USL Championship · Group Stage September 20, 2026 01:00

Louisville City

#6 · 36 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Loudoun United

#11 · 20 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Louisville City

R. Serrano (ast. Q. Huerman) 38'

C. Donovan 45'

5' (ast. A. Aboukoura) E. Davis III

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Louisville City a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Loudoun United 16%). The final result was Louisville City 2–1 Loudoun United. In 1 previous meetings, Louisville City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Loudoun United.

Match statistics

Match Events

5'

ast. A. Aboukoura · E. Davis III⚽

17'

S. Young

⚽R. Serrano · ast. Q. Huerman

38'

⚽C. Donovan

45'

↕ B. Niang / E. Davila

57'

↕ A. Dia / J. Morris

57'

60'

C. Torres / G. Lomtadze ↕

61'

R. Zouhir / S. Young ↕

Q. Huerman

65'

↕ Q. Huerman / M. Akale

69'

71'

R. Aman / A. Watts ↕

84'

K. Awuah

85'

L. Butts / J. Murphy ↕

85'

Marcos Dias / P. Niyongabire ↕

↕ C. Donovan / T. Showunmi

86'

↕ E. Perez / S. Gleadle

86'

E. Davila

90'+1

90'+3

B. Akinyode

Pre-match prediction

64.33%

Louisville ←

19.29%

X

16.37%

Loudoun

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City) 64.33% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Louisville

2.10

—

—

Loudoun

0.90

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	25	51
2	Charleston Battery	25	43
3	Detroit City	24	40
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	26	38
5	Hartford Athletic	25	38
6	Louisville City	25	36
7	Indy Eleven	24	33
8	Rhode Island	23	32
9	Miami FC	25	27
10	Birmingham Legion	25	23
11	Loudoun United	24	20
12	Brooklyn	25	18
13	Sporting JAX	25	14