MLS
· Regular Season - 20
August 20, 2026 04:30
J. Paintsil
(ast. H. Miller)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 48% win probability (draw 22%, San Jose Earthquakes 28%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–0 San Jose Earthquakes. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
15
7
Shots on target
5
1.37
Actual xG
2.35
4
Saves
6
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
5
14
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
H. Miller
24'
29'
N. Fernandez
L. Sanabria
37'
L. Sanabria
45'
L. Sanabria
45'
46'
T. Werner
/
N. Tsakiris
46'
O. Bouda
/
J. Skahan
57'
D. Romney
61'
B. Leroux
/
N. Fernandez
61'
P. Judd
/
L. Jovanovic
H. Lozano
/ R. Taylor
68'
74'
Vitor Costa
/
P. Marie
⚽J. Paintsil
· ast. H. Miller
79'
J. Paintsil
/ T. Elgersma
83'
84'
J. Jasinski
J. Haak
90'+2
K. Furuhashi
/ J. Nelson
90'
Pre-match prediction
48.7%
Los ←
22.86%
X
28.44%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy)
48.7%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
1.37
-0.38
1.22
2.35
+1.13
San Jose Earthquakes dominated by xG (2.35 vs 1.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
J. Marcinkowski
G
J. Marcinkowski
G
3
J. Aude
D
J. Aude
D
4
M. Yoshida
D
M. Yoshida
D
5
J. Glesnes
D
J. Glesnes
D
26
Harbor Miller
1 👟
D
Harbor Miller
1 👟
D
15
J. Haak
M
J. Haak
M
8
L. Sanabria
45'
M
L. Sanabria
45'
M
11
H. Lozano
68'
M
H. Lozano
68'
M
18
M. Reus
M
M. Reus
M
28
J. Paintsil
1 ⚽
83'
M
J. Paintsil
1 ⚽
83'
M
7
K. Furuhashi
F
K. Furuhashi
F
Bench
20
C. Rindov
D
C. Rindov
D
27
E. Thommy
M
E. Thommy
M
16
I. Parente
M
I. Parente
M
14
J. Nelson
1'
D
J. Nelson
1'
D
1
N. Mićović
G
N. Mićović
G
24
R. Ramos
F
R. Ramos
F
21
R. Taylor
23'
M
R. Taylor
23'
M
76
T. Elgersma
8'
M
T. Elgersma
8'
M
1
A. Gunn
G
A. Gunn
G
2
J. Ricketts
D
J. Ricketts
D
4
D. Romney
D
D. Romney
D
25
M. Floriani
D
M. Floriani
D
17
Jack Jasinski
D
Jack Jasinski
D
20
N. Fernandez
61'
M
N. Fernandez
61'
M
6
I. Harkes
M
I. Harkes
M
3
Paul Marie
74'
M
Paul Marie
74'
M
10
N. Tsakiris
45'
M
N. Tsakiris
45'
M
16
J. Skahan
45'
M
J. Skahan
45'
M
9
L. Jovanović
61'
F
L. Jovanović
61'
F
Bench
34
Beau Leroux
30'
M
Beau Leroux
30'
M
28
B. Kikanovic
F
B. Kikanovic
F
5
D. Munie
D
D. Munie
D
31
Francesco Montali
G
Francesco Montali
G
40
Jonathan Gonzalez
M
Jonathan Gonzalez
M
7
O. Bouda
46'
F
O. Bouda
46'
F
19
P. Judd
30'
F
P. Judd
30'
F
11
Timo Werner
46'
F
Timo Werner
46'
F
87
Vítor Costa
17'
D
Vítor Costa
17'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Gunn
G · San
8.20
· 20 pass
J. Glesnes
D · Los
8.20
· 32 pass
J. Paintsil
M · Los
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 15 pass
Harbor Miller
D · Los
7.60
1 👟
· 17 pass
Paul Marie
M · San
7.30
1 shots
· 25 pass
M. Floriani
D · San
7.20
2 shots
· 77 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marcinkowski | G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Aude | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Yoshida | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | — | — | — |
| J. Glesnes | D | 91 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | D | 91 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Haak | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Sanabria | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| H. Lozano | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Reus | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Paintsil | M | 83 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 15 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Furuhashi | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Nelson | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Taylor | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Elgersma | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gunn | G | 91 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Ricketts | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Romney | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Floriani | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 41 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Harkes | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul Marie | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Tsakiris | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Skahan | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Jovanović | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| O. Bouda | F | 46 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| P. Judd | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Timo Werner | F | 46 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Vítor Costa | D | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–0 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 22% to a draw, and 28% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.