League One
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Luton
N. Wells
16'
(pen.)
K. Palmer
(ast. M. Andersen)
79'
26'
A. Phillips
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 68% win probability (draw 17%, Barnsley 13%). The final result was Luton 2–1 Barnsley. In 1 previous meetings, Luton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Barnsley.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
9
Corners
3
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽N. Wells
(pen.)
16'
26'
A. Phillips⚽
45'+1
J. Earl
45'
C. O'Keeffe
49'
L. Connell
L. Walsh
55'
56'
D. McGoldrick
/
T. Bradshaw
56'
G. Gent
/
J. Earl
N. Wells
/ D. Cole
64'
D. van den Berg
/ J. Richards
64'
E. Lawrence
/ G. Kodua
64'
67'
J. Bland
70'
K. Nwakali
/
J. Bland
76'
L. Farrell
/
A. Phillips
76'
S. Banks
/
R. Cleary
⚽K. Palmer
· ast. M. Andersen
79'
K. Palmer
/ G. Saville
86'
S. Morris
/ N. Lonwijk
90'+3
90'+5
E. O'Connell
Pre-match prediction
68.99%
Luton ←
17.96%
X
13.05%
Barnsley
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Luton)
68.99%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.23
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
24
Josh Keeley
86'
G
Josh Keeley
86'
G
5
M. Andersen
1 👟
86'
D
3
Kal Naismith
86'
D
16
H. Odoffin
86'
D
25
86'
D
8
L. Walsh
86'
M
L. Walsh
86'
M
6
D. van den Berg
64'
M
32
E. Lawrence
64'
M
54
Kasey Palmer
1 ⚽
86'
M
14
S. Morris
86'
M
21
N. Wells
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
12
Ali Al-Hamadi
F
Ali Al-Hamadi
F
27
J. Richards
22'
M
17
N. Lonwijk
D
1
86'
G
32
J. Earl
56'
D
15
E. O'Connell
86'
D
6
M. de Gevigney
86'
D
7
C. O'Keeffe
86'
D
48
L. Connell
86'
M
L. Connell
86'
M
30
Jonathan Bland
70'
M
Jonathan Bland
70'
M
19
R. Cleary
76'
M
R. Cleary
76'
M
22
Patrick Kelly
86'
M
Patrick Kelly
86'
M
8
A. Phillips
1 ⚽
76'
M
9
T. Bradshaw
56'
F
Bench
10
D. McGoldrick
30'
F
D. McGoldrick
30'
F
5
J. Shepherd
D
39
Leo Farrell
10'
F
18
S. Banks
10'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Walsh
M · Luton
7.90
· 47 pass
Kasey Palmer
M · Luton
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
M. Andersen
D · Luton
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 37 pass
E. O'Connell
D · Barnsley
7.50
· 39 pass
H. Odoffin
D · Luton
7.20
2 shots
· 41 pass
D · Luton
7.20
· 27 pass
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Keeley | G | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Andersen | D | 86 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Kal Naismith | D | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 4 | — | — | |
| L. Walsh | M | 86 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| D. van den Berg | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Lawrence | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Kasey Palmer | M | 86 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Morris | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 64 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Richards | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Barnsley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| J. Earl | D | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. O'Connell | D | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M. de Gevigney | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| C. O'Keeffe | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Connell | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Bland | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Cleary | M | 76 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick Kelly | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Phillips | M | 76 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| T. Bradshaw | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. McGoldrick | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Leo Farrell | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Banks | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luton vs Barnsley?
The final score was Luton 2–1 Barnsley.
What did the model predict before Luton vs Barnsley?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Luton win, 17% to a draw, and 13% to an Barnsley win.