MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 04:30
T. Elgersma
86'
42'
(ast. M. Hartel)
L. MacNaughton
45'+1
(ast. T. Totland)
M. Hartel
68'
(ast. M. Hartel)
S. Becher
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 40% win probability (draw 25%, St. Louis City 33%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
8
0.90
Actual xG
2.08
5
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
7
11
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
42'
ast. M. Hartel ·
L. MacNaughton⚽
45'+1
ast. T. Totland ·
M. Hartel⚽
C. Garces
45'+1
M. Reus
45'+4
C. Garces
49'
C. Garces
49'
56'
L. MacNaughton
M. Reus
/ R. Taylor
59'
62'
S. Jeong
/
E. Lowen
62'
J. Orozco
/
L. MacNaughton
62'
Rafael Santos
/
M. Joyner
J. Nelson
/ J. Aude
64'
L. Sanabria
/ I. Parente
65'
68'
ast. M. Hartel ·
S. Becher⚽
J. Glesnes
71'
J. Paintsil
/ T. Elgersma
74'
E. Wynder
/ M. Yoshida
74'
⚽T. Elgersma
86'
86'
P. Ault
/
S. Becher
86'
M. Perez
/
D. Edelman
Pre-match prediction
40.93%
Los
25.83%
X
33.24%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City)
33.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
0.90
-0.51
1.35
2.08
+0.73
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.90).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
JT Marcinkowski
G
JT Marcinkowski
G
14
John Nelson
64'
D
John Nelson
64'
D
25
Carlos Garcés
49'
D
Carlos Garcés
49'
D
5
Jakob Glesnes
D
Jakob Glesnes
D
2
Miki Yamane
D
Miki Yamane
D
15
Justin Haak
M
Justin Haak
M
26
Harbor Miller
M
Harbor Miller
M
8
Lucas Sanabria
65'
M
Lucas Sanabria
65'
M
22
Elijah Wynder
74'
M
Elijah Wynder
74'
M
28
Joseph Paintsil
74'
M
Joseph Paintsil
74'
M
18
M. Reus
59'
F
M. Reus
59'
F
Bench
20
Chris Rindov
D
Chris Rindov
D
16
Isaiah Parente
28'
M
Isaiah Parente
28'
M
3
Julián Aude
29'
D
Julián Aude
29'
D
4
Maya Yoshida
19'
D
Maya Yoshida
19'
D
1
Novak Mićović
G
Novak Mićović
G
21
Robert Taylor
34'
M
Robert Taylor
34'
M
76
Troy Elgersma
1 ⚽
19'
M
Troy Elgersma
1 ⚽
19'
M
1
Roman Bürki
G
Roman Bürki
G
21
Dante Polvara
D
Dante Polvara
D
32
Timo Baumgartl
D
Timo Baumgartl
D
5
Lukas MacNaughton
1 ⚽
62'
D
Lukas MacNaughton
1 ⚽
62'
D
14
Tomas Totland
1 👟
M
Tomas Totland
1 👟
M
8
C. Durkin
M
C. Durkin
M
24
Daniel Edelman
86'
M
Daniel Edelman
86'
M
59
Mykhi Joyner
62'
M
Mykhi Joyner
62'
M
17
Marcel Hartel
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
Marcel Hartel
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
11
Simon Becher
1 ⚽
86'
F
Simon Becher
1 ⚽
86'
F
10
Eduard Löwen
62'
F
Eduard Löwen
62'
F
Bench
39
Benjamin Lundt
G
Benjamin Lundt
G
27
Fallou Fall
D
Fallou Fall
D
99
Jaziel Orozco
31'
D
Jaziel Orozco
31'
D
77
Jeong Sang-bin
31'
F
Jeong Sang-bin
31'
F
22
Kyle Hiebert
D
Kyle Hiebert
D
28
Miguel Perez
7'
M
Miguel Perez
7'
M
29
Palmer Ault
7'
M
Palmer Ault
7'
M
20
Rafael Santos
31'
D
Rafael Santos
31'
D
7
Tomáš Ostrák
M
Tomáš Ostrák
M
Best on the pitch
Marcel Hartel
F · St.
9.70
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots
· 44 pass
JT Marcinkowski
G · Los
7.90
· 34 pass
Simon Becher
F · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 17 pass
Lukas MacNaughton
D · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
Troy Elgersma
M · Los
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
Lucas Sanabria
M · Los
7.30
· 31 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| John Nelson | D | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Garcés | D | 49 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Jakob Glesnes | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Miki Yamane | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Justin Haak | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Joseph Paintsil | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reus | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Isaiah Parente | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Julián Aude | D | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Maya Yoshida | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Robert Taylor | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Troy Elgersma | M | 19 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
St. Louis City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Bürki | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Dante Polvara | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 62 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomas Totland | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Durkin | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 93 | 9.70 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Simon Becher | F | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Eduard Löwen | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaziel Orozco | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-bin | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Palmer Ault | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an St. Louis City win.