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Lyon - Crystal Palace

Europa League October 15, 2026 18:45
#21 · 0 pts
vs
#10 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.26%
Win
Lyon
28.4%
Draw
27.34%
Win
Crystal Palace
1.89
Expected xG
0.92

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.87%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 28%
2 27%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 73%
X2 56%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lyon a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Crystal Palace. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lyon and 0.9 for Crystal Palace (total 2.8), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.87% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Lyon Crystal Palace →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.4% 10.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Recent form

L Celta Vigo 0–2
D Celta Vigo 1–1
W PAOK 4–2
W BSC Young Boys 0–1
W GO Ahead Eagles 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Lyon Lyon
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
41
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Attack
39
Defence
51
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives Lyon a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Crystal Palace win.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Expected goals: Lyon 1.9, Crystal Palace 0.9 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.87%.