Lyon 0–4 Lens — pre-match prediction — Ligue 1 — May 17, 2026

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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 21:00

Lyon

#2 · 11 pts

0 – 4

Final score

Lens

#15 · 4 pts

20' (ast. K. Antonio) W. Said

32' (ast. A. Haidara) W. Said

45'+1 (ast. F. Thauvin) F. Sotoca

53' (ast. A. Bulatovic) F. Thauvin

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 42% win probability (draw 24%, Lens 33%). The final result was Lyon 0–4 Lens. In 2 previous meetings, Lyon have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lens.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.04

Actual xG

1.46

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

M. Sarr

20'

ast. K. Antonio · W. Said⚽

27'

S. Abdulhamid

32'

ast. A. Haidara · W. Said⚽

39'

I. Ganiou / K. Antonio ↕

45'+1

ast. F. Thauvin · F. Sotoca⚽

↕ R. Kluivert / R. Yaremchuk

46'

↕ A. Maitland-Niles / H. Hateboer

46'

M. Udol / M. Sarr ↕

46'

R. Aguilar / S. Abdulhamid ↕

53'

ast. A. Bulatovic · F. Thauvin⚽

61'

A. Sima / F. Thauvin ↕

61'

A. Thomasson / A. Haidara ↕

P. Sulc

63'

↕ Endrick / M. Fofana

71'

↕ O. Mangala / E. Nuamah

71'

73'

R. Aguilar

83'

N. Celik

Pre-match prediction

42.01%

Lyon

24.04%

33.96%

Lens ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 33.96% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Lyon

2.02

2.04

+0.02

Lens

2.04

1.46

-0.58

Lyon dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.46). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monaco	5	13
2	Lyon	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille	5	10
5	Rennes	5	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	8
7	Angers	5	7
8	Strasbourg	5	7
9	Le Mans	5	6
10	Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse	5	5
14	Nice	5	5
15	Lens	5	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	4
17	Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre	5	2

Lineups

Lyon 4-3-1-2

D. Greif G 5.00

R. Kluivert 45' D 5.90

M. Niakhaté D 6.70

Clinton Mata D 5.70

A. Maitland-Niles 45' D 5.60

C. Tolisso M 7.00

O. Mangala 71' M 6.90

Abner M 6.90

P. Šulc M 6.30

Afonso Moreira F 7.50

Endrick 71' F 6.30

Bench

E. Nuamah 19' F 6.60

H. Hateboer 45' D 6.20

K. Merah M

Mathys de Carvalho M

M. Fofana 19' F 7.70

N. Nartey M

N. Tagliafico D

R. Descamps G

R. Yaremchuk 45' F 6.50

Lens 3-4-2-1

M. Gorgelin G 8.20

M. Sarr 45' D 7.20

N. Äelik D 7.30

K. Antonio 1 👟 39' D 7.30

A. Masuaku M 7.00

A. Haidara 1 👟 61' M 7.00

A. Bulatović 1 👟 M 8.20

Saud Abdulhamid 45' M 6.20

W. Saïd 2 ⚽ F 8.20

F. Thauvin 1 ⚽ 1 👟 61' F 7.50

F. Sotoca 1 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

A. Sima 29' F 6.70

A. Thomasson 29' M 6.70

F. Sylla M

I. Ganiou 51' D 7.30

Mezian Mesloub M

M. Udol 45' D 7.20

R. Aguilar 45' D 7.90

R. Fofana F

R. Risser G

Best on the pitch

F. Sotoca

F · Lens

8.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 21 pass

W. Saïd

F · Lens

8.20

2 ⚽

5 shots · 25 pass

A. Bulatović

M · Lens

8.20

1 👟

1 shots · 32 pass

M. Gorgelin

G · Lens

8.20

· 34 pass

R. Aguilar

D · Lens

7.90

· 18 pass

M. Fofana

F · Lyon

7.70

· 11 pass

Lyon — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Greif	G	90	5.00	—	—	—	47	36%	—	—	—
R. Kluivert	D	45	5.90	—	—	1	22	19%	2	—	—
M. Niakhaté	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	64	55%	—	—	—
Clinton Mata	D	90	5.70	—	—	—	55	48%	—	—	—
A. Maitland-Niles	D	45	5.60	—	—	—	24	22%	—	—	—
C. Tolisso	M	90	7.00	—	—	4	57	48%	—	—	—
O. Mangala	M	71	6.90	—	—	—	24	23%	2	—	—
Abner	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	43	41%	3	—	—
P. Šulc	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	32	24%	—	1	—
Afonso Moreira	F	90	7.50	—	—	2	24	15%	2	—	—
Endrick	F	71	6.30	—	—	2	18	12%	—	—	—
E. Nuamah	F	19	6.60	—	—	—	11	11%	—	—	—
H. Hateboer	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	23	18%	—	—	—
M. Fofana	F	19	7.70	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
R. Yaremchuk	F	45	6.50	—	—	2	4	4%	—	—	—

Lens — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Gorgelin	G	90	8.20	—	—	—	34	24%	—	—	—
M. Sarr	D	45	7.20	—	—	1	24	22%	2	1	—
N. Äelik	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	51	46%	2	1	—
K. Antonio	D	39	7.30	—	1	—	22	20%	1	—	—
A. Masuaku	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	32	28%	1	—	—
A. Haidara	M	61	7.00	—	1	—	12	10%	—	—	—
A. Bulatović	M	90	8.20	—	1	1	32	26%	4	—	—
Saud Abdulhamid	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	17	12%	—	1	—
W. Saïd	F	90	8.20	2	—	5	25	17%	—	—	—
F. Thauvin	F	61	7.50	1	1	1	22	17%	—	—	—
F. Sotoca	F	90	8.30	1	—	1	21	20%	—	—	—
A. Sima	F	29	6.70	—	—	1	11	9%	—	—	—
A. Thomasson	M	29	6.70	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
I. Ganiou	D	51	7.30	—	—	2	28	22%	2	—	—
M. Udol	D	45	7.20	—	—	—	14	10%	2	—	—
R. Aguilar	D	45	7.90	—	—	—	18	15%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Lyon vs Lens?

The final score was Lyon 0–4 Lens.

What did the model predict before Lyon vs Lens?

The model assigned 42% probability to a Lyon win, 24% to a draw, and 33% to an Lens win.