The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave UD Logroñés a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Lugo 30%). The final result was Lugo 3–1 UD Logroñés.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
30.54%
Lugo ←
28.34%
X
41.11%
UD
we assigned to the actual result (Lugo)
30.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
—
—
1.99
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lugo vs UD Logroñés?
The final score was Lugo 3–1 UD Logroñés.
What did the model predict before Lugo vs UD Logroñés?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Lugo win, 28% to a draw, and 41% to an UD Logroñés win.