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Lyon - Lillestrom

Europa League November 26, 2026 21:00
Lyon
#11 · 3 pts
vs
Lillestrom
#24 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.53%
Win
Lyon
24.4%
Draw
25.07%
Win
Lillestrom
1.79
Expected xG
1.07

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.51%)
1X2 Result
1 51%
X 24%
2 25%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 75%
X2 50%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lyon a 50% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Lillestrom. Expected goals are 1.8 for Lyon and 1.1 for Lillestrom (total 2.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.51% probability.

Season Stats

Lyon
8W 1D 2L
Lillestrom
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.0
0.8
Conceded
1.0
5.6
Shots OT
3.7
4.1
Corners
7.7
59%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
82%
O 1.5
67%
36%
O 2.5
67%
36%
BTTS
67%
45%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
20%
BTTS
Lyon
4W 0D 1L · at home
Lillestrom
0W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.0
1.0
Conceded
0.0
80%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
0%
40%
O 2.5
0%
20%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
0%
40%
Clean Sht
100%
20%
Failed to Score
100%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lyon Lillestrom →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.3% 11.0% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Lyon Lyon
W Anderlecht 1–2
L Celta Vigo 0–2
D Celta Vigo 1–1
W PAOK 4–2
W BSC Young Boys 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Lillestrom Lillestrom
L Torreense 1–2
W Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–1
D Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Lyon Lyon
Attack
48
Defence
66
Form
59
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Attack
40
Defence
61
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lyon vs Lillestrom?
The model gives Lyon a 50% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 25% for an Lillestrom win.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Lillestrom?
Expected goals: Lyon 1.8, Lillestrom 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Lyon vs Lillestrom?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.51%.