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← Serie D - Girone E
Serie D - Girone E · Group E - 3 September 16, 2026 16:00
#4 · 10 pts
5 – 0
Final score
#15 · 3 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Progresso a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Lucchese 34%). The final result was Lucchese 5–0 Progresso.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
34.39%
Lucchese ←
30.44%
X
35.17%
Progresso
we assigned to the actual result (Lucchese) 34.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lucchese
2.27
—
—
Progresso
3.53
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gavorrano Gavorrano 5 13
2 Prato Prato 5 13
3 Seravezza Seravezza 5 10
4 Lucchese Lucchese 5 10
5 Flaminia Flaminia 5 10
6 Tau Altopascio Tau Altopascio 5 9
7 Scandicci Scandicci 5 8
8 Robur Siena Robur Siena 5 7
9 Terranuova Traiana Terranuova Traiana 5 7
10 Montevarchi Calcio Montevarchi Calcio 5 7
11 San Donato Tavarnelle San Donato Tavarnelle 5 7
12 Mezzolara Mezzolara 5 6
13 Ternana Ternana 5 5
14 Sasso Marconi Zola Sasso Marconi Zola 5 4
15 Progresso Progresso 5 3
16 Grassina Grassina 5 2
17 Rondinella Rondinella 5 2
18 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 5 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lucchese vs Progresso?
The final score was Lucchese 5–0 Progresso.
What did the model predict before Lucchese vs Progresso?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Lucchese win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an Progresso win.