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UEFA Nations League · League C - 2 September 29, 2026 20:45 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Luxembourg
#4 · 3 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Iceland
#1 · 8 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Luxembourg, result Iceland wins
13' (ast. Orri Steinn Óskarsson) Andri Guðjohnsen
39' (ast. Andri Guðjohnsen) Orri Steinn Óskarsson
73' (ast. Gylfi Sigurðsson) Victor Pálsson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luxembourg a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Iceland 16%). The final result was Luxembourg 0–3 Iceland. In 2 previous meetings, Luxembourg have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Iceland.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
4
1
Saves
1
60%
Possession
40%
2
Corners
2
4
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
13'
ast. Orri Steinn Óskarsson · Andri Guðjohnsen⚽
↕ Laurent Jans / Marvin Martins
15'
35'
Hakon Valdimarsson
39'
ast. Andri Guðjohnsen · Orri Steinn Óskarsson⚽
59'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
↕ Vincent Thill / jayson videira
62'
↕ Mathias Olesen / Enzo dos Santos
62'
67'
Hörður Magnússon / Stefán Teitur Thórdarson ↕
Leandro Barreiro
72'
73'
ast. Gylfi Sigurðsson · Victor Pálsson⚽
74'
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson / Orri Steinn Óskarsson ↕
75'
Mikael Anderson / Andri Guðjohnsen ↕
75'
Isak Thorvaldsson / Hákon Arnar Haraldsson ↕
↕ Hamza Kadamani / Omar Natami
76'
↕ J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz / Timothé Rupil
76'
78'
Mikael Ellertsson
85'
Arnór Sigurðsson / Victor Pálsson ↕
90'+1
Isak Thorvaldsson
Enes Mahmutovic
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.96%
Luxembourg
26.49%
X
16.55%
Iceland ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Iceland) 16.55% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Luxembourg
1.81
—
—
Iceland
0.55
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Iceland Iceland 4 8
2 Estonia Estonia 4 6
3 Bulgaria Bulgaria 4 4
4 Luxembourg Luxembourg 4 3
Lineups
Luxembourg Luxembourg 4-1-4-1
1 A. Moris A. Moris G 5.92
4 F. Bohnert F. Bohnert D 5.74
13 D. Carlson D. Carlson D 6.48
3
E. Mahmutović D 5.96
18 Laurent Jans Laurent Jans 15' D 6.04
19 M. Olesen M. Olesen 62' M 6.48
17 H. Kadamani H. Kadamani 76' M 5.55
16 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro M 6.19
6 J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz 76' M 5.18
11 V. Thill V. Thill 62' M 5.60
7 Aiman Dardari Aiman Dardari F 6.44
Bench
8 E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos 28' M 5.84
2 E. Džogović E. Džogović D 0.00
14 E. Veiga E. Veiga D 0.00
9 Jayson Videira Pereira Jayson Videira Pereira 28' F 6.30
20 M. Goncalves M. Goncalves M 0.00
22 M. Martins M. Martins 75' D 6.16
15 Omar Natami Omar Natami 14' F 6.34
21 S. Thill S. Thill M 0.00
23 T. Kips T. Kips G 0.00
12 T. Pereira Cardoso T. Pereira Cardoso G 0.00
10 T. Rupil T. Rupil 14' M 5.74
5
V. Selimović D 0.00
Iceland Iceland 4-4-2
12 H. Valdimarsson H. Valdimarsson G 6.24
2 Logi Tomasson Logi Tomasson D 6.93
3 D. Grétarsson D. Grétarsson D 7.02
16 S. Þórðarson S. Þórðarson 67' D 7.07
4 V. Pálsson V. Pálsson 1 ⚽ 85' D 7.42
7 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 75' M 6.68
10 G. Sigurðsson G. Sigurðsson 1 👟 M 7.70
