Lower Breck - Chester
FA Cup
September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.07%
Win
Lower Breck
31.54%
Draw
31.39%
Win
Chester
4.23
0.92
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.88%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
32%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lower Breck a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Chester. Expected goals are 4.2 for Lower Breck and 0.9 for Chester (total 5.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.88% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
3W
1D
1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
1L
· away
5.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.7
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Lower Breck
Chester →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lower Breck
Attack
95
Defence
72
Form
87
Chester
Attack
24
Defence
84
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lower Breck vs Chester?
The model gives Lower Breck a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Chester win.
How many goals are expected in Lower Breck vs Chester?
Expected goals: Lower Breck 4.2, Chester 0.9 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Lower Breck vs Chester?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.88%.