Lugo - Ourense CF
Friendlies Clubs
August 21, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Lugo
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Ourense CF
0.47
0.91
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.85%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lugo a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Ourense CF. Expected goals are 0.5 for Lugo and 0.9 for Ourense CF (total 1.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.85% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Lugo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ourense CF.
Score Matrix
↕ Lugo
Ourense CF →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25.2% | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lugo
Attack
12
Defence
75
Form
42
Ourense CF
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lugo vs Ourense CF?
The model gives Lugo a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Ourense CF win.
How many goals are expected in Lugo vs Ourense CF?
Expected goals: Lugo 0.5, Ourense CF 0.9 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Lugo vs Ourense CF?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.85%.