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Lyon - Sparta Praha

Champions League August 11, 2026 19:00
Lyon
vs
Sparta Praha
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.53%
Win
Lyon
24.72%
Draw
29.75%
Win
Sparta Praha
2.81
Expected xG
1.9

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.7%)
1X2 Result
1 46%
X 25%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 55%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lyon a 45% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Sparta Praha. Expected goals are 2.8 for Lyon and 1.9 for Sparta Praha (total 4.7), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.7% probability.

Season Stats

Lyon
4W 5D 6L
Sparta Praha
8W 2D 5L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.7
1.7
Conceded
1.3
4.3
Shots OT
4.5
5.7
Corners
6.0
54%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
47%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Lyon
5W 2D 3L · at home
Sparta Praha
5W 1D 4L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.4
1.5
Conceded
1.1
50%
Win %
50%
70%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
50%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Lyon Sparta Praha →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.5% 4.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
2 3.6% 6.8% 6.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
5 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%

Recent form

Lyon Lyon
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Lyon Lyon
Attack
53
Defence
58
Form
62
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Attack
45
Defence
62
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lyon vs Sparta Praha?
The model gives Lyon a 45% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 29% for an Sparta Praha win.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Sparta Praha?
Expected goals: Lyon 2.8, Sparta Praha 1.9 (total 4.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Lyon vs Sparta Praha?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.7%.