US Open Cup
· Round of 32
April 15, 2026 01:00
S. Totsch
(ast. T. Davila)
26'
T. Showunmi
(ast. E. Perez)
32'
70'
(ast. J. Rosales)
C. Fodrey
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Louisville City a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Austin 23%). The final result was Louisville City 2–1 Austin.
Match statistics
Match Events
11'
B. Sabovic
/
D. Pereira
E. Perez
11'
⚽S. Totsch
· ast. T. Davila
26'
⚽T. Showunmi
· ast. E. Perez
32'
46'
J. Rosales
/
M. Djordjevic
E. Perez
/ J. Wilson
51'
T. Davila
52'
T. Showunmi
/ C. Donovan
63'
E. Davila
/ M. Akale
63'
64'
J. Bell
64'
O. Svatok
/
J. Nelson
64'
C. Fodrey
/
N. Dubersarsky
67'
B. Hines-Ike
70'
ast. J. Rosales ·
C. Fodrey⚽
78'
Z. Kolmanic
/
M. Desler
Z. Duncan
/ B. Niang
85'
J. Morris
/ A. Dia
85'
H. Fauroux
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
51.57%
Louisville ←
25.01%
X
23.42%
Austin
we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City)
51.57%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.08
—
—
0.81
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Austin?
The final score was Louisville City 2–1 Austin.
What did the model predict before Louisville City vs Austin?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Louisville City win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Austin win.