Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 15:00

Lyon

#2 · 11 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Monaco

#1 · 13 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Monaco 34%). The final result was Lyon 1–2 Monaco. In 1 previous meetings, Lyon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Monaco.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

7

1.35

Actual xG

2.68

56%

Possession

44%

2

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

41.7%

Lyon

23.52%

X

34.79%

Monaco ←

we assigned to the actual result (Monaco) 34.79% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lyon

1.49

1.35

-0.14

Monaco

1.67

2.68

+1.01

Monaco dominated by xG (2.68 vs 1.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monaco	5	13
2	Lyon	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille	5	10
5	Rennes	5	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	8
7	Angers	5	7
8	Strasbourg	5	7
9	Le Mans	5	6
10	Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse	5	5
14	Nice	5	5
15	Lens	5	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	4
17	Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre	5	2