UEFA Nations League
· Play-offs C/D
March 31, 2026 18:00
Vincent Thill
(ast. Danel Sinani)
20'
Danel Sinani
(ast. Leandro Barreiro)
50'
Tomas de Sousa Moreira
(ast. Seid Korać)
70'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luxembourg a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Malta 32%). The final result was Luxembourg 3–0 Malta. In 1 previous meetings, Luxembourg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Malta.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
6
17
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Vincent Thill
· ast. Danel Sinani
20'
Danel Sinani
27'
29'
Joseph Mbong
⚽Danel Sinani
(missed pen.)
45'+3
Florian Bohnert
46'
46'
Juan Corbalan
/
Ryan Camenzuli
⚽Danel Sinani
· ast. Leandro Barreiro
50'
Florian Bohnert
/ Enes Mahmutović
57'
Leandro Barreiro
/ Sebastien Thill
58'
62'
Jean Borg
/
Enrico Pepe
62'
Keyon Ewurum
/
Paul Mbong
64'
Joseph Mbong
64'
Joseph Mbong
Mathias Olesen
66'
Mathias Olesen
/ Yvandro Borges Sanches
68'
Vincent Thill
/ Tomas de Sousa Moreira
68'
⚽Tomas de Sousa Moreira
· ast. Seid Korać
70'
74'
Myles Beerman
/
Zach Muscat
Aiman Dardari
/ Jayson Videira Pereira
78'
82'
Adam Magri Overend
/
Ylyas Chouaref
Pre-match prediction
34.66%
Luxembourg ←
32.64%
X
32.7%
Malta
we assigned to the actual result (Luxembourg)
34.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.82
—
—
1.18
—
—
Lineups
1
G
18
D
2
1 👟
D
13
D
8
M
4
F. Bohnert
57'
D
F. Bohnert
57'
D
19
M. Olesen
68'
M
M. Olesen
68'
M
16
L. Barreiro
1 👟
58'
M
L. Barreiro
1 👟
58'
M
15
V. Thill
1 ⚽
68'
F
V. Thill
1 ⚽
68'
F
10
D. Sinani
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
D. Sinani
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
9
Aiman Dardari
78'
F
Aiman Dardari
78'
F
Bench
3
E. Mahmutović
33'
D
E. Mahmutović
33'
D
14
E. Veiga
D
E. Veiga
D
6
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
1 ⚽
22'
M
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
1 ⚽
22'
M
1
G
23
M
22
Z. Muscat
74'
D
Z. Muscat
74'
D
4
Gabriel Mentz
D
13
E. Pepe
62'
D
E. Pepe
62'
D
3
R. Camenzuli
45'
D
R. Camenzuli
45'
D
6
M. Guillaumier
M
M. Guillaumier
M
7
J. Mbong
64'
M
J. Mbong
64'
M
8
P. Mbong
62'
M
P. Mbong
62'
M
20
I. Chouaref
82'
M
I. Chouaref
82'
M
11
I. Cardona
F
I. Cardona
F
Bench
17
A. Zammit
F
A. Zammit
F
10
B. Paiber
M
B. Paiber
M
9
J. Grech
M
J. Grech
M
5
K. Shaw
D
K. Shaw
D
15
M. Beerman
16'
D
M. Beerman
16'
D
12
M. Debono
G
14
Yannick Yankam
M
Best on the pitch
V. Thill
F · Luxembourg
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
G · Luxembourg
7.90
· 47 pass
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
M · Luxembourg
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
L. Barreiro
M · Luxembourg
7.90
1 👟
· 17 pass
D · Luxembourg
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 67 pass
D. Sinani
F · Luxembourg
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 53 pass
Luxembourg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 67 | 60% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 67% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Bohnert | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Olesen | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 58 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| V. Thill | F | 68 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| D. Sinani | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 53 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Aiman Dardari | F | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mahmutović | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz | M | 22 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 28% | — | — | — |
Malta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Z. Muscat | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mentz | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Pepe | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Camenzuli | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Guillaumier | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mbong | M | 64 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| P. Mbong | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| I. Chouaref | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Cardona | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Beerman | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luxembourg vs Malta?
The final score was Luxembourg 3–0 Malta.
What did the model predict before Luxembourg vs Malta?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Luxembourg win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Malta win.