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 6.68
19 M. Ellertsson M. Ellertsson M 6.38
9 O. Óskarsson O. Óskarsson 1 ⚽ 1 👟 74' F 8.46
22 A. Guðjohnsen A. Guðjohnsen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 9.00
Bench
13 A. Einarsson A. Einarsson G 0.00
17 A. Gunnarsson A. Gunnarsson M 0.00
6 Andri Fannar Baldursson Andri Fannar Baldursson M 0.00
21 A. Sigurðsson A. Sigurðsson 5' M 6.79
14 B. Willumsson B. Willumsson 16' F 6.54
23 H. Magnússon H. Magnússon 23' D 6.60
5 Í. Þorvaldsson Í. Þorvaldsson 15' F 6.43
11 J. Þorsteinsson J. Þorsteinsson F 0.00
15 K. Ingason K. Ingason F 0.00
18 Mikael Anderson Mikael Anderson 15' M 6.52
1 R. Rúnarsson R. Rúnarsson G 0.00
20 Þ. Helgason Þ. Helgason M 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Guðjohnsen
A. Guðjohnsen
F · Iceland
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
O. Óskarsson
O. Óskarsson
F · Iceland
8.46
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 13 pass
G. Sigurðsson
G. Sigurðsson
M · Iceland
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 38 pass
V. Pálsson
V. Pálsson
D · Iceland
7.42
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
S. Þórðarson
S. Þórðarson
D · Iceland
7.07
· 54 pass
D. Grétarsson
D. Grétarsson
D · Iceland
7.02
· 51 pass
Luxembourg Luxembourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Moris G 90 5.92 — — 0 40 31% 0 — —
F. Bohnert D 90 5.74 — — 0 62 51% 0 — —
D. Carlson D 90 6.48 — — 0 111 107% 0 — —
E. Mahmutović D 90 5.96 — — 0 104 98% 1 1 —
Laurent Jans D 15 6.04 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
M. Olesen M 62 6.48 — — 1 48 45% 0 — —
H. Kadamani M 76 5.55 — — 0 16 14% 1 — —
L. Barreiro M 90 6.19 — — 0 56 49% 0 1 —
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz M 76 5.18 — — 0 26 18% 0 — —
V. Thill M 62 5.60 — — 1 31 23% 0 — —
Aiman Dardari F 90 6.44 — — 2 27 23% 0 — —
E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos M 28 5.84 — — 0 17 17% 1 — —
Jayson Videira Pereira F 28 6.30 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
M. Martins D 75 6.16 — — 0 62 55% 1 — —
Omar Natami F 14 6.34 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
T. Rupil M 14 5.74 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
Iceland Iceland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Valdimarsson G 90 6.24 — — 0 34 21% 0 1 —
Logi Tomasson D 90 6.93 — — 0 30 26% 0 — —
D. Grétarsson D 90 7.02 — — 0 51 47% 0 — —
S. Þórðarson D 67 7.07 — — 0 54 50% 1 — —
V. Pálsson D 85 7.42 1 — 2 35 22% 4 — —
H. Haraldsson M 75 6.68 — — 3 34 28% 3 — —
G. Sigurðsson M 90 7.70 — 1 1 38 36% 3 — —
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 90 6.68 — — 1 41 38% 3 1 —
M. Ellertsson M 90 6.38 — — 2 21 14% 5 1 —
O. Óskarsson F 74 8.46 1 1 2 13 6% 0 — —
A. Guðjohnsen F 75 9.00 1 1 2 26 22% 0 — —
A. Sigurðsson M 5 6.79 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
B. Willumsson F 16 6.54 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
H. Magnússon D 23 6.60 — — 0 12 9% 0 — —
Í. Þorvaldsson F 15 6.43 — — 0 6 2% 1 1 —
Mikael Anderson M 15 6.52 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luxembourg vs Iceland?
The final score was Luxembourg 0–3 Iceland.
What did the model predict before Luxembourg vs Iceland?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Luxembourg win, 26% to a draw, and 16% to an Iceland win.