Louletano - Rio Ave
Taça de Portugal
October 17, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.74%
Win
Louletano
24.88%
Draw
24.38%
Win
Rio Ave
2.73
1.14
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.88%)
1X2 Result
1
51%
X
25%
2
24%
Double Chance
1X
76%
X2
49%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
64%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Louletano a 50% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Rio Ave. Expected goals are 2.7 for Louletano and 1.1 for Rio Ave (total 3.9), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.88% probability.
Season Stats
3W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.0
0.8
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Louletano
Rio Ave →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Louletano
Attack
36
Defence
71
Form
57
Rio Ave
Attack
29
Defence
48
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Louletano vs Rio Ave?
The model gives Louletano a 50% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 24% for an Rio Ave win.
How many goals are expected in Louletano vs Rio Ave?
Expected goals: Louletano 2.7, Rio Ave 1.1 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Louletano vs Rio Ave?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.88%.