Los Angeles Galaxy - Seattle Sounders
MLS
September 13, 2026 04:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.37%
Win
Los Angeles Galaxy
27.8%
Draw
27.82%
Win
Seattle Sounders
1.22
0.89
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.44%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
28%
2
28%
Double Chance
✓ 88.6% hit rate (35 picks)
1X
72%
X2
56%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
41%
✓ 74.1% hit rate (85 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Los Angeles Galaxy a 44% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Seattle Sounders. Expected goals are 1.2 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 0.9 for Seattle Sounders (total 2.1), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.44% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Seattle Sounders.
Season Stats
4W
5D
6L
2W
5D
8L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.9
1.5
Conceded
1.7
4.3
Shots OT
4.7
4.9
Corners
5.0
47%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
47%
60%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
3W
3D
4L
· at home
3W
3D
4L
· away
1.0
gls/g
0.7
1.4
Conceded
0.9
30%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
40%
60%
O 2.5
20%
10%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Los Angeles Galaxy
Attack
35
Defence
47
Form
47
Seattle Sounders
Attack
28
Defence
54
Form
33
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
17 May 2026
2–0
Western Conference
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
23 | 46 |
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
|
24 | 43 |
| 3 |
Los Angeles FC
|
25 | 40 |
| 4 |
FC Dallas
|
24 | 40 |
| 5 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
24 | 38 |
| 6 |
St. Louis City
|
24 | 38 |
| 7 |
Colorado Rapids
|
24 | 32 |
| 8 |
Portland Timbers
|
24 | 32 |
| 9 |
San Diego
|
24 | 30 |
| 10 |
Real Salt Lake
|
23 | 29 |
| 11 |
Minnesota United FC
|
24 | 29 |
| 12 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
25 | 29 |
| 13 |
Seattle Sounders
|
22 | 27 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
24 | 26 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
23 | 15 |
What's at stake · Western Conference
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #12 | #13 |
| → Los Angeles Galaxy | #9 | #13 |
| → Draw | #10 | #13 |
| → Seattle Sounders | #13 | #10 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
The model gives Los Angeles Galaxy a 44% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 27% for an Seattle Sounders win.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
Expected goals: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.2, Seattle Sounders 0.9 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.44%.