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Lusitânia Lourosa - Arouca

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 10:00
Lusitânia Lourosa
vs
Arouca
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.95%
Win
Lusitânia Lourosa
38.52%
Draw
30.53%
Win
Arouca
0.3
Expected xG
0.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.82%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 39%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 69%
12 62%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lusitânia Lourosa a 30% win probability, against 38% for a draw and 30% for Arouca. Expected goals are 0.3 for Lusitânia Lourosa and 0.3 for Arouca (total 0.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.82% probability.

Season Stats

Lusitânia Lourosa
1W 1D 2L
Arouca
0W 2D 2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.2
1.5
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
25%
O 2.5
50%
25%
BTTS
25%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
29%
BTTS
Lusitânia Lourosa
1W 1D 1L · at home
Arouca
0W 2D 2L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.2
1.7
Conceded
1.2
33%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
25%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
33%
Failed to Score
75%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lusitânia Lourosa Arouca →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 54.7% 16.4% 2.5% 0.2% — —
1 16.6% 5.0% 0.7% 0.1% — —
2 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% — — —
3 0.3% 0.1% — — — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
D FC Porto B 3–3
W Academico Viseu 1–0
L SC Braga B 0–2
L Famalicao 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Arouca Arouca
L Santa Clara 3–0
D Famalicao 0–0
D Feirense 0–0
L Rio Ave 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Attack
9
Defence
75
Form
49
Arouca Arouca
Attack
6
Defence
69
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca?
The model gives Lusitânia Lourosa a 30% win probability, 38% for a draw, and 30% for an Arouca win.
How many goals are expected in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca?
Expected goals: Lusitânia Lourosa 0.3, Arouca 0.3 (total 0.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.82%.