Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 29
April 12, 2026 20:45
R. Yaremchuk
(ast. Endrick)
49'
C. Tolisso
56'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Lorient 24%). The final result was Lyon 2–0 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Lyon have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lorient.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
6
1.16
Actual xG
1.87
6
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
P. Katseris
/
T. Le Bris
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
45'+1
R. Ghezzal
/ C. Tolisso
46'
S. Kango
/ Endrick
46'
N. Nartey
/ O. Mangala
46'
⚽R. Yaremchuk
· ast. Endrick
49'
⚽C. Tolisso
56'
67'
73'
A. Tosin
/
J. Makengo
73'
D. Yongwa
/
A. Kouassi
80'
S. Soumano
/
B. Dieng
Tyler Morton
81'
Endrick
81'
T. Morton
/ T. Tessmann
82'
R. Yaremchuk
/ R. Kluivert
86'
88'
Bamo Meïté
Afonso Moreira
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
48.54%
Lyon ←
27.16%
X
24.3%
Lorient
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon)
48.54%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.16
-0.21
1.02
1.87
+0.85
Lorient dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Greif
G
D. Greif
G
16
Abner
D
Abner
D
19
D
22
Clinton Mata
D
Clinton Mata
D
34
Steeve Kango
45'
D
Steeve Kango
45'
D
23
T. Morton
82'
M
T. Morton
82'
M
17
Afonso Moreira
M
Afonso Moreira
M
99
N. Nartey
45'
M
N. Nartey
45'
M
98
A. Maitland-Niles
M
A. Maitland-Niles
M
18
R. Ghezzal
45'
M
77
R. Yaremchuk
1 ⚽
86'
F
R. Yaremchuk
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
7
A. Karabec
M
A. Karabec
M
8
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
45'
M
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
45'
M
9
Endrick
1 👟
45'
F
Endrick
1 👟
45'
F
33
H. Hateboer
D
H. Hateboer
D
44
K. Merah
M
K. Merah
M
5
O. Mangala
45'
M
O. Mangala
45'
M
21
R. Kluivert
11'
D
R. Kluivert
11'
D
6
T. Tessmann
8'
M
T. Tessmann
8'
M
38
G
25
D
32
N. Adjei
D
N. Adjei
D
5
B. Meité
D
B. Meité
D
43
K. Kouassi
73'
M
K. Kouassi
73'
M
8
N. Cadiou
M
N. Cadiou
M
62
Arthur Avom Ebong
M
11
T. Le Bris
23'
M
T. Le Bris
23'
M
10
P. Pagis
F
P. Pagis
F
17
J. Makengo
73'
F
J. Makengo
73'
F
12
B. Dieng
80'
F
B. Dieng
80'
F
Bench
15
A. Tosin
17'
F
A. Tosin
17'
F
44
Darlin Yongwa
17'
D
77
P. Katseris
67'
D
P. Katseris
67'
D
Best on the pitch
D. Greif
G · Lyon
9.50
· 26 pass
Abner
D · Lyon
8.70
· 59 pass
D · Lyon
7.60
· 63 pass
C. Tolisso
M · Lyon
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
T. Morton
M · Lyon
7.50
· 47 pass
Endrick
F · Lyon
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
Lyon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Greif | G | 90 | 9.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Abner | D | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| Clinton Mata | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Steeve Kango | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Morton | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Afonso Moreira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Maitland-Niles | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Ghezzal | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Yaremchuk | F | 86 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| C. Tolisso | M | 45 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Endrick | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Mangala | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kluivert | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Tessmann | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Lorient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 2 | — | — | |
| N. Adjei | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Meité | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Kouassi | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. Cadiou | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 54% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Le Bris | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Pagis | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Makengo | F | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| B. Dieng | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Tosin | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Darlin Yongwa | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Katseris | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lyon vs Lorient?
The final score was Lyon 2–0 Lorient.
What did the model predict before Lyon vs Lorient?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Lyon win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Lorient win.