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Lusitânia Lourosa - Os Limianos

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
Lusitânia Lourosa
vs
Os Limianos
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.17%
Win
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.58%
Draw
38.26%
Win
Os Limianos
2.16
Expected xG
4.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.82%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 31%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 69%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 57%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Os Limianos a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Lusitânia Lourosa. Expected goals are 2.2 for Lusitânia Lourosa and 4.2 for Os Limianos (total 6.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.82% probability.

Season Stats

Lusitânia Lourosa
3W 0D 1L
Os Limianos
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.3
0.5
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
25%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Lusitânia Lourosa
1W 0D 1L · at home
Os Limianos
1W 0D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
4.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lusitânia Lourosa Os Limianos →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 1.9%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0%
2 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.2% 4.4%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.6% 3.8% 3.1%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7%

Recent form

Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
W Madalena 1–3
L Torreense 0–1
W Resende 2–0
W Castrense 0–5
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Os Limianos Os Limianos
W Aljustrelense 3–0
W Correlhã 1–4
L Vila Meã 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Attack
51
Defence
66
Form
71
Os Limianos Os Limianos
Attack
83
Defence
84
Form
89
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos?
The model gives Lusitânia Lourosa a 31% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 38% for an Os Limianos win.
How many goals are expected in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos?
Expected goals: Lusitânia Lourosa 2.2, Os Limianos 4.2 (total 6.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.82%.