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Lyon - Bayer Leverkusen

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Lyon
#21 · 0 pts
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
#18 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.66%
Win
Lyon
25.6%
Draw
43.74%
Win
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
Expected xG
2.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.59%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 26%
2 44%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 56%
X2 69%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayer Leverkusen a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Lyon. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lyon and 2.0 for Bayer Leverkusen (total 3.4), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.59% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Lyon Bayer Leverkusen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 6.6% 6.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.5% 9.2% 9.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.3% 6.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Lyon Lyon
L Celta Vigo 0–2
D Celta Vigo 1–1
W PAOK 4–2
W BSC Young Boys 0–1
W GO Ahead Eagles 2–1
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
No data available

Playing profile

Lyon Lyon
Attack
42
Defence
68
Form
45
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
57
Defence
72
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model gives Lyon a 30% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 43% for an Bayer Leverkusen win.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Expected goals: Lyon 1.4, Bayer Leverkusen 2.0 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.59%.