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Lusitânia Lourosa - Amarante

Friendlies Clubs July 11, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Lusitânia Lourosa
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Amarante
1.58
Expected xG
1.18

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.8%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lusitânia Lourosa a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Amarante. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lusitânia Lourosa and 1.2 for Amarante (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.8% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Lusitânia Lourosa Amarante →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.8% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

L Paredes 4–2
D Leça 0–0
D FC Porto B 3–3
W Academico Viseu 1–0
L SC Braga B 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
L Moreirense 2–0
L Chaves 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Attack
21
Defence
70
Form
44
Amarante Amarante
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante?
The model gives Lusitânia Lourosa a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Amarante win.
How many goals are expected in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante?
Expected goals: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.6, Amarante 1.2 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.