USL Championship · Group Stage October 18, 2026 01:00

Louisville City

#4 · 47 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Indy Eleven

#9 · 34 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Louisville City

R. Serrano (ast. C. Donovan) 7'

K. Lambert (ast. C. Donovan) 33'

R. Serrano (ast. C. Donovan) 43'

R. Serrano (ast. C. Donovan) 51'

72' (ast. A. Quinn) M. Rasheed

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Louisville City a 75% win probability (draw 13%, Indy Eleven 11%). The final result was Louisville City 4–1 Indy Eleven. In 1 previous meetings, Louisville City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Indy Eleven.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽R. Serrano · ast. C. Donovan

7'

⚽K. Lambert · ast. C. Donovan

33'

⚽R. Serrano · ast. C. Donovan

43'

46'

L. Mesanvi / E. Kizza ↕

⚽R. Serrano · ast. C. Donovan

51'

53'

J. Hafferty

Q. Huerman

55'

56'

H. Barry / A. Mitrano ↕

↕ K. Lambert / S. Totsch

61'

↕ Q. Huerman / M. Akale

61'

67'

M. Henry-Scott / C. Lindley ↕

72'

ast. A. Quinn · M. Rasheed⚽

S. Totsch

74'

82'

P. Craig / A. Quinn ↕

82'

D. Sing / B. Rendon ↕

↕ B. Niang / E. Davila

82'

↕ E. Perez / B. Dayes

85'

↕ C. Donovan / C. Conley

85'

Pre-match prediction

75.7%

Louisville ←

13.02%

X

11.28%

Indy

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City) 75.7% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Louisville

3.07

—

—

Indy

0.96

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	53
3	Detroit City	30	51
4	Louisville City	30	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	43
7	Rhode Island	30	42
8	Miami FC	30	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	34
10	Loudoun United	30	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	30
12	Brooklyn	30	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	14