Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 31
April 25, 2026 15:00
R. Yaremchuk
(ast. Abner Vinicius)
19'
C. Tolisso
(ast. A. Maitland-Niles)
66'
R. Yaremchuk
(ast. C. Tolisso)
71'
35'
S. Diomande
88'
(ast. S. Diomande)
B. Okoh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 51% win probability (draw 26%, Auxerre 21%). The final result was Lyon 3–2 Auxerre. In 1 previous meetings, Lyon have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Auxerre.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.18
Actual xG
0.81
0
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
2
20
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Yaremchuk
· ast. Abner Vinicius
19'
O. Mangala
/ T. Tessmann
34'
35'
S. Diomande⚽
52'
D. Namaso
K. Merah
/ C. Tolisso
58'
T. Morton
/ P. Sulc
58'
59'
L. Sy
/
M. Senaya
59'
C. Akpa
/
F. Oppegard
⚽C. Tolisso
· ast. A. Maitland-Niles
66'
⚽R. Yaremchuk
· ast. C. Tolisso
71'
75'
S. Mara
/
D. Namaso
75'
J. Casimir
/
L. Sinayoko
75'
N. Ahamada
/
R. Faivre
Endrick
/ R. Kluivert
77'
R. Yaremchuk
/ N. Tagliafico
77'
84'
G. Mensah
88'
ast. S. Diomande ·
B. Okoh⚽
R. Kluivert
89'
Pre-match prediction
51.77%
Lyon ←
26.35%
X
21.88%
Auxerre
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon)
51.77%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
2.18
+0.72
0.94
0.81
-0.13
Lyon dominated by xG (2.18 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Dominik Greif
G
Dominik Greif
G
16
Abner Vinícius
1 👟
D
Abner Vinícius
1 👟
D
19
D
22
Clinton Mata
D
Clinton Mata
D
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
1 👟
D
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
1 👟
D
5
O. Mangala
34'
M
O. Mangala
34'
M
23
T. Morton
58'
M
T. Morton
58'
M
17
Afonso Moreira
M
Afonso Moreira
M
44
Khalis Merah
58'
M
Khalis Merah
58'
M
9
Endrick
77'
M
Endrick
77'
M
77
Roman Yaremchuk
2 ⚽
77'
F
Roman Yaremchuk
2 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
8
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
1 👟
37'
M
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
1 👟
37'
M
33
Hans Hateboer
D
Hans Hateboer
D
99
Noah Nartey
M
Noah Nartey
M
3
N. Tagliafico
18'
D
N. Tagliafico
18'
D
10
P. Šulc
37'
M
P. Šulc
37'
M
18
R. Ghezzal
F
21
Ruben Kluivert
18'
D
Ruben Kluivert
18'
D
6
Tanner Tessmann
61'
M
40
G
14
Gideon Mensah
D
Gideon Mensah
D
24
Bryan Okoh
1 ⚽
D
Bryan Okoh
1 ⚽
D
20
Sinaly Diomandé
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Sinaly Diomandé
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
29
Marvin Senaya
59'
D
Marvin Senaya
59'
D
5
Kévin Danois
M
Kévin Danois
M
42
Elisha Owusu
M
Elisha Owusu
M
22
F. Oppegard
59'
M
19
D. Namaso
75'
M
D. Namaso
75'
M
28
R. Faivre
75'
M
10
L. Sinayoko
75'
F
L. Sinayoko
75'
F
Bench
18
Assane Dioussé
M
Assane Dioussé
M
92
Clement Akpa
36'
D
Clement Akpa
36'
D
7
J. Casimir
20'
F
J. Casimir
20'
F
27
Lamine Sy
36'
D
Lamine Sy
36'
D
8
Naouirou Ahamada
20'
M
Naouirou Ahamada
20'
M
9
Sékou Mara
20'
F
Sékou Mara
20'
F
Best on the pitch
Roman Yaremchuk
F · Lyon
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
C. Tolisso
M · Lyon
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
Kévin Danois
M · Auxerre
7.70
· 59 pass
Abner Vinícius
D · Lyon
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 51 pass
Clinton Mata
D · Lyon
7.20
· 45 pass
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
D · Lyon
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 43 pass
Lyon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Greif | G | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Abner Vinícius | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — | |
| Clinton Mata | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Mangala | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| T. Morton | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Afonso Moreira | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Khalis Merah | M | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Endrick | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Roman Yaremchuk | F | 77 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Tolisso | M | 37 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| P. Šulc | M | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruben Kluivert | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tanner Tessmann | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Auxerre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Gideon Mensah | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bryan Okoh | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Sinaly Diomandé | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Kévin Danois | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 7 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Oppegard | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 75 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Faivre | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Clement Akpa | D | 36 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Casimir | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Lamine Sy | D | 36 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Naouirou Ahamada | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Sékou Mara | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lyon vs Auxerre?
The final score was Lyon 3–2 Auxerre.
What did the model predict before Lyon vs Auxerre?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Lyon win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Auxerre win.