Europa League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 18:45

Lyon

#1 · 21 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Celta Vigo

#16 · 13 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Lyon, result Celta Vigo vince

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Celta Vigo 21%). The final result was Lyon 0–2 Celta Vigo. In 1 previous meetings, Lyon have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Celta Vigo.

Match statistics

1

Shots on target

8

0.24

Actual xG

1.54

35%

Possession

65%

1

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

56.19%

Lyon

22.2%

X

21.61%

Celta ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Celta Vigo) 21.61% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lyon

2.10

0.24

-1.86

Celta

1.08

1.54

+0.47

Celta Vigo dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lyon	8	21
2	Aston Villa	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	SC Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	Genk	8	16
10	Bologna	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvarosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest	8	14
14	Plzen	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	Celta Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK	8	12
18	Lille	8	12
19	Fenerbahçe	8	12
20	Panathinaikos	8	12
21	Celtic	8	11
22	Ludogorets	8	10
23	Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB	8	7
28	GO Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers	8	4
33	Nice	8	3
34	Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	1