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← Friendlies Internazionali
0 – 1
Final score
49' (ast. N. Pisilli) F. Esposito
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Italy a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Luxembourg 29%). The final result was Luxembourg 0–1 Italy.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
7
17
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
49'
ast. N. Pisilli · F. Esposito⚽
51'
L. Lipani
↕ F. Bohnert / H. Kadamani
66'
↕ Mica Pinto / E. Mahmutovic
67'
67'
N. Fortini / C. Favasuli ↕
67'
S. Fini / L. Cherubini ↕
76'
F. Camarda / F. Esposito ↕
76'
M. Dagasso / L. Lipani ↕
76'
F. Mane / P. Comuzzo ↕
↕ V. Thill / S. Thill
77'
↕ T. de Sousa / D. Duarte
86'
↕ D. Sinani / A. Curci
86'
↕ M. Olesen / M. Goncalves
86'
D. Carlson
90'+3
90'
H. Ahanor / D. Bartesaghi ↕
90'
S. Inacio / L. Koleosho ↕
Pre-match prediction
29.72%
Luxembourg
31.37%
X
38.91%
Italy ←
we assigned to the actual result (Italy) 38.91% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Luxembourg
1.13
—
—
Italy
0.79
—
—
Lineups
Luxembourg Luxembourg 4-5-1
1 A. Moris A. Moris G 6.60
17
Mica Pinto 67' D 6.20
13 D. Carlson D. Carlson D 6.30
2 S. Korač S. Korač D 6.60
18 Laurent Jans Laurent Jans D 6.90
7 F. Bohnert F. Bohnert 66' M 6.90
6 J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz 86' M 6.60
19 M. Olesen M. Olesen 86' M 6.50
8 C. Martins C. Martins M 6.30
15 V. Thill V. Thill 77' M 7.00
10 D. Sinani D. Sinani 86' F 7.20
Bench
9
Alessio Curci 5' F
4 Diego Duarte Diego Duarte 5' M
11
Edvin Muratović F
3
E. Mahmutović 24' D 6.20
22
Enzo Duarte M
14 E. Veiga E. Veiga D
20 H. Kadamani H. Kadamani 25' M 6.60
23 L. Fox L. Fox G
16 M. Goncalves M. Goncalves 5' M
21 S. Thill S. Thill 14' M 6.60
12 T. Pereira Cardoso T. Pereira Cardoso G
5
V. Selimović D
Italy Italy 4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 6.90
3 D. Bartesaghi D. Bartesaghi D 7.60
4 F. Chiarodia F. Chiarodia D 6.90
15 P. Comuzzo P. Comuzzo 76' D 6.60
22 Costantino Favasuli Costantino Favasuli 67' D 6.90
10 C. Ndour C. Ndour M 6.60
5 L. Lipani L. Lipani 76' M 6.60
21 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 1 👟 M 6.60
11 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho F 6.30
9 F. Esposito F. Esposito 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30
7 L. Cherubini L. Cherubini 67' F 6.60
Bench
8 F. Camarda F. Camarda 15' F 6.20
6 F. Mané F. Mané 15' D 6.70
12 G. Daffara G. Daffara G
16 G. Faticanti G. Faticanti M
24 H. Ahanor H. Ahanor 1' D
18 J. Ekhator J. Ekhator F
23 L. Palmisani L. Palmisani G
13 L. Reggiani L. Reggiani D
20 M. Dagasso M. Dagasso 15' M 6.50
2 M. Palestra M. Palestra D
25 Niccolò Fortini Niccolò Fortini 24' D 6.60
17 S. Fini S. Fini 24' F 6.20
19 S. Inacio S. Inacio 1' F
14 T. Berti T. Berti M
Best on the pitch
D. Bartesaghi
D. Bartesaghi
D · Italy
7.60
· 40 pass
F. Esposito
F. Esposito
F · Italy
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
D. Sinani
D. Sinani
F · Luxembourg
7.20
· 35 pass
V. Thill
V. Thill
M · Luxembourg
7.00
· 32 pass
Costantino Favasuli
Costantino Favasuli
D · Italy
6.90
· 28 pass
Laurent Jans
Laurent Jans
D · Luxembourg
6.90
· 34 pass
Luxembourg Luxembourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Moris G 91 6.60 — — — 51 32% — — —
Mica Pinto D 67 6.20 — — — 19 17% — — —
D. Carlson D 91 6.30 — — — 31 29% — — —
S. Korač D 91 6.60 — — 1 61 54% 3 — —
Laurent Jans D 91 6.90 — — — 34 29% 1 — —
F. Bohnert M 66 6.90 — — — 17 14% 2 — —
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz M 86 6.60 — — 2 24 21% — — —
M. Olesen M 86 6.50 — — 1 35 33% — — —
C. Martins M 91 6.30 — — — 30 26% — — —
V. Thill M 77 7.00 — — — 32 27% 6 — —
D. Sinani F 86 7.20 — — — 35 29% 1 — —
Alessio Curci F 5 — — — — — — — — —
Diego Duarte M 5 — — — — 1 — 1 — —
E. Mahmutović D 24 6.20 — — — 13 12% — — —
H. Kadamani M 25 6.60 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
M. Goncalves M 5 — — — — 4 4% — — —
S. Thill M 14 6.60 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
Italy Italy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 91 6.90 — — — 30 27% — — —
D. Bartesaghi D 90 7.60 — — — 40 36% 1 — —
F. Chiarodia D 91 6.90 — — — 76 70% — — —
P. Comuzzo D 76 6.60 — — — 59 57% — — —
Costantino Favasuli D 67 6.90 — — — 28 27% 2 — —
C. Ndour M 91 6.60 — — 1 32 26% 1 — —
L. Lipani M 76 6.60 — — 1 38 30% — 1 —
N. Pisilli M 91 6.60 — 1 2 37 28% 1 — —
L. Koleosho F 90 6.30 — — 1 33 27% — — —
F. Esposito F 76 7.30 1 — 4 19 14% — — —
L. Cherubini F 67 6.60 — — — 23 16% — — —
F. Camarda F 15 6.20 — — 1 3 1% — — —
F. Mané D 15 6.70 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
H. Ahanor D 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Dagasso M 15 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Niccolò Fortini D 24 6.60 — — — 8 5% 2 — —
S. Fini F 24 6.20 — — 1 1 1% — — —
S. Inacio F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luxembourg vs Italy?
The final score was Luxembourg 0–1 Italy.
What did the model predict before Luxembourg vs Italy?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Luxembourg win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an Italy win.