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Luton - Forest Green

FA Cup November 07, 2026 16:00
Luton
vs
Forest Green
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.58%
Win
Luton
23.51%
Draw
27.91%
Win
Forest Green
1.61
Expected xG
1.18

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.09%)
1X2 Result
1 49%
X 24%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 51%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Luton a 48% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Forest Green. Expected goals are 1.6 for Luton and 1.2 for Forest Green (total 2.8), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.09% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Luton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Forest Green.

Season Stats

Luton
1W 1D 0L
Forest Green
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
3.0
2.5
Conceded
1.2
5.0
Shots OT
6.7
2.0
Corners
5.3
53%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
84%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Luton
1W 0D 0L · at home
Forest Green
1W 1D 1L · away
4.0
gls/g
2.3
3.0
Conceded
1.7
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Luton Forest Green →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2% 7.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.9% 11.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.0% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Luton Luton
D Fleetwood Town 2–2
W Forest Green 4–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Forest Green Forest Green
W Chesham United 5–0
D Chesham United 0–0
L Luton 4–3
W Worthing 1–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Luton Luton
Attack
52
Defence
64
Form
62
Forest Green Forest Green
Attack
54
Defence
60
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Luton
0
Draw
0
Forest Green
31 Oct 2025 FA Cup 4–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Luton vs Forest Green?
The model gives Luton a 48% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 27% for an Forest Green win.
How many goals are expected in Luton vs Forest Green?
Expected goals: Luton 1.6, Forest Green 1.2 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Luton vs Forest Green?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.09%.