Lumezzane - Folgore Caratese
Serie C - Girone A
September 26, 2026 14:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.12%
Win
Lumezzane
34.19%
Draw
29.69%
Win
Folgore Caratese
1.06
0.78
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.84%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
34%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
64%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lumezzane a 36% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Folgore Caratese. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lumezzane and 0.8 for Folgore Caratese (total 1.8), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.84% probability.
Season Stats
6W
6D
3L
0W
3D
3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.0
0.9
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
40%
O 2.5
50%
53%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Serie C - Girone A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
32%
BTTS
6W
3D
1L
· at home
0W
2D
1L
· away
1.4
gls/g
0.7
0.5
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
0%
90%
Win or Draw
67%
40%
O 1.5
33%
30%
O 2.5
33%
20%
O 3.5
33%
30%
BTTS
33%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
20%
Failed to Score
67%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Lumezzane
Folgore Caratese →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.8% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 16.8% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lumezzane
Attack
27
Defence
64
Form
43
Folgore Caratese
Attack
25
Defence
63
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cittadella
|
6 | 18 |
| 2 |
Union Brescia
|
6 | 14 |
| 3 |
Trento
|
6 | 12 |
| 4 |
Ospitaletto
|
6 | 11 |
| 5 |
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
6 | 10 |
| 6 |
Alcione
|
6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Treviso
|
6 | 9 |
| 8 |
Dolomiti Bellunesi
|
6 | 9 |
| 9 |
Albinoleffe
|
6 | 8 |
| 10 |
Lumezzane
|
6 | 8 |
| 11 |
Lecco
|
6 | 8 |
| 12 |
Athletic Carpi
|
6 | 6 |
| 13 |
Novara
|
6 | 6 |
| 14 |
Desenzano Calvina
|
6 | 6 |
| 15 |
Pergolettese
|
6 | 6 |
| 16 |
Juventus U23
|
6 | 5 |
| 17 |
PRO Vercelli
|
6 | 5 |
| 18 |
Folgore Caratese
|
6 | 3 |
| 19 |
Giana Erminio
|
6 | 2 |
| 20 |
Renate
|
6 | 2 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?
The model gives Lumezzane a 36% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 29% for an Folgore Caratese win.
How many goals are expected in Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?
Expected goals: Lumezzane 1.1, Folgore Caratese 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.84%.