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Lyon - Fenerbahçe

Champions League August 26, 2026 21:00
Lyon
vs
Fenerbahçe
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.25%
Win
Lyon
28.17%
Draw
40.58%
Win
Fenerbahçe
1.14
Expected xG
1.6

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.5%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 28%
2 41%
Double Chance
1X 59%
X2 69%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fenerbahçe a 40% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Lyon. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lyon and 1.6 for Fenerbahçe (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.5% probability.

Season Stats

Lyon
1W 0D 1L
Fenerbahçe
4W 2D 2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.4
1.0
Conceded
0.8
7.5
Shots OT
5.0
8.0
Corners
5.1
52%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
25%
50%
BTTS
38%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Lyon
1W 0D 0L · at home
Fenerbahçe
1W 1D 2L · away
3.0
gls/g
0.8
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lyon Fenerbahçe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5% 10.4% 8.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.2% 6.7% 5.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.6% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Lyon Lyon
W Sparta Praha 3–0
L Sparta Praha 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
W Sturm Graz 0–1
W Sturm Graz 2–0
D Gornik Zabrze 1–1
W Gornik Zabrze 1–0
L Benfica 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 42%

Playing profile

Lyon Lyon
Attack
52
Defence
58
Form
65
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Attack
61
Defence
85
Form
78
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lyon vs Fenerbahçe?
The model gives Lyon a 31% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 40% for an Fenerbahçe win.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Fenerbahçe?
Expected goals: Lyon 1.1, Fenerbahçe 1.6 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Lyon vs Fenerbahçe?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.