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Lyon - Bayer Leverkusen

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Lyon
#12 · 6 pts
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
#2 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.66%
Win
Lyon
25.6%
Draw
43.74%
Win
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
Expected xG
2.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.59%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 31%
X 26%
2 44%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 56%
X2 69%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 66%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayer Leverkusen a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Lyon. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lyon and 2.0 for Bayer Leverkusen (total 3.4), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.59% probability.

Season Stats

Lyon
9W 1D 3L
Bayer Leverkusen
3W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.7
1.1
Conceded
0.0
5.2
Shots OT
11.0
4.5
Corners
7.0
59%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
85%
O 1.5
100%
46%
O 2.5
33%
38%
BTTS
0%
38%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Lyon
5W 0D 1L · at home
Bayer Leverkusen
2W 0D 0L · away
2.2
gls/g
3.0
1.2
Conceded
0.0
83%
Win %
100%
83%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
100%
17%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lyon Bayer Leverkusen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 6.6% 6.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.5% 9.2% 9.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.3% 6.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Lyon Lyon
L 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0
W Crystal Palace 3–2
W Anderlecht 1–2
L Celta Vigo 0–2
D Celta Vigo 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
W OFI 0–2
W Lech Poznan 0–4
W Celje 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Lyon Lyon
Attack
41
Defence
55
Form
53
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
60
Defence
64
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model gives Lyon a 30% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 43% for an Bayer Leverkusen win.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Expected goals: Lyon 1.4, Bayer Leverkusen 2.0 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.59%.