Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 29
April 12, 2026 20:45
R. Yaremchuk
(ast. Endrick)
49'
C. Tolisso
56'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Lorient 24%). The final result was Lyon 2–0 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Lyon have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lorient.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
6
1.16
Actual xG
1.87
6
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
P. Katseris
/
T. Le Bris
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
45'+1
R. Ghezzal
/ C. Tolisso
46'
S. Kango
/ Endrick
46'
N. Nartey
/ O. Mangala
46'
⚽R. Yaremchuk
· ast. Endrick
49'
⚽C. Tolisso
56'
67'
73'
A. Tosin
/
J. Makengo
73'
D. Yongwa
/
A. Kouassi
80'
S. Soumano
/
B. Dieng
Tyler Morton
81'
Endrick
81'
T. Morton
/ T. Tessmann
82'
R. Yaremchuk
/ R. Kluivert
86'
88'
Bamo Meïté
Afonso Moreira
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
48.54%
Lyon ←
27.16%
X
24.3%
Lorient
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon)
48.54%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.16
-0.21
1.02
1.87
+0.85
Lorient dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Dominik Greif
G
Dominik Greif
G
16
Abner Vinícius
D
Abner Vinícius
D
19
D
22
Clinton Mata
D
Clinton Mata
D
34
S. Kango
45'
D
23
Tyler Morton
82'
M
Tyler Morton
82'
M
17
Afonso Moreira
M
Afonso Moreira
M
99
Noah Nartey
45'
M
Noah Nartey
45'
M
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
M
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
M
18
R. Ghezzal
45'
M
77
Roman Yaremchuk
1 ⚽
86'
F
Roman Yaremchuk
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
7
A. Karabec
M
A. Karabec
M
8
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
45'
M
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
45'
M
9
Endrick
1 👟
45'
F
Endrick
1 👟
45'
F
33
Hans Hateboer
D
Hans Hateboer
D
44
Khalis Merah
M
Khalis Merah
M
5
O. Mangala
45'
M
O. Mangala
45'
M
21
Ruben Kluivert
11'
D
Ruben Kluivert
11'
D
6
Tanner Tessmann
8'
M
38
G
25
D
32
Nathaniel Adjei
D
Nathaniel Adjei
D
5
Bamo Meïté
D
43
Arsène Kouassi
73'
M
Arsène Kouassi
73'
M
8
Noah Cadiou
M
Noah Cadiou
M
62
Arthur Avom Ebong
M
Arthur Avom Ebong
M
11
T. Le Bris
23'
M
10
P. Pagis
F
P. Pagis
F
17
Jean Victor Makengo
73'
F
Jean Victor Makengo
73'
F
12
B. Dieng
80'
F
B. Dieng
80'
F
Bench
15
Aiyegun Tosin
17'
F
Aiyegun Tosin
17'
F
44
Darlin Yongwa
17'
D
77
Panos Katseris
67'
D
Panos Katseris
67'
D
Best on the pitch
Dominik Greif
G · Lyon
9.50
· 26 pass
Abner Vinícius
D · Lyon
8.70
· 59 pass
D · Lyon
7.60
· 63 pass
C. Tolisso
M · Lyon
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Tyler Morton
M · Lyon
7.50
· 47 pass
Endrick
F · Lyon
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
Lyon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Greif | G | 90 | 9.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Abner Vinícius | D | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| Clinton Mata | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | — | — | — |
| S. Kango | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Tyler Morton | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Afonso Moreira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Noah Nartey | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Ghezzal | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Roman Yaremchuk | F | 86 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| C. Tolisso | M | 45 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Endrick | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Mangala | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruben Kluivert | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tanner Tessmann | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Lorient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 2 | — | — | |
| Nathaniel Adjei | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Bamo Meïté | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Arsène Kouassi | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Noah Cadiou | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 54% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Le Bris | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Pagis | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Victor Makengo | F | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| B. Dieng | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Aiyegun Tosin | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Darlin Yongwa | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Panos Katseris | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lyon vs Lorient?
The final score was Lyon 2–0 Lorient.
What did the model predict before Lyon vs Lorient?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Lyon win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Lorient win.