Serie D - Girone E
· Group E - 3
September 16, 2026 16:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Progresso a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Lucchese 34%). The final result was Lucchese 5–0 Progresso.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
34.39%
Lucchese ←
30.44%
X
35.17%
Progresso
we assigned to the actual result (Lucchese)
34.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
—
—
3.53
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lucchese vs Progresso?
The final score was Lucchese 5–0 Progresso.
What did the model predict before Lucchese vs Progresso?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Lucchese win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an Progresso win.