Lund - Kristianstad
Ettan - Södra
September 25, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.97%
Win
Lund
18.07%
Draw
16.96%
Win
Kristianstad
2.32
1.07
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Lund
64.97%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 34 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.73%)
1X2 Result
1
65%
X
18%
2
17%
Double Chance
1X
83%
X2
35%
12
82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
61%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lund a 64% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Kristianstad. Expected goals are 2.3 for Lund and 1.1 for Kristianstad (total 3.4), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.73% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Lund have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Kristianstad.
Season Stats
7W
5D
3L
4W
4D
7L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.3
1.3
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Ettan - Södra. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
8W
0D
2L
· at home
3W
1D
6L
· away
2.6
gls/g
1.2
1.1
Conceded
1.9
80%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
70%
40%
O 3.5
30%
40%
BTTS
70%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Lund
Kristianstad →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lund
Attack
43
Defence
73
Form
61
Kristianstad
Attack
34
Defence
63
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Trelleborg
|
23 | 48 |
| 2 |
Hässleholms IF
|
23 | 42 |
| 3 |
Atvidabergs FF
|
23 | 42 |
| 4 |
Lund
|
23 | 41 |
| 5 |
AFC Malmo
|
23 | 35 |
| 6 |
Rosengård
|
23 | 35 |
| 7 |
Trollhättan
|
23 | 34 |
| 8 |
Jonkopings Sodra
|
23 | 33 |
| 9 |
Tvååker
|
23 | 33 |
| 10 |
Olympic
|
23 | 30 |
| 11 |
Eskilsminne
|
23 | 29 |
| 12 |
Skövde AIK
|
23 | 27 |
| 13 |
Kristianstad
|
23 | 24 |
| 14 |
Laholm
|
23 | 22 |
| 15 |
Angelholms FF
|
23 | 18 |
| 16 |
Utsikten
|
23 | 9 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lund vs Kristianstad?
The model gives Lund a 64% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 16% for an Kristianstad win.
How many goals are expected in Lund vs Kristianstad?
Expected goals: Lund 2.3, Kristianstad 1.1 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Lund vs Kristianstad?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.73%.