamadou Dieng
1'
F
18
Mauricio González
F
Mauricio González
F
Best on the pitch
Anthony Markanich
M · Minnesota
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
Joaquín Pereyra
F · Minnesota
7.50
1 👟
· 63 pass
Nectarios Triantis
M · Minnesota
7.50
2 shots
· 50 pass
Morris Duggan
D · Minnesota
7.30
· 38 pass
G · Minnesota
7.30
· 19 pass
Marco Reus
M · Los
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 40 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Aude | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Garcés | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 82% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Justin Haak | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 95 | 90% | 3 | — | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | D | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Marco Reus | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pec | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Joao Klauss | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Erik Thommy | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Maya Yoshida | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Miki Yamane | D | 15 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Nicolás Romero | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Morris Duggan | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 82 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyle Duncan | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 81 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Pereyra | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Harvey | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Kieran Chandler | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–2 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 26% to a draw, and 26% to an Minnesota United FC win.