Mads Juel Andersen
(ast. Jamie Donley)
2'
Nahki Wells
(ast. George Johnston)
41'
58'
(ast. Patrick Kelly)
Makenzie Kirk
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Barnsley 25%). The final result was Luton 2–1 Barnsley. In 2 previous meetings, Luton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Barnsley.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
4
2.32
Actual xG
1.07
3
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
4
24
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Mads Juel Andersen
· ast. Jamie Donley
2'
Hakeem Odofin
/ Isaiah Jones
41'
⚽Nahki Wells
· ast. George Johnston
41'
Mads Juel Andersen
45'+1
45'
Jubril Okedina
/
Tyrese Noslin
45'
Makenzie Kirk
/
Royce Brownlie
45'
Ziyad Larkeche
/
Connor O'Riordan
58'
ast. Patrick Kelly ·
Makenzie Kirk⚽
Tudor Mendel-Idowu
/ Jake Richards
61'
74'
A. Richards
/
Tobi Adeyemo
Jake Richards
75'
Nahki Wells
/ Callum Marshall
79'
Kasey Palmer
/ E. Lawrence
79'
83'
Jonathan Bland
/
Vimal Yoganathan
90'
A. Richards
Pre-match prediction
47.45%
Luton ←
27.4%
X
25.15%
Barnsley
we assigned to the actual result (Luton)
47.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
2.32
+0.84
0.92
1.07
+0.15
Luton dominated by xG (2.32 vs 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Shea
G
J. Shea
G
3
K. Naismith
D
K. Naismith
D
6
G. Johnston
1 👟
D
G. Johnston
1 👟
D
5
M. Andersen
1 ⚽
D
M. Andersen
1 ⚽
D
2
H. Odoffin
41'
D
H. Odoffin
41'
D
8
L. Walsh
M
L. Walsh
M
45
K. Palmer
79'
M
K. Palmer
79'
M
10
J. Donley
1 👟
M
J. Donley
1 👟
M
18
J. Clark
M
J. Clark
M
17
T. Mendel-Idowu
61'
M
T. Mendel-Idowu
61'
M
21
N. Wells
1 ⚽
79'
F
N. Wells
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
9
C. Marshall
11'
F
C. Marshall
11'
F
44
D. Cole
F
D. Cole
F
11
Emilio Lawrence
11'
F
Emilio Lawrence
11'
F
25
I. Jones
49'
F
I. Jones
49'
F
12
J. Johnson
D
J. Johnson
D
24
Joshua Keeley
G
Joshua Keeley
G
7
J. Richards
29'
M
J. Richards
29'
M
1
C. Slicker
G
C. Slicker
G
2
A. Kay
D
A. Kay
D
5
J. Shepherd
D
J. Shepherd
D
6
C. O'Riordan
45'
D
C. O'Riordan
45'
D
11
T. Noslin
45'
D
T. Noslin
45'
D
22
Patrick Kelly
1 👟
M
Patrick Kelly
1 👟
M
8
C. McGeehan
M
C. McGeehan
M
19
R. Cleary
M
R. Cleary
M
45
Vimal Yoganathan
83'
M
Vimal Yoganathan
83'
M
32
45'
M
7
T. Adeyemo
74'
F
T. Adeyemo
74'
F
Bench
17
Amani Richards
16'
F
Amani Richards
16'
F
12
J. Okedina
45'
D
J. Okedina
45'
D
30
Jonathan Bland
7'
M
Jonathan Bland
7'
M
9
M. Kirk
1 ⚽
45'
F
M. Kirk
1 ⚽
45'
F
25
Rogan Ravenhill
G
Rogan Ravenhill
G
4
S. Gale
D
S. Gale
D
3
Z. Larkeche
45'
D
Z. Larkeche
45'
D
Best on the pitch
N. Wells
F · Luton
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
J. Donley
M · Luton
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
M. Andersen
D · Luton
7.38
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
M. Kirk
F · Barnsley
7.18
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
I. Jones
F · Luton
7.08
· 9 pass
T. Mendel-Idowu
M · Luton
7.00
3 shots
· 18 pass
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shea | G | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Naismith | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Johnston | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 0 | 28 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Andersen | D | 90 | 7.38 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 41 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Walsh | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Palmer | M | 79 | 6.83 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Donley | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Clark | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 6 | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Mendel-Idowu | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Marshall | F | 11 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Emilio Lawrence | F | 11 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Jones | F | 49 | 7.08 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Richards | M | 29 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Barnsley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Slicker | G | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Kay | D | 90 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Shepherd | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| C. O'Riordan | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Noslin | D | 45 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick Kelly | M | 90 | 6.98 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| C. McGeehan | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Cleary | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Vimal Yoganathan | M | 83 | 5.92 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.03 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — | |
| T. Adeyemo | F | 74 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Amani Richards | F | 16 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Okedina | D | 45 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bland | M | 7 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kirk | F | 45 | 7.18 | 1 | — | 3 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Larkeche | D | 45 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luton vs Barnsley?
The final score was Luton 2–1 Barnsley.
What did the model predict before Luton vs Barnsley?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Luton win, 27% to a draw, and 25% to an Barnsley win.