MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 27, 2026 03:00
M. Reus
9'
(og)
45'+4
J. Marcinkowski
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 31%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
8
2.61
Actual xG
1.19
8
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
0
21
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽M. Reus
9'
J. Haak
21'
L. Sanabria
42'
45'+4
(og)
J. Marcinkowski⚽
J. Glesnes
/ E. Cerrillo
46'
48'
N. Caliskan
Pre-match prediction
41.86%
Los ←
26.45%
X
31.69%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy)
41.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
2.61
+0.41
1.72
1.19
-0.53
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (2.61 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
JT Marcinkowski
1 ⚽
G
JT Marcinkowski
1 ⚽
G
14
89'
D
25
Carlos Garcés
D
Carlos Garcés
D
5
Jakob Glesnes
45'
D
Jakob Glesnes
45'
D
19
Mauricio Cuevas
D
Mauricio Cuevas
D
8
Lucas Sanabria
M
Lucas Sanabria
M
15
Justin Haak
M
Justin Haak
M
18
Marco Reus
1 ⚽
89'
M
Marco Reus
1 ⚽
89'
M
26
Harbor Miller
72'
F
Harbor Miller
72'
F
28
Joseph Paintsil
F
Joseph Paintsil
F
11
Gabriel Pec
F
Gabriel Pec
F
Bench
6
Edwin Cerrillo
22'
M
Edwin Cerrillo
22'
M
22
Elijah Wynder
31'
M
Elijah Wynder
31'
M
2
Miki Yamane
26'
D
Miki Yamane
26'
D
24
Ruben Ramos
F
Ruben Ramos
F
1
G
29
D
15
J. Glad
D
26
76'
D
8
Juan Sanabria
M
Juan Sanabria
M
92
Noel Caliskan
M
Noel Caliskan
M
6
Stijn Spierings
87'
M
Stijn Spierings
87'
M
72
Zavier Gozo
M
Zavier Gozo
M
10
Diego Luna
76'
F
Diego Luna
76'
F
39
56'
F
17
56'
F
Bench
98
Alexandros Katranis
D
Alexandros Katranis
D
2
DeAndre Yedlin
22'
D
DeAndre Yedlin
22'
D
9
Morgan Guilavogui
42'
F
Morgan Guilavogui
42'
F
22
Sergi Solans
42'
F
Sergi Solans
42'
F
Best on the pitch
Marco Reus
M · Los
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 41 pass
G · Real
8.20
· 51 pass
JT Marcinkowski
G · Los
8.00
1 ⚽
· 42 pass
J. Glad
D · Real
7.60
1 shots
· 70 pass
Joseph Paintsil
F · Los
7.50
3 shots
· 17 pass
Lucas Sanabria
M · Los
7.30
2 shots
· 36 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 98 | 8.00 | 1 | — | — | 42 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 4 | — | — | |
| Carlos Garcés | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Jakob Glesnes | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Justin Haak | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marco Reus | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | F | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Joseph Paintsil | F | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pec | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 31 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Miki Yamane | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| J. Glad | D | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 65% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Zavier Gozo | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Diego Luna | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| F | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — | |
| DeAndre Yedlin | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergi Solans | F | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Real Salt Lake win.