USL Championship
· Group Stage
April 18, 2026 23:00
✓Model correct — prediction Louisville City
J. Wilson
(ast. J. Morris)
90'+6
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Louisville City a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Sporting JAX 22%). The final result was Louisville City 1–0 Sporting JAX.
Match statistics
Match Events
26'
R. Edwards
E. Davila
/ M. Akale
64'
T. Showunmi
/ C. Donovan
64'
R. Serrano
/ J. Wilson
64'
67'
W. Ackwei
/
E. Rito
70'
A. Gomez
71'
K. Sadlier
/
T. Roberts
E. Perez
/ S. Gleadle
76'
80'
W. Ackwei
85'
D. Armstrong
90'+1
A. Al Qaq
/
D. Armstrong
⚽J. Wilson
· ast. J. Morris
90'+6
Z. Duncan
/ B. Niang
90'
Pre-match prediction
55.22%
Louisville ←
22.73%
X
22.05%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City)
55.22%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.01
—
—
0.76
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Sporting JAX?
The final score was Louisville City 1–0 Sporting JAX.
What did the model predict before Louisville City vs Sporting JAX?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Louisville City win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Sporting JAX win.