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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 04:30
#12 · 29 pts
1 – 3
Final score
#6 · 38 pts
T. Elgersma 86'
42' (ast. M. Hartel) L. MacNaughton
45'+1 (ast. T. Totland) M. Hartel
68' (ast. M. Hartel) S. Becher
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 40% win probability (draw 25%, St. Louis City 33%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
8
0.90
Actual xG
2.08
5
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
7
11
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
42'
ast. M. Hartel · L. MacNaughton
45'+1
ast. T. Totland · M. Hartel
C. Garces
45'+1
M. Reus
45'+4
C. Garces
49'
C. Garces
49'
56'
L. MacNaughton
M. Reus / R. Taylor
59'
62'
S. Jeong / E. Lowen
62'
J. Orozco / L. MacNaughton
62'
Rafael Santos / M. Joyner
J. Nelson / J. Aude
64'
L. Sanabria / I. Parente
65'
68'
ast. M. Hartel · S. Becher
J. Glesnes
71'
J. Paintsil / T. Elgersma
74'
E. Wynder / M. Yoshida
74'
T. Elgersma
86'
86'
P. Ault / S. Becher
86'
M. Perez / D. Edelman
Pre-match prediction
40.93%
Los
25.83%
X
33.24%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 33.24% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Los
1.41
0.90
-0.51
St.
1.35
2.08
+0.73
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
12 J. Marcinkowski J. Marcinkowski G 7.90
14 J. Nelson J. Nelson 64' D 6.50
25 C. Garcés C. Garcés 49' D 5.50
5 J. Glesnes J. Glesnes D 6.30
2 M. Yamane M. Yamane D 6.30
15 J. Haak J. Haak M 6.20
26 Harbor Miller Harbor Miller M 6.70
8 L. Sanabria L. Sanabria 65' M 7.30
22 Elijah Wynder Elijah Wynder 74' M 6.50
28 J. Paintsil J. Paintsil 74' M 6.90
18 M. Reus M. Reus 59' F 6.30
Bench
20 C. Rindov C. Rindov D
16 I. Parente I. Parente 28' M 6.70
3 J. Aude J. Aude 29' D 6.50
4 M. Yoshida M. Yoshida 19' D 6.50
1 N. Mićović N. Mićović G
21 R. Taylor R. Taylor 34' M 6.60
76 T. Elgersma T. Elgersma 1 ⚽ 19' M 7.30
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-1-2
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki G 6.90
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 6.70
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 7.30
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton 1 ⚽ 62' D 7.60
14 T. Totland T. Totland 1 👟 M 6.90
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin M 6.90
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman 86' M 6.90
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner 62' M 6.30
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 9.70
11 S. Becher S. Becher 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.90
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 62' F 6.50
Bench
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G
27 F. Fall F. Fall D
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 31' F 6.70
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco 31' D 6.30
22 Kyle Hiebert Kyle Hiebert D
28 M. Perez M. Perez 7' M
29 Palmer Ault Palmer Ault 7' M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 31' D 6.30
7 T. Ostrák T. Ostrák M
Best on the pitch
M. Hartel
M. Hartel
F · St.
9.70
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots · 44 pass
J. Marcinkowski
J. Marcinkowski
G · Los
7.90
· 34 pass
S. Becher
S. Becher
F · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 17 pass
L. MacNaughton
L. MacNaughton
D · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
T. Elgersma
T. Elgersma
M · Los
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
L. Sanabria
L. Sanabria
M · Los
7.30
· 31 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Marcinkowski G 93 7.90 34 26%
J. Nelson D 64 6.50 31 24%
C. Garcés D 49 5.50 20 19% 2 2 1
J. Glesnes D 93 6.30 48 37% 1 1
M. Yamane D 93 6.30 1 54 49%
J. Haak M 93 6.20 34 27%
Harbor Miller M 93 6.70 33 25% 2
L. Sanabria M 65 7.30 31 26% 3
Elijah Wynder M 74 6.50 29 23% 1
J. Paintsil M 74 6.90 2 27 24% 1
M. Reus F 59 6.30 1 24 19% 1
I. Parente M 28 6.70 13 13%
J. Aude D 29 6.50 16 11% 1
M. Yoshida D 19 6.50 5 5%
R. Taylor M 34 6.60 11 8%
T. Elgersma M 19 7.30 1 2 4 3%
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 93 6.90 37 27%
D. Polvara D 93 6.70 56 51% 2
T. Baumgartl D 93 7.30 66 61% 1
L. MacNaughton D 62 7.60 1 1 38 35% 1 1
T. Totland M 93 6.90 1 25 17% 3
C. Durkin M 93 6.90 67 63% 1
D. Edelman M 86 6.90 46 39% 2
M. Joyner M 62 6.30 14 12%
M. Hartel F 93 9.70 1 2 4 44 37% 3
S. Becher F 86 7.90 1 5 17 11%
E. Löwen F 62 6.50 19 15% 1
Jeong Sang-Bin F 31 6.70 1 10 7%
J. Orozco D 31 6.30 15 15%
M. Perez M 7 3 3%
Palmer Ault M 7 2 1% 1
Rafael Santos D 31 6.30 15 14%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an St. Louis City win.