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Lucko - Jadran LP

Second NL May 16, 2026 17:30
Lucko
#12 · 26 pts
vs
Jadran LP
#3 · 50 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
17.14%
Win
Lucko
21.46%
Draw
61.4%
Win
Jadran LP
0.77
Expected xG
1.9
Model prediction
Jadran LP
61.4%
Probability
72.7%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Jadran LP a 61% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Lucko. Expected goals are 0.8 for Lucko and 1.9 for Jadran LP (total 2.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Lucko have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Jadran LP.

Score Matrix
↕ Lucko Jadran LP →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0% 13.2% 12.5% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.3% 10.1% 9.6% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.0% 3.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Lucko Lucko
D Grobničan Čavle 2–2
D Varteks Varaždin 1–1
L Kustosija 2–0
L Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0–1
L Uskok Klis 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 14%
Jadran LP Jadran LP
W Varteks Varaždin 2–1
W Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0–5
D Solin 1–1
D Mladost Ždralovi 0–0
W Uljanik 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 39%
Playing profile
Lucko Lucko
Attack
22
Defence
60
Form
31
Jadran LP Jadran LP
Attack
42
Defence
85
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Lucko
0
Draw
1
Jadran LP
L 15 Nov 2025 Second NL 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Kustosija Kustosija 27 57
2 Segesta Sisak Segesta Sisak 27 56
3 Jadran LP Jadran LP 27 50
4 Mladost Ždralovi Mladost Ždralovi 27 52
5 Uljanik Uljanik 27 48
6 Uskok Klis Uskok Klis 27 47
7 Križevci Križevci 27 46
8 Solin Solin 27 41
9 Grobničan Čavle Grobničan Čavle 27 28
10 Bjelovar Bjelovar 27 28
11 Varteks Varaždin Varteks Varaždin 27 28
12 Lucko Lucko 27 26
13 Trnje Trnje 27 25
14 Hrvatski Dragovoljac Hrvatski Dragovoljac 27 24
15 Dakovo-Croatia Dakovo-Croatia 27 22
16 Dugo Selo Dugo Selo 27 20
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lucko vs Jadran LP?
The model gives Lucko a 17% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 61% for an Jadran LP win.
How many goals are expected in Lucko vs Jadran LP?
Expected goals: Lucko 0.8, Jadran LP 1.9 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Lucko vs Jadran LP?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.2%.