USL Championship
· Group Stage
April 11, 2026 00:30
T. Ulfarsson
(ast. R. Aman)
8'
T. Ulfarsson
(ast. J. Murphy)
45'
B. Akinyode
(ast. J. Murphy)
61'
20'
(ast. T. Davila)
B. Dayes
26'
T. Showunmi
72'
(ast. E. Perez)
E. Davila
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Loudoun United a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Louisville City 34%). The final result was Loudoun United 3–3 Louisville City.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽T. Ulfarsson
· ast. R. Aman
8'
20'
ast. T. Davila ·
B. Dayes⚽
26'
T. Showunmi⚽
44'
B. Niang
⚽T. Ulfarsson
· ast. J. Murphy
45'
46'
E. Perez
/
S. Gleadle
46'
J. Morris
/
A. Dia
48'
E. Davila
⚽B. Akinyode
· ast. J. Murphy
61'
65'
Z. Duncan
/
B. Niang
65'
C. Donovan
/
J. Wilson
P. Niyongabire
/ L. Piras
66'
72'
ast. E. Perez ·
E. Davila⚽
Marcos Dias
/ A. Ordonez
76'
P. Santos
/ J. Panayotou
76'
87'
R. Serrano
/
E. Davila
Pre-match prediction
36.06%
Loudoun
29.5%
X ←
34.44%
Louisville
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.59
—
—
2.41
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
The final score was Loudoun United 3–3 Louisville City.
What did the model predict before Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Loudoun United win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an Louisville City win.