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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 27, 2026 01:00
#11 · 21 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#4 · 26 pts
M. Reus 9'
(og) 45'+4 J. Marcinkowski
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 31%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Real Salt Lake. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Real Salt Lake.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
8
2.61
Actual xG
1.19
8
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
0
21
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
M. Reus
9'
J. Haak
21'
L. Sanabria
42'
45'+4
(og) J. Marcinkowski
J. Glesnes / E. Cerrillo
46'
48'
N. Caliskan
Pre-match prediction
41.86%
Los ←
26.45%
X
31.69%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy) 41.86% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Los
2.20
2.61
+0.41
Real
1.72
1.19
-0.53
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (2.61 vs 1.19). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 16 33
2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 18 33
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 17 33
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 16 26
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 16 26
6 FC Dallas FC Dallas 17 26
7 St. Louis City St. Louis City 17 25
8 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 16 24
9 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 17 23
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 17 21
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 18 21
12 San Diego San Diego 17 20
13 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 17 19
14 Austin Austin 17 17
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 17 14
Lineups
12 JT Marcinkowski JT Marcinkowski 1 ⚽ G 8.00
14
89' D 6.70
25 Carlos Garcés Carlos Garcés D 6.30
5 Jakob Glesnes Jakob Glesnes 45' D 6.30
19 Mauricio Cuevas Mauricio Cuevas D 6.50
8 Lucas Sanabria Lucas Sanabria M 7.30
15 Justin Haak Justin Haak M 6.90
18 M. Reus M. Reus 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.30
26 Harbor Miller Harbor Miller 72' F 7.30
28 Joseph Paintsil Joseph Paintsil F 7.50
11 Gabriel Pec Gabriel Pec F 6.90
Bench
6 Edwin Cerrillo Edwin Cerrillo 22' M 6.90
22 Elijah Wynder Elijah Wynder 31' M 7.20
2 Miki Yamane Miki Yamane 26' D 6.90
24 Ruben Ramos Ruben Ramos F
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
1
G 8.20
29
D 6.30
15 Justen Glad Justen Glad D 7.60
26
76' D 6.90
8 Juan Sanabria Juan Sanabria M 7.20
92 Noel Caliskan Noel Caliskan M 6.90
6 Stijn Spierings Stijn Spierings 87' M 6.20
72 Z. Gozo Z. Gozo M 6.50
10 D. Luna D. Luna 76' F 6.70
39
56' F 7.00
17
56' F 6.90
Bench
98 Alexandros Katranis Alexandros Katranis D
2 DeAndre Yedlin DeAndre Yedlin 22' D 6.90
9 Morgan Guilavogui Morgan Guilavogui 42' F 6.90
22 Sergi Solans Sergi Solans 42' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
M. Reus
M. Reus
M · Los
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 41 pass
G · Real
8.20
· 51 pass
JT Marcinkowski
JT Marcinkowski
G · Los
8.00
1 ⚽
· 42 pass
Justen Glad
Justen Glad
D · Real
7.60
1 shots · 70 pass
Joseph Paintsil
Joseph Paintsil
F · Los
7.50
3 shots · 17 pass
Lucas Sanabria
Lucas Sanabria
M · Los
7.30
2 shots · 36 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
JT Marcinkowski G 98 8.00 1 42 25%
D 89 6.70 37 28% 4
Carlos Garcés D 98 6.30 42 36% 2
Jakob Glesnes D 45 6.30 22 16%
Mauricio Cuevas D 98 6.50 37 26% 2 1
Lucas Sanabria M 98 7.30 2 36 28% 6 1
Justin Haak M 98 6.90 31 26% 2 1
M. Reus M 89 8.30 1 3 41 38% 1
Harbor Miller F 72 7.30 1 31 22% 2
Joseph Paintsil F 98 7.50 3 17 14% 1
Gabriel Pec F 98 6.90 4 20 18%
Edwin Cerrillo M 22 6.90 10 8% 1
Elijah Wynder M 31 7.20 9 9% 1
Miki Yamane D 26 6.90 11 10%
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 8.20 51 50% 1
D 98 6.30 1 65 60% 2 1
Justen Glad D 98 7.60 1 70 62% 2
D 76 6.90 54 46% 1
Juan Sanabria M 98 7.20 60 50% 4 1
Noel Caliskan M 98 6.90 1 74 65% 2 1
Stijn Spierings M 87 6.20 1 60 53%
Z. Gozo M 98 6.50 2 26 19%
D. Luna F 76 6.70 1 55 45% 1
F 56 7.00 16 12% 1
F 56 6.90 2 9 7% 1
DeAndre Yedlin D 22 6.90 12 12% 1
Morgan Guilavogui F 42 6.90 2 25 21% 1
Sergi Solans F 42 6.30 5 2% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Real Salt Lake win.