USL Championship · Group Stage April 18, 2026 23:00

Louisville City

#4 · 47 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Sporting JAX

#13 · 14 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Louisville City

J. Wilson (ast. J. Morris) 90'+6

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Louisville City a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Sporting JAX 22%). The final result was Louisville City 1–0 Sporting JAX. In 1 previous meetings, Louisville City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting JAX.

Match statistics

Match Events

26'

R. Edwards

↕ E. Davila / M. Akale

64'

↕ T. Showunmi / C. Donovan

64'

↕ R. Serrano / J. Wilson

64'

67'

W. Ackwei / E. Rito ↕

70'

A. Gomez

71'

K. Sadlier / T. Roberts ↕

↕ E. Perez / S. Gleadle

76'

80'

W. Ackwei

85'

D. Armstrong

90'+1

A. Al Qaq / D. Armstrong ↕

⚽J. Wilson · ast. J. Morris

90'+6

↕ Z. Duncan / B. Niang

90'

Pre-match prediction

55.22%

Louisville ←

22.73%

X

22.05%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City) 55.22% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Louisville

4.01

—

—

Sporting

0.76

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	53
3	Detroit City	30	51
4	Louisville City	30	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	43
7	Rhode Island	30	42
8	Miami FC	30	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	34
10	Loudoun United	30	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	30
12	Brooklyn	30	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	14