Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 31
April 25, 2026 15:00
R. Yaremchuk
(ast. Abner Vinicius)
19'
C. Tolisso
(ast. A. Maitland-Niles)
66'
R. Yaremchuk
(ast. C. Tolisso)
71'
35'
S. Diomande
88'
(ast. S. Diomande)
B. Okoh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 51% win probability (draw 26%, Auxerre 21%). The final result was Lyon 3–2 Auxerre. In 2 previous meetings, Lyon have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Auxerre.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.18
Actual xG
0.81
0
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
2
20
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Yaremchuk
· ast. Abner Vinicius
19'
O. Mangala
/ T. Tessmann
34'
35'
S. Diomande⚽
52'
D. Namaso
K. Merah
/ C. Tolisso
58'
T. Morton
/ P. Sulc
58'
59'
L. Sy
/
M. Senaya
59'
C. Akpa
/
F. Oppegard
⚽C. Tolisso
· ast. A. Maitland-Niles
66'
⚽R. Yaremchuk
· ast. C. Tolisso
71'
75'
S. Mara
/
D. Namaso
75'
J. Casimir
/
L. Sinayoko
75'
N. Ahamada
/
R. Faivre
Endrick
/ R. Kluivert
77'
R. Yaremchuk
/ N. Tagliafico
77'
84'
G. Mensah
88'
ast. S. Diomande ·
B. Okoh⚽
R. Kluivert
89'
Pre-match prediction
51.77%
Lyon ←
26.35%
X
21.88%
Auxerre
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon)
51.77%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
2.18
+0.72
0.94
0.81
-0.13
Lyon dominated by xG (2.18 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Greif
G
D. Greif
G
16
Abner
1 👟
D
Abner
1 👟
D
19
D
22
Clinton Mata
D
Clinton Mata
D
98
A. Maitland-Niles
1 👟
D
A. Maitland-Niles
1 👟
D
5
O. Mangala
34'
M
O. Mangala
34'
M
23
T. Morton
58'
M
T. Morton
58'
M
17
Afonso Moreira
M
Afonso Moreira
M
44
K. Merah
58'
M
K. Merah
58'
M
9
Endrick
77'
M
Endrick
77'
M
77
R. Yaremchuk
2 ⚽
77'
F
R. Yaremchuk
2 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
8
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
1 👟
37'
M
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
1 👟
37'
M
33
H. Hateboer
D
H. Hateboer
D
99
N. Nartey
M
N. Nartey
M
3
N. Tagliafico
18'
D
N. Tagliafico
18'
D
10
P. Šulc
37'
M
P. Šulc
37'
M
18
R. Ghezzal
F
21
R. Kluivert
18'
D
R. Kluivert
18'
D
6
T. Tessmann
61'
M
T. Tessmann
61'
M
40
G
14
G. Mensah
D
G. Mensah
D
24
Bryan Okoh
1 ⚽
D
Bryan Okoh
1 ⚽
D
20
S. Diomandé
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
S. Diomandé
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
29
Marvin Senaya
59'
D
Marvin Senaya
59'
D
5
K. Danois
M
K. Danois
M
42
Elisha Owusu
M
Elisha Owusu
M
22
F. Oppegård
59'
M
F. Oppegård
59'
M
19
D. Namaso
75'
M
D. Namaso
75'
M
28
R. Faivre
75'
M
R. Faivre
75'
M
10
L. Sinayoko
75'
F
L. Sinayoko
75'
F
Bench
18
Assane Dioussé
M
Assane Dioussé
M
92
C. Akpa
36'
D
C. Akpa
36'
D
7
J. Casimir
20'
F
J. Casimir
20'
F
27
L. Sy
36'
D
L. Sy
36'
D
8
N. Ahamada
20'
M
N. Ahamada
20'
M
9
S. Mara
20'
F
S. Mara
20'
F
Best on the pitch
R. Yaremchuk
F · Lyon
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
C. Tolisso
M · Lyon
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
K. Danois
M · Auxerre
7.70
· 59 pass
Abner
D · Lyon
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 51 pass
Clinton Mata
D · Lyon
7.20
· 45 pass
A. Maitland-Niles
D · Lyon
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 43 pass
Lyon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Greif | G | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Abner | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — | |
| Clinton Mata | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Maitland-Niles | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Mangala | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| T. Morton | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Afonso Moreira | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Merah | M | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Endrick | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Yaremchuk | F | 77 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Tolisso | M | 37 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| P. Šulc | M | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kluivert | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Tessmann | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Auxerre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| G. Mensah | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bryan Okoh | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Danois | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 7 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Oppegård | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 75 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Faivre | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Akpa | D | 36 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Casimir | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Sy | D | 36 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Ahamada | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Mara | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lyon vs Auxerre?
The final score was Lyon 3–2 Auxerre.
What did the model predict before Lyon vs Auxerre?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Lyon win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Auxerre win.