MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 27, 2026 01:00
M. Reus
9'
(og)
45'+4
J. Marcinkowski
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 31%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Real Salt Lake. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Real Salt Lake.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
8
2.61
Actual xG
1.19
8
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
0
21
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽M. Reus
9'
J. Haak
21'
L. Sanabria
42'
45'+4
(og)
J. Marcinkowski⚽
J. Glesnes
/ E. Cerrillo
46'
48'
N. Caliskan
Pre-match prediction
41.86%
Los ←
26.45%
X
31.69%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy)
41.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
2.61
+0.41
1.72
1.19
-0.53
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (2.61 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
J. Marcinkowski
1 ⚽
G
J. Marcinkowski
1 ⚽
G
14
89'
D
25
C. Garcés
D
C. Garcés
D
5
J. Glesnes
45'
D
J. Glesnes
45'
D
19
M. Cuevas
D
M. Cuevas
D
8
L. Sanabria
M
L. Sanabria
M
15
J. Haak
M
J. Haak
M
18
M. Reus
1 ⚽
89'
M
M. Reus
1 ⚽
89'
M
26
Harbor Miller
72'
F
Harbor Miller
72'
F
28
J. Paintsil
F
J. Paintsil
F
11
Gabriel Pec
F
Gabriel Pec
F
Bench
6
E. Cerrillo
22'
M
E. Cerrillo
22'
M
22
E. Wynder
31'
M
E. Wynder
31'
M
2
M. Yamane
26'
D
M. Yamane
26'
D
24
R. Ramos
F
R. Ramos
F
1
G
29
D
15
Justen Glad
D
Justen Glad
D
26
76'
D
8
Juan Sanabria
M
Juan Sanabria
M
92
N. Caliskan
M
N. Caliskan
M
6
S. Spierings
87'
M
S. Spierings
87'
M
72
Zavier Gozo
M
Zavier Gozo
M
10
D. Luna
76'
F
D. Luna
76'
F
39
56'
F
17
56'
F
Bench
98
Alexandros Katranis
D
Alexandros Katranis
D
2
D. Yedlin
22'
D
D. Yedlin
22'
D
9
M. Guilavogui
42'
F
M. Guilavogui
42'
F
22
S. Solans
42'
F
S. Solans
42'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Reus
M · Los
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 41 pass
G · Real
8.20
· 51 pass
J. Marcinkowski
G · Los
8.00
1 ⚽
· 42 pass
Justen Glad
D · Real
7.60
1 shots
· 70 pass
J. Paintsil
F · Los
7.50
3 shots
· 17 pass
L. Sanabria
M · Los
7.30
2 shots
· 36 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marcinkowski | G | 98 | 8.00 | 1 | — | — | 42 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 4 | — | — | |
| C. Garcés | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Glesnes | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Cuevas | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Sanabria | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 6 | 1 | — |
| J. Haak | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Reus | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | F | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Paintsil | F | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pec | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Cerrillo | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Wynder | M | 31 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Yamane | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| Justen Glad | D | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 4 | 1 | — |
| N. Caliskan | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 65% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Spierings | M | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Zavier Gozo | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Luna | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| F | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Yedlin | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Guilavogui | F | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Solans | F | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Real Salt Lake win.