The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lugo a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Mérida AD 29%). The final result was Lugo 2–1 Mérida AD. In 2 previous meetings, Lugo have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mérida AD.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
43.66%
Lugo ←
26.98%
X
29.37%
Mérida
we assigned to the actual result (Lugo)
43.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
—
—
1.33
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lugo vs Mérida AD?
The final score was Lugo 2–1 Mérida AD.
What did the model predict before Lugo vs Mérida AD?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Lugo win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an Mérida AD win.