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← Friendlies Internazionali
0 – 1
Final score
49' (ast. N. Pisilli) F. Esposito
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Italy a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Luxembourg 29%). The final result was Luxembourg 0–1 Italy.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
7
17
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
49'
ast. N. Pisilli · F. Esposito
51'
L. Lipani
F. Bohnert / H. Kadamani
66'
Mica Pinto / E. Mahmutovic
67'
67'
N. Fortini / C. Favasuli
67'
S. Fini / L. Cherubini
76'
F. Camarda / F. Esposito
76'
M. Dagasso / L. Lipani
76'
F. Mane / P. Comuzzo
V. Thill / S. Thill
77'
T. de Sousa / D. Duarte
86'
D. Sinani / A. Curci
86'
M. Olesen / M. Goncalves
86'
D. Carlson
90'+3
90'
H. Ahanor / D. Bartesaghi
90'
S. Inacio / L. Koleosho
Pre-match prediction
29.72%
Luxembourg
31.37%
X
38.91%
Italy ←
we assigned to the actual result (Italy) 38.91% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Luxembourg
1.13
Italy
0.79
Lineups
Luxembourg Luxembourg 4-5-1
1 A. Moris A. Moris G 6.60
17
Mica Pinto 67' D 6.20
13 D. Carlson D. Carlson D 6.30
2 S. Korač S. Korač D 6.60
18 L. Jans L. Jans D 6.90
7 Florian Bohnert Florian Bohnert 66' M 6.90
6
Tomas de Sousa Moreira 86' M 6.60
19 Mathias Olesen Mathias Olesen 86' M 6.50
8 C. Martins C. Martins M 6.30
15 V. Thill V. Thill 77' M 7.00
10 D. Sinani D. Sinani 86' F 7.20
Bench
9
Alessio Curci 5' F
4 Diego Duarte Diego Duarte 5' M
11
Edvin Muratović F
3 E. Mahmutović E. Mahmutović 24' D 6.20
22
Enzo Duarte M
14 Eric Veiga Eric Veiga D
20 H. Kadamani H. Kadamani 25' M 6.60
23
Lucas Fox G
16 Miguel Fernandes Gonçalves Miguel Fernandes Gonçalves 5' M
21
Sebastien Thill 14' M 6.60
12
Tiago Pereira Cardoso G
5
V. Selimović D
Italy Italy 4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 6.90
3 Davide Bartesaghi Davide Bartesaghi D 7.60
4 F. Chiarodia F. Chiarodia D 6.90
15 P. Comuzzo P. Comuzzo 76' D 6.60
22 C. Favasuli C. Favasuli 67' D 6.90
10 Cher Ndour Cher Ndour M 6.60
5 L. Lipani L. Lipani 76' M 6.60
21 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 👟 M 6.60
11 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho F 6.30
9 F. Esposito F. Esposito 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30
7 L. Cherubini L. Cherubini 67' F 6.60
Bench
6 F. Mané F. Mané 15' D 6.70
8 Francesco Camarda Francesco Camarda 15' F 6.20
12 G. Daffara G. Daffara G
16 G. Faticanti G. Faticanti M
24 H. Ahanor H. Ahanor 1' D
18 J. Ekhator J. Ekhator F
23 Lorenzo Palmisani Lorenzo Palmisani G
13 L. Reggiani L. Reggiani D
2 Marco Palestra Marco Palestra D
20 M. Dagasso M. Dagasso 15' M 6.50
25 N. Fortini N. Fortini 24' D 6.60
17 Seydou Fini Seydou Fini 24' F 6.20
19 S. Inacio S. Inacio 1' F
14 T. Berti T. Berti M
Best on the pitch
Davide Bartesaghi
Davide Bartesaghi
D · Italy
7.60
· 40 pass
F. Esposito
F. Esposito
F · Italy
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
D. Sinani
D. Sinani
F · Luxembourg
7.20
· 35 pass
V. Thill
V. Thill
M · Luxembourg
7.00
· 32 pass
C. Favasuli
C. Favasuli
D · Italy
6.90
· 28 pass
L. Jans
L. Jans
D · Luxembourg
6.90
· 34 pass
Luxembourg Luxembourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Moris G 91 6.60 51 32%
Mica Pinto D 67 6.20 19 17%
D. Carlson D 91 6.30 31 29%
S. Korač D 91 6.60 1 61 54% 3
L. Jans D 91 6.90 34 29% 1
Florian Bohnert M 66 6.90 17 14% 2
Tomas de Sousa Moreira M 86 6.60 2 24 21%
Mathias Olesen M 86 6.50 1 35 33%
C. Martins M 91 6.30 30 26%
V. Thill M 77 7.00 32 27% 6
D. Sinani F 86 7.20 35 29% 1
Alessio Curci F 5
Diego Duarte M 5 1 1
E. Mahmutović D 24 6.20 13 12%
H. Kadamani M 25 6.60 4 4% 2
Miguel Fernandes Gonçalves M 5 4 4%
Sebastien Thill M 14 6.60 15 13% 1
Italy Italy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 91 6.90 30 27%
Davide Bartesaghi D 90 7.60 40 36% 1
F. Chiarodia D 91 6.90 76 70%
P. Comuzzo D 76 6.60 59 57%
C. Favasuli D 67 6.90 28 27% 2
Cher Ndour M 91 6.60 1 32 26% 1
L. Lipani M 76 6.60 1 38 30% 1
N. Pisilli M 91 6.60 1 2 37 28% 1
L. Koleosho F 90 6.30 1 33 27%
F. Esposito F 76 7.30 1 4 19 14%
L. Cherubini F 67 6.60 23 16%
F. Mané D 15 6.70 4 4% 1
Francesco Camarda F 15 6.20 1 3 1%
H. Ahanor D 1 1 1%
M. Dagasso M 15 6.50 2 2%
N. Fortini D 24 6.60 8 5% 2
Seydou Fini F 24 6.20 1 1 1%
S. Inacio F 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luxembourg vs Italy?
The final score was Luxembourg 0–1 Italy.
What did the model predict before Luxembourg vs Italy?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Luxembourg win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an Italy win.