MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 04:30
J. Paintsil
(ast. L. Sanabria)
46'
82'
(ast. S. Berhalter)
M. Laborda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Los Angeles Galaxy 25%). The final result was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
6
1.40
Actual xG
2.71
5
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
1
Corners
2
21
Tackles
18
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
M. Cuevas
27'
33'
A. Cubas
M. Reus
/ E. Cerrillo
46'
⚽J. Paintsil
· ast. L. Sanabria
46'
62'
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
/
A. Cubas
62'
A. Jackson
/
C. Sabaly
62'
B. Caicedo
/
E. Sabbi
L. Sanabria
65'
66'
E. Ocampo
E. Cerrillo
67'
L. Sanabria
/ E. Wynder
75'
H. Miller
/ M. Yoshida
79'
M. Cuevas
/ M. Yamane
79'
82'
ast. S. Berhalter ·
M. Laborda⚽
84'
S. Berhalter
88'
O. Larraz
/
S. Berhalter
88'
T. Blackmon
J. Glesnes
90'+2
Gabriel Pec
90'+4
90'+5
O. Larraz
J. Haak
/ T. Elgersma
90'
Pre-match prediction
25.71%
Los
26.17%
X ←
48.11%
Vancouver
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
1.40
-0.05
2.54
2.71
+0.17
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (2.71 vs 1.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
14
D
12
JT Marcinkowski
G
JT Marcinkowski
G
19
Mauricio Cuevas
79'
D
Mauricio Cuevas
79'
D
5
Jakob Glesnes
D
Jakob Glesnes
D
25
Carlos Garcés
D
Carlos Garcés
D
15
Justin Haak
M
Justin Haak
M
11
Gabriel Pec
M
Gabriel Pec
M
18
Marco Reus
45'
M
Marco Reus
45'
M
8
Lucas Sanabria
1 👟
75'
M
Lucas Sanabria
1 👟
75'
M
26
Harbor Miller
79'
M
Harbor Miller
79'
M
28
Joseph Paintsil
1 ⚽
F
Joseph Paintsil
1 ⚽
F
Bench
6
Edwin Cerrillo
51'
M
Edwin Cerrillo
51'
M
22
Elijah Wynder
21'
M
Elijah Wynder
21'
M
4
Maya Yoshida
17'
D
Maya Yoshida
17'
D
2
Miki Yamane
17'
D
Miki Yamane
17'
D
24
Ruben Ramos
F
Ruben Ramos
F
1
G
18
Édier Ocampo
D
Édier Ocampo
D
33
Tristan Blackmon
D
Tristan Blackmon
D
2
Mathías Laborda
1 ⚽
D
Mathías Laborda
1 ⚽
D
28
Tate Johnson
D
Tate Johnson
D
16
Sebastian Berhalter
1 👟
88'
M
Sebastian Berhalter
1 👟
88'
M
20
Andrés Cubas
62'
M
Andrés Cubas
62'
M
11
Emmanuel Sabbi
63'
M
Emmanuel Sabbi
63'
M
59
Jeevan Badwal
M
Jeevan Badwal
M
7
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
62'
M
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
62'
M
24
Brian White
F
Brian White
F
Bench
22
Aziel Jackson
34'
M
Aziel Jackson
34'
M
14
Bruno Quiñonez
33'
F
Bruno Quiñonez
33'
F
8
Oliver Larraz
8'
M
Oliver Larraz
8'
M
Best on the pitch
Mathías Laborda
D · Vancouver
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 81 pass
Joseph Paintsil
F · Los
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
Sebastian Berhalter
M · Vancouver
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 58 pass
JT Marcinkowski
G · Los
7.70
· 41 pass
Lucas Sanabria
M · Los
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
Harbor Miller
M · Los
7.30
1 shots
· 14 pass
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jakob Glesnes | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Garcés | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Haak | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pec | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Marco Reus | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Harbor Miller | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 5% | 5 | — | — |
| Joseph Paintsil | F | 96 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Maya Yoshida | D | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Miki Yamane | D | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Édier Ocampo | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Tristan Blackmon | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mathías Laborda | D | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 81 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Tate Johnson | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastian Berhalter | M | 88 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 58 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| Andrés Cubas | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Sabbi | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeevan Badwal | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Cheick Tidiane Sabaly | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Brian White | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Aziel Jackson | M | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Quiñonez | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Larraz | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The final score was Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps.
What did the model predict before Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Los Angeles Galaxy win, 26% to a draw, and 48% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.