MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 04:30
T. Elgersma
86'
42'
(ast. M. Hartel)
L. MacNaughton
45'+1
(ast. T. Totland)
M. Hartel
68'
(ast. M. Hartel)
S. Becher
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 40% win probability (draw 25%, St. Louis City 33%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
8
0.90
Actual xG
2.08
5
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
7
11
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
42'
ast. M. Hartel ·
L. MacNaughton⚽
45'+1
ast. T. Totland ·
M. Hartel⚽
C. Garces
45'+1
M. Reus
45'+4
C. Garces
49'
C. Garces
49'
56'
L. MacNaughton
M. Reus
/ R. Taylor
59'
62'
S. Jeong
/
E. Lowen
62'
J. Orozco
/
L. MacNaughton
62'
Rafael Santos
/
M. Joyner
J. Nelson
/ J. Aude
64'
L. Sanabria
/ I. Parente
65'
68'
ast. M. Hartel ·
S. Becher⚽
J. Glesnes
71'
J. Paintsil
/ T. Elgersma
74'
E. Wynder
/ M. Yoshida
74'
⚽T. Elgersma
86'
86'
P. Ault
/
S. Becher
86'
M. Perez
/
D. Edelman
Pre-match prediction
40.93%
Los
25.83%
X
33.24%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City)
33.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
0.90
-0.51
1.35
2.08
+0.73
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.90).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
J. Marcinkowski
G
J. Marcinkowski
G
14
J. Nelson
64'
D
J. Nelson
64'
D
25
C. Garcés
49'
D
C. Garcés
49'
D
5
J. Glesnes
D
J. Glesnes
D
2
M. Yamane
D
M. Yamane
D
15
J. Haak
M
J. Haak
M
26
Harbor Miller
M
Harbor Miller
M
8
L. Sanabria
65'
M
L. Sanabria
65'
M
22
Elijah Wynder
74'
M
Elijah Wynder
74'
M
28
J. Paintsil
74'
M
J. Paintsil
74'
M
18
M. Reus
59'
F
M. Reus
59'
F
Bench
20
C. Rindov
D
C. Rindov
D
16
I. Parente
28'
M
I. Parente
28'
M
3
J. Aude
29'
D
J. Aude
29'
D
4
M. Yoshida
19'
D
M. Yoshida
19'
D
1
N. Mićović
G
N. Mićović
G
21
R. Taylor
34'
M
R. Taylor
34'
M
76
T. Elgersma
1 ⚽
19'
M
T. Elgersma
1 ⚽
19'
M
1
R. Bürki
G
R. Bürki
G
21
D. Polvara
D
D. Polvara
D
32
T. Baumgartl
D
T. Baumgartl
D
5
L. MacNaughton
1 ⚽
62'
D
L. MacNaughton
1 ⚽
62'
D
14
T. Totland
1 👟
M
T. Totland
1 👟
M
8
C. Durkin
M
C. Durkin
M
24
D. Edelman
86'
M
D. Edelman
86'
M
59
M. Joyner
62'
M
M. Joyner
62'
M
17
M. Hartel
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
M. Hartel
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
11
S. Becher
1 ⚽
86'
F
S. Becher
1 ⚽
86'
F
10
E. Löwen
62'
F
E. Löwen
62'
F
Bench
39
B. Lundt
G
B. Lundt
G
27
F. Fall
D
F. Fall
D
77
Jeong Sang-Bin
31'
F
Jeong Sang-Bin
31'
F
99
J. Orozco
31'
D
J. Orozco
31'
D
22
Kyle Hiebert
D
Kyle Hiebert
D
28
M. Perez
7'
M
M. Perez
7'
M
29
Palmer Ault
7'
M
Palmer Ault
7'
M
20
Rafael Santos
31'
D
Rafael Santos
31'
D
7
T. Ostrák
M
T. Ostrák
M
Best on the pitch
M. Hartel
F · St.
9.70
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots
· 44 pass
J. Marcinkowski
G · Los
7.90
· 34 pass
S. Becher
F · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 17 pass
L. MacNaughton
D · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
T. Elgersma
M · Los
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
L. Sanabria
M · Los
7.30
· 31 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marcinkowski | G | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Nelson | D | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Garcés | D | 49 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| J. Glesnes | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Yamane | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| J. Haak | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Sanabria | M | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Paintsil | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reus | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Parente | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Aude | D | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Yoshida | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Taylor | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Elgersma | M | 19 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
St. Louis City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bürki | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D. Polvara | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Baumgartl | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| L. MacNaughton | D | 62 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Totland | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Durkin | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Edelman | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Joyner | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Hartel | F | 93 | 9.70 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Becher | F | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Löwen | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-Bin | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Orozco | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Palmer Ault | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an St. Louis City win.