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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 04:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
#7 · 44 pts
1 – 3
Final score
St. Louis City
#4 · 51 pts
T. Elgersma 86'
42' (ast. M. Hartel) L. MacNaughton
45'+1 (ast. T. Totland) M. Hartel
68' (ast. M. Hartel) S. Becher
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 40% win probability (draw 25%, St. Louis City 33%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City. In 2 previous meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
8
0.90
Actual xG
2.08
5
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
7
11
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
42'
ast. M. Hartel · L. MacNaughton⚽
45'+1
ast. T. Totland · M. Hartel⚽
C. Garces
45'+1
M. Reus
45'+4
C. Garces
49'
C. Garces
49'
56'
L. MacNaughton
↕ M. Reus / R. Taylor
59'
62'
S. Jeong / E. Lowen ↕
62'
J. Orozco / L. MacNaughton ↕
62'
Rafael Santos / M. Joyner ↕
↕ J. Nelson / J. Aude
64'
↕ L. Sanabria / I. Parente
65'
68'
ast. M. Hartel · S. Becher⚽
J. Glesnes
71'
↕ J. Paintsil / T. Elgersma
74'
↕ E. Wynder / M. Yoshida
74'
⚽T. Elgersma
86'
86'
P. Ault / S. Becher ↕
86'
M. Perez / D. Edelman ↕
Pre-match prediction
40.93%
Los
25.83%
X
33.24%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 33.24% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Los
1.41
0.90
-0.51
St.
1.35
2.08
+0.73
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 61
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 33 52
4 St. Louis City St. Louis City 33 51
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 43
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 43
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 43
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 33 42
12 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 33 41
13 San Diego San Diego 33 38
14 Austin Austin 33 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 23
Lineups
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1-4-1
12 J. Marcinkowski J. Marcinkowski G 7.90
14 J. Nelson J. Nelson 64' D 6.50
25 C. Garcés C. Garcés 49' D 5.50
5 J. Glesnes J. Glesnes D 6.30
2 M. Yamane M. Yamane D 6.30
15 J. Haak J. Haak M 6.20
26 Harbor Miller Harbor Miller M 6.70
8 L. Sanabria L. Sanabria 65' M 7.30
22 E. Wynder E. Wynder 74' M 6.50
28 J. Paintsil J. Paintsil 74' M 6.90
18 M. Reus M. Reus 59' F 6.30
Bench
20 C. Rindov C. Rindov D
16 Isaiah Parente Isaiah Parente 28' M 6.70
3 J. Aude J. Aude 29' D 6.50
4 M. Yoshida M. Yoshida 19' D 6.50
1 N. Mićović N. Mićović G
21 R. Taylor R. Taylor 34' M 6.60
76 T. Elgersma T. Elgersma 1 ⚽ 19' M 7.30
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-1-2
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki G 6.90
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 6.70
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 7.30
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton 1 ⚽ 62' D 7.60
14 T. Totland T. Totland 1 👟 M 6.90
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin M 6.90
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman 86' M 6.90
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner 62' M 6.30
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 9.70
11 S. Becher S. Becher 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.90
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 62' F 6.50
Bench
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G
27 F. Fall F. Fall D
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 31' F 6.70
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco 31' D 6.30
22 Kyle Hiebert Kyle Hiebert D
28 M. Perez M. Perez 7' M
29 Palmer Ault Palmer Ault 7' M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 31' D 6.30
7 T. Ostrák T. Ostrák M
Best on the pitch
M. Hartel
M. Hartel
F · St.
9.70
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots · 44 pass
J. Marcinkowski
J. Marcinkowski
G · Los
7.90
· 34 pass
S. Becher
S. Becher
F · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 17 pass
L. MacNaughton
L. MacNaughton
D · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
T. Elgersma
T. Elgersma
M · Los
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
L. Sanabria
L. Sanabria
M · Los
7.30
· 31 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Marcinkowski G 93 7.90 — — — 34 26% — — —
J. Nelson D 64 6.50 — — — 31 24% — — —
C. Garcés D 49 5.50 — — — 20 19% 2 2 1
J. Glesnes D 93 6.30 — — — 48 37% 1 1 —
M. Yamane D 93 6.30 — — 1 54 49% — — —
J. Haak M 93 6.20 — — — 34 27% — — —
Harbor Miller M 93 6.70 — — — 33 25% 2 — —
L. Sanabria M 65 7.30 — — — 31 26% 3 — —
E. Wynder M 74 6.50 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
J. Paintsil M 74 6.90 — — 2 27 24% 1 — —
M. Reus F 59 6.30 — — 1 24 19% — 1 —
Isaiah Parente M 28 6.70 — — — 13 13% — — —
J. Aude D 29 6.50 — — — 16 11% 1 — —
M. Yoshida D 19 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
R. Taylor M 34 6.60 — — — 11 8% — — —
T. Elgersma M 19 7.30 1 — 2 4 3% — — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 93 6.90 — — — 37 27% — — —
D. Polvara D 93 6.70 — — — 56 51% 2 — —
T. Baumgartl D 93 7.30 — — — 66 61% 1 — —
L. MacNaughton D 62 7.60 1 — 1 38 35% 1 1 —
T. Totland M 93 6.90 — 1 — 25 17% 3 — —
C. Durkin M 93 6.90 — — — 67 63% 1 — —
D. Edelman M 86 6.90 — — — 46 39% 2 — —
M. Joyner M 62 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
M. Hartel F 93 9.70 1 2 4 44 37% 3 — —
S. Becher F 86 7.90 1 — 5 17 11% — — —
E. Löwen F 62 6.50 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
Jeong Sang-Bin F 31 6.70 — — 1 10 7% — — —
J. Orozco D 31 6.30 — — — 15 15% — — —
M. Perez M 7 — — — — 3 3% — — —
Palmer Ault M 7 — — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Rafael Santos D 31 6.30 — — — 15 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an St. Louis City win.