USL Championship · Group Stage July 30, 2026 01:30

Louisville City

#6 · 33 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Birmingham Legion

#11 · 19 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Louisville City

K. Lambert (ast. A. McFadden) 6'

K. Lambert (ast. T. Davila) 74'

42' (ast. G. Diarbian) S. Shashoua

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Louisville City a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 17%). The final result was Louisville City 2–1 Birmingham Legion. In 1 previous meetings, Louisville City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Birmingham Legion.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽K. Lambert · ast. A. McFadden

6'

Z. Duncan

17'

32'

P. Vassell

34'

S. Antwi

42'

ast. G. Diarbian · S. Shashoua⚽

↕ Z. Duncan / E. Davila

46'

A. McFadden

54'

55'

G. Diarbian

↕ A. McFadden / E. Perez

58'

61'

R. Williams / R. Damus ↕

61'

S. McIllhatton / P. Vassell ↕

⚽K. Lambert · ast. T. Davila

74'

↕ C. Donovan / T. Showunmi

74'

↕ J. Wilson / R. Serrano

74'

80'

S. Saucedo / D. McCartney ↕

↕ J. Morris / A. Dia

87'

88'

S. Ngoma / G. Diarbian ↕

R. Serrano

88'

90'

S. Saucedo

Pre-match prediction

57.41%

Louisville ←

25.56%

X

17.03%

Birmingham

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City) 57.41% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Louisville

1.52

—

—

Birmingham

0.68

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	24	48
2	Charleston Battery	24	40
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	25	38
4	Detroit City	22	37
5	Hartford Athletic	23	34
6	Louisville City	24	33
7	Rhode Island	22	32
8	Indy Eleven	22	30
9	Miami FC	24	24
10	Loudoun United	23	20
10	Birmingham	9	10
11	Birmingham Legion	22	19
12	Brooklyn	22	17
13	Sporting JAX	24	14