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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 20:45
Lyon
#2 · 11 pts
4 – 2
Final score
Rennes
#5 · 10 pts
R. Yaremchuk (ast. C. Tolisso) 37'
C. Tolisso 42' (pen.)
A. Moreira (ast. Abner Vinicius) 52'
Endrick (ast. C. Tolisso) 75'
6' (ast. E. Lepaul) M. Tamari
48' (ast. M. Tamari) E. Lepaul
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Lyon 34%). The final result was Lyon 4–2 Rennes. In 2 previous meetings, Lyon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rennes.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
5
2.71
Actual xG
0.77
3
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
5
13
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
ast. E. Lepaul · M. Tamari⚽
23'
E. Lepaul
⚽R. Yaremchuk · ast. C. Tolisso
37'
40'
B. Samba
⚽C. Tolisso (pen.)
42'
48'
ast. M. Tamari · E. Lepaul⚽
⚽A. Moreira · ast. Abner Vinicius
52'
↕ R. Yaremchuk / P. Sulc
70'
70'
L. Blas / S. Szymanski ↕
71'
M. Nagida / A. Seidu ↕
⚽Endrick · ast. C. Tolisso
75'
83'
Q. Merlin
↕ T. Morton / R. Kluivert
84'
↕ K. Merah / M. de Carvalho
84'
↕ Endrick / E. Nuamah
84'
87'
Y. Zabiri / E. Lepaul ↕
87'
N. Mukiele / M. Tamari ↕
87'
D. Cisse / M. Camara ↕
↕ Abner Vinicius / N. Nartey
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
34.12%
Lyon ←
23.4%
X
42.48%
Rennes
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon) 34.12% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lyon
1.89
2.71
+0.82
Rennes
2.32
0.77
-1.55
Lyon dominated by xG (2.71 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 5 13
2 Lyon Lyon 5 11
3 Paris FC Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille Lille 5 10
5 Rennes Rennes 5 10
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 5 8
7 Angers Angers 5 7
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 5 7
9 Le Mans Le Mans 5 6
10 Auxerre Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 Lorient Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse Toulouse 5 5
14 Nice Nice 5 5
15 Lens Lens 5 4
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 5 4
17 Marseille Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre Le Havre 5 2
Lineups
Lyon Lyon 4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif D. Greif G 7.30
16 Abner Abner 1 👟 89' D 6.90
19
D 6.90
22 Clinton Mata Clinton Mata D 6.50
98 A. Maitland-Niles A. Maitland-Niles D 6.50
8 C. Tolisso C. Tolisso 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 8.70
23 T. Morton T. Morton 84' M 6.50
17 Afonso Moreira Afonso Moreira 1 ⚽ M 8.30
44 K. Merah K. Merah 84' M 6.70
9 Endrick Endrick 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.50
77 R. Yaremchuk R. Yaremchuk 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.90
Bench
7 A. Karabec A. Karabec M
99 N. Nartey N. Nartey 1' M
3 N. Tagliafico N. Tagliafico D
10 P. Šulc P. Šulc 20' M 6.70
21 R. Kluivert R. Kluivert 14' D 6.60
Rennes Rennes 4-4-2
30 B. Samba B. Samba G 6.90
26 Q. Merlin Q. Merlin D 6.00
3 L. Brassier L. Brassier D 5.90
48 A. Ait Boudlal A. Ait Boudlal D 6.20
36 A. Seidu A. Seidu 71' D 5.90
11 Mousa Tamari Mousa Tamari 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' M 7.30
45 M. Camara M. Camara 87' M 6.50
21 V. Rongier V. Rongier M 7.00
17 S. Szymański S. Szymański 70' M 6.60
7 B. Embolo B. Embolo F 6.50
9 E. Lepaul E. Lepaul 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' F 7.60
Bench
24 A. Rouault A. Rouault D
6 Djaoui Cissé Djaoui Cissé 11' M 6.70
10 L. Blas L. Blas 20' F 7.00
18 M. Nagida M. Nagida 19' D 6.20
77 M. Zabiri M. Zabiri 11' F 6.30
65 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele 11' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
C. Tolisso
C. Tolisso
M · Lyon
8.70
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
Endrick
Endrick
M · Lyon
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira
M · Lyon
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
R. Yaremchuk
R. Yaremchuk
F · Lyon
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
E. Lepaul
E. Lepaul
F · Rennes
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 20 pass
Mousa Tamari
Mousa Tamari
M · Rennes
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 9 pass
Lyon Lyon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Greif G 90 7.30 — — — 36 30% — — —
Abner D 89 6.90 — 1 1 45 37% 1 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 51 46% 2 — —
Clinton Mata D 90 6.50 — — 1 42 37% 1 — —
A. Maitland-Niles D 90 6.50 — — — 37 29% — — —
C. Tolisso M 90 8.70 1 2 1 40 31% — — —
T. Morton M 84 6.50 — — 1 36 30% 1 — —
Afonso Moreira M 90 8.30 1 — 3 23 19% 1 — —
K. Merah M 84 6.70 — — — 36 31% 3 — —
Endrick M 84 8.50 1 — 2 22 18% 1 — —
R. Yaremchuk F 70 7.90 1 — 2 12 10% 1 — —
N. Nartey M 1 — — — — 5 5% — — —
P. Šulc M 20 6.70 — — 1 6 6% 2 — —
R. Kluivert D 14 6.60 — — — 2 — — — —
Rennes Rennes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Samba G 90 6.90 — — — 36 30% 1 1 —
Q. Merlin D 90 6.00 — — — 51 40% 3 1 —
L. Brassier D 90 5.90 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
A. Ait Boudlal D 90 6.20 — — — 60 57% 2 — —
A. Seidu D 71 5.90 — — — 40 33% 1 — —
Mousa Tamari M 87 7.30 1 1 1 9 6% 1 — —
M. Camara M 87 6.50 — — 2 36 33% 3 — —
V. Rongier M 90 7.00 — — — 53 46% 6 — —
S. Szymański M 70 6.60 — — 1 28 24% 1 — —
B. Embolo F 90 6.50 — — 1 8 7% — — —
E. Lepaul F 87 7.60 1 1 3 20 16% — 1 —
Djaoui Cissé M 11 6.70 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
L. Blas F 20 7.00 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
M. Nagida D 19 6.20 — — — 13 11% — — —
M. Zabiri F 11 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
N. Mukiele F 11 6.50 — — — 8 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lyon vs Rennes?
The final score was Lyon 4–2 Rennes.
What did the model predict before Lyon vs Rennes?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Lyon win, 23% to a draw, and 42% to an Rennes win.