✓Model correct — prediction Lyon
Corentin Tolisso
8'
Ernest Nuamah
(ast. Keito Nakamura)
45'+2
Pavel Šulc
(ast. Keito Nakamura)
76'
50'
(ast. Adam Wharton)
Yeremy Pino
81'
Daichi Kamada
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 57% win probability (draw 18%, Crystal Palace 24%). The final result was Lyon 3–2 Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
4
1.79
Actual xG
1.63
2
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
3
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Corentin Tolisso
8'
36'
Ismaila Sarr
⚽Ernest Nuamah
· ast. Keito Nakamura
45'+2
50'
ast. Adam Wharton ·
Yeremy Pino⚽
56'
Yeremy Pino
Keito Nakamura
58'
62'
Eddie Nketiah
/
Jörgen Strand Larsen
62'
Daichi Kamada
/
Ismaila Sarr
Khalis Merah
/ Pavel Šulc
70'
Ernest Nuamah
/ Kail Boudache
70'
75'
Dario Osorio
/
Yeremy Pino
75'
Anan Khalaili
/
Oscar Mingueza
⚽Pavel Šulc
· ast. Keito Nakamura
76'
Noah Teye Nartey
/ Tanner Tessmann
78'
81'
Daichi Kamada⚽
82'
Chris Richards
86'
Dwight McNeil
/
Quinten Timber
Corentin Tolisso
/ Mads Bidstrup
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.27%
Lyon ←
18.49%
X
24.24%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon)
57.27%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.27
1.79
-1.48
1.99
1.63
-0.36
xG dominance was balanced (1.79 – 1.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Greif
G
D. Greif
G
16
Abner
D
Abner
D
21
R. Kluivert
D
R. Kluivert
D
20
F. Bacher
D
F. Bacher
D
13
Z. Athekame
D
Z. Athekame
D
23
T. Morton
M
T. Morton
M
8
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
89'
M
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
89'
M
99
N. Nartey
78'
M
N. Nartey
78'
M
18
K. Merah
70'
M
K. Merah
70'
M
11
Keito Nakamura
2 👟
F
Keito Nakamura
2 👟
F
7
E. Nuamah
1 ⚽
70'
F
E. Nuamah
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
22
Clinton Mata
D
Clinton Mata
D
25
J. Bengui João
G
J. Bengui João
G
24
J. Duranville
F
J. Duranville
F
26
K. Boudache
20'
F
K. Boudache
20'
F
2
M. Bidstrup
1'
M
M. Bidstrup
1'
M
19
M. Niakhaté
D
M. Niakhaté
D
85
N. Kamara
D
N. Kamara
D
10
P. Šulc
1 ⚽
20'
M
P. Šulc
1 ⚽
20'
M
40
R. Descamps
G
R. Descamps
G
45
R. Himbert
F
R. Himbert
F
37
Steeve Kango
D
Steeve Kango
D
6
T. Tessmann
12'
M
T. Tessmann
12'
M
44
W. Benítez
G
W. Benítez
G
6
J. Canvot
D
J. Canvot
D
5
A. Disasi
D
A. Disasi
D
26
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
3
T. Mitchell
M
T. Mitchell
M
23
Q. Timber
86'
M
Q. Timber
86'
M
20
A. Wharton
1 👟
M
A. Wharton
1 👟
M
30
Óscar Mingueza
75'
M
Óscar Mingueza
75'
M
10
Yeremy Pino
1 ⚽
75'
M
Yeremy Pino
1 ⚽
75'
M
7
I. Sarr
62'
M
I. Sarr
62'
M
22
J. Strand Larsen
62'
F
J. Strand Larsen
62'
F
Bench
25
A. Khalaili
15'
D
A. Khalaili
15'
D
54
D. Benamar
D
D. Benamar
D
18
D. Kamada
1 ⚽
28'
M
D. Kamada
1 ⚽
28'
M
11
D. McNeil
4'
F
D. McNeil
4'
F
24
D. Osorio
15'
M
D. Osorio
15'
M
9
E. Nketiah
28'
F
E. Nketiah
28'
F
21
H. Ahanor
D
H. Ahanor
D
31
R. Matthews
G
R. Matthews
G
19
W. Hughes
M
W. Hughes
M
Best on the pitch
Keito Nakamura
F · Lyon
8.09
2 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
A. Wharton
M · Crystal
7.70
1 👟
· 50 pass
E. Nuamah
F · Lyon
7.58
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
C. Tolisso
M · Lyon
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 58 pass
Yeremy Pino
M · Crystal
7.05
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
P. Šulc
M · Lyon
6.96
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Lyon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Greif | G | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Abner | D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kluivert | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bacher | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 58% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Athekame | D | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Morton | M | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Tolisso | M | 89 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 58 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 78 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Merah | M | 70 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Keito Nakamura | F | 90 | 8.09 | — | 2 | 2 | 34 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Nuamah | F | 70 | 7.58 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Boudache | F | 20 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bidstrup | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Šulc | M | 20 | 6.96 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Tessmann | M | 12 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Benítez | G | 90 | 5.51 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Disasi | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 5.82 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 63% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 90 | 5.74 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Q. Timber | M | 86 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 50 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | M | 75 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeremy Pino | M | 75 | 7.05 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| I. Sarr | M | 62 | 5.72 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 62 | 6.52 | — | — | 4 | 12 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Khalaili | D | 15 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 28 | 6.75 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. McNeil | F | 4 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Osorio | M | 15 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Nketiah | F | 28 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Lyon 3–2 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Lyon win, 18% to a draw, and 24% to an Crystal Palace win.