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0 – 1
Final score
49' (ast. N. Pisilli) F. Esposito
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Italy a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Luxembourg 29%). The final result was Luxembourg 0–1 Italy.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
7
17
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
49'
ast. N. Pisilli · F. Esposito
51'
L. Lipani
F. Bohnert / H. Kadamani
66'
Mica Pinto / E. Mahmutovic
67'
67'
N. Fortini / C. Favasuli
67'
S. Fini / L. Cherubini
76'
F. Camarda / F. Esposito
76'
M. Dagasso / L. Lipani
76'
F. Mane / P. Comuzzo
V. Thill / S. Thill
77'
T. de Sousa / D. Duarte
86'
D. Sinani / A. Curci
86'
M. Olesen / M. Goncalves
86'
D. Carlson
90'+3
90'
H. Ahanor / D. Bartesaghi
90'
S. Inacio / L. Koleosho
Pre-match prediction
29.72%
Luxembourg
31.37%
X
38.91%
Italy ←
we assigned to the actual result (Italy) 38.91% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Luxembourg
1.13
Italy
0.79
Lineups
Luxembourg Luxembourg 4-5-1
1 Anthony Moris Anthony Moris G 6.60
17
Mica Pinto 67' D 6.20
13 D. Carlson D. Carlson D 6.30
2 S. Korač S. Korač D 6.60
18
Laurent Jans D 6.90
7
Florian Bohnert 66' M 6.90
6
Tomas de Sousa Moreira 86' M 6.60
19 Mathias Olesen Mathias Olesen 86' M 6.50
8
Christopher Martins M 6.30
15
Vincent Thill 77' M 7.00
10 D. Sinani D. Sinani 86' F 7.20
Bench
9
Alessio Curci 5' F
4 Diego Duarte Diego Duarte 5' M
11
Edvin Muratović F
3
Enes Mahmutović 24' D 6.20
22
Enzo Duarte M
14
Eric Veiga D
20
Hamza Kadamani 25' M 6.60
23
Lucas Fox G
16
Miguel Fernandes Goncalves 5' M
21 S. Thill S. Thill 14' M 6.60
12
Tiago Pereira Cardoso G
5 V. Selimović V. Selimović D
Italy Italy 4-3-3
1 Gianluigi Donnarumma Gianluigi Donnarumma G 6.90
3 Davide Bartesaghi Davide Bartesaghi D 7.60
4 Fabio Chiarodia Fabio Chiarodia D 6.90
15 Pietro Comuzzo Pietro Comuzzo 76' D 6.60
22 Costantino Favasuli Costantino Favasuli 67' D 6.90
10 C. Ndour C. Ndour M 6.60
5 Luca Lipani Luca Lipani 76' M 6.60
21 Niccolò Pisilli Niccolò Pisilli 1 👟 M 6.60
11 Luca Koleosho Luca Koleosho F 6.30
9 F. Esposito F. Esposito 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30
7 Luigi Cherubini Luigi Cherubini 67' F 6.60
Bench
6 Filippo Mané Filippo Mané 15' D 6.70
8 Francesco Camarda Francesco Camarda 15' F 6.20
16 Giacomo Faticanti Giacomo Faticanti M
12 Giovanni Daffara Giovanni Daffara G
24 Honest Ahanor Honest Ahanor 1' D
18 Jeff Ekhator Jeff Ekhator F
23 Lorenzo Palmisani Lorenzo Palmisani G
13 Luca Reggiani Luca Reggiani D
2 Marco Palestra Marco Palestra D
20 Matteo Dagasso Matteo Dagasso 15' M 6.50
25 Niccolò Fortini Niccolò Fortini 24' D 6.60
19 Samuele Inacio Samuele Inacio 1' F
17 S. Fini S. Fini 24' F 6.20
14 T. Berti T. Berti M
Best on the pitch
Davide Bartesaghi
Davide Bartesaghi
D · Italy
7.60
· 40 pass
F. Esposito
F. Esposito
F · Italy
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
D. Sinani
D. Sinani
F · Luxembourg
7.20
· 35 pass
Vincent Thill
M · Luxembourg
7.00
· 32 pass
Costantino Favasuli
Costantino Favasuli
D · Italy
6.90
· 28 pass
Laurent Jans
D · Luxembourg
6.90
· 34 pass
Luxembourg Luxembourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anthony Moris G 91 6.60 51 32%
Mica Pinto D 67 6.20 19 17%
D. Carlson D 91 6.30 31 29%
S. Korač D 91 6.60 1 61 54% 3
Laurent Jans D 91 6.90 34 29% 1
Florian Bohnert M 66 6.90 17 14% 2
Tomas de Sousa Moreira M 86 6.60 2 24 21%
Mathias Olesen M 86 6.50 1 35 33%
Christopher Martins M 91 6.30 30 26%
Vincent Thill M 77 7.00 32 27% 6
D. Sinani F 86 7.20 35 29% 1
Alessio Curci F 5
Diego Duarte M 5 1 1
Enes Mahmutović D 24 6.20 13 12%
Hamza Kadamani M 25 6.60 4 4% 2
Miguel Fernandes Goncalves M 5 4 4%
S. Thill M 14 6.60 15 13% 1
Italy Italy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gianluigi Donnarumma G 91 6.90 30 27%
Davide Bartesaghi D 90 7.60 40 36% 1
Fabio Chiarodia D 91 6.90 76 70%
Pietro Comuzzo D 76 6.60 59 57%
Costantino Favasuli D 67 6.90 28 27% 2
C. Ndour M 91 6.60 1 32 26% 1
Luca Lipani M 76 6.60 1 38 30% 1
Niccolò Pisilli M 91 6.60 1 2 37 28% 1
Luca Koleosho F 90 6.30 1 33 27%
F. Esposito F 76 7.30 1 4 19 14%
Luigi Cherubini F 67 6.60 23 16%
Filippo Mané D 15 6.70 4 4% 1
Francesco Camarda F 15 6.20 1 3 1%
Honest Ahanor D 1 1 1%
Matteo Dagasso M 15 6.50 2 2%
Niccolò Fortini D 24 6.60 8 5% 2
Samuele Inacio F 1
S. Fini F 24 6.20 1 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luxembourg vs Italy?
The final score was Luxembourg 0–1 Italy.
What did the model predict before Luxembourg vs Italy?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Luxembourg win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an Italy win